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April 23, 2024, 04:23:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 169623 times)
President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #925 on: December 04, 2020, 07:51:23 PM »

You're a genius, my man. I imagine there was some finagling to balance the EC?
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BigVic
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« Reply #926 on: December 04, 2020, 11:28:03 PM »

twenny twennyfor



How does Jr and Eric run together?
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #927 on: December 07, 2020, 06:10:28 PM »

1988


1992

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CookieDamage
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« Reply #928 on: December 07, 2020, 07:53:44 PM »


1932
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #929 on: December 07, 2020, 08:01:10 PM »


1936
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bagelman
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« Reply #930 on: December 08, 2020, 04:25:42 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:51:46 PM by bagelman »



2020 GE swapped with 2018 House.

It's just trading GA for IA. However it's possible Dems flip ME and IA in this scenario while the GOP holds both GA seats, meaning we get a 50-50 Senate.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #931 on: December 08, 2020, 09:17:18 AM »



An alternate universe where COVID-19 doesn't exist. Sanders narrowly wins the nomination (he has a much better Super Tuesday than in real-life, lets him keep more of his post-Nevada momentum). He picks Tammy Baldwin as his VP, and wins the popular vote, 49.4%-48.4%
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #932 on: December 08, 2020, 07:29:52 PM »


1940


1944
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bagelman
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« Reply #933 on: December 09, 2020, 03:04:56 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:52:36 PM by bagelman »



Another alternate 2020. As for who the Democratic candidate is, I dunno. Maybe Sanders, maybe someone else. Probably not Bloomberg or Buttigieg.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #934 on: December 09, 2020, 03:32:04 PM »


20XX ratings - No Tossups



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CookieDamage
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« Reply #935 on: December 09, 2020, 03:45:02 PM »


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CookieDamage
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« Reply #936 on: December 09, 2020, 03:55:59 PM »


Climate change devastates coastal states
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Chips
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« Reply #937 on: December 10, 2020, 01:58:41 AM »
« Edited: December 10, 2020, 02:09:14 AM by Chips »

Played 2012 on President Infinity as Santorum with President Obama on easy. After a long fought campaign, I won with this map.



(President Infinity doesn't do congressional districts, but given that Maine at-large was decided by only 8 points, I will assume Santorum was barely able to pull ME-02 out)

PA was a huge disappointment, Obama won that by 0.7%. He also only won MI by 5,000 votes and MN was extremely close too.

I won the popular vote by 200,000.

I picked Tim Pawlenty as running mate in the hopes of flipping MN which failed.

I might run in 2016 with Santorum again and with Pawlenty as running mate.
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Chips
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« Reply #938 on: December 11, 2020, 12:56:48 AM »

I ran as Santorum in 2016 again. I'm assuming Santorum wasn't a popular president as he started with a 5 point deficit to the Democratic challenger, Joe Biden in the polls. Early September definitely seemed to be a low for Santorum but he kept fighting back in the swing states and by the end of September he had a 2.4 point deficit. Biden made up a bit of ground in early October but the election was nearly tied with one week to go. Santorum fought hard and the final poll had Santorum up 0.7%.

Election results rolled in, Every candidate won the usual states and the first swing states to fully report, Virginia and Florida showed Santorum winning. Hopes were high. Ohio and NC were next and Santorum won both as well. Morale was looking higher than ever. I knew Santorum won when PA and NH were reporting Santorum victories. MI was a disappointment again though as Biden won it by the same thin margin Obama won it by 4 years prior. Sadly, Nevada and Wisconsin showed flips to Biden. Santorum still won Colorado and Iowa though.

The map was this and Santorum won that familiar 306 number. (Again, I'm assuming Santorum won ME-02)



Santorum flipped Pennsylvania from 2012 while Biden flipped Nevada and Wisconsin. The popular vote was once again extremely close but Santorum was once again victorious in the popular vote by 1.2%.
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bagelman
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« Reply #939 on: December 12, 2020, 07:17:32 AM »



1988 with a different party system

The American Party, a right wing party, had first taken power in 1980 from the Liberals. Campaigning on a pro-police, anti-crime agenda, they held onto power in 1988.

Not shown is the New Democratic Party, the dominate party from the 1930s until 1968 which was their last major showing. By the 1980s they no longer contest presidential elections.

The American Party would retain power for the rest of the century and beyond. The 2000 election would see the American Party as the underdog, running a more moderate candidate. However the Democrats would try and come back from the dead and spoil the election for the liberals, giving the American Party a lifeline. They would win in 2004 but this would be the last time.

In 2008 the Liberals would finally regain power and have held it sense. 2016 would see a competitive election in which the American Party would appeal to downmarket WCW's and the Democrats would return again, but the Liberals retained power. 2020 would be a Liberal landslide, even winning South Dakota, as the American Party would shift gears towards the educated and the Democrats would decline from 2016. The Liberal Party currently enjoys unmatched power. 
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bagelman
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« Reply #940 on: December 12, 2020, 07:24:23 AM »



1988 with different political coalitions. The Republicans, incumbent party, are running on a free trade agreement with Canada and Mexico. Democrats oppose it but are forced to defend their core states of Missouri, Minnesota, Michigan, and New York on the battleground map. Thus it's almost certain that Republicans will retain power, forcing Democrats to wait another 4 years.
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bagelman
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« Reply #941 on: December 12, 2020, 08:01:47 AM »



A battleground map for an alternative 1844 election that would prove accurate. This was an economic election in which Democrats were forced to triage New York and Pennsylvania, but had most other states in their pocket. Ohio would be the single most important swing state, an absolute must have for the Whigs to avoid an automatic Democratic victory.



A scenario in which the Whig Party collapses far earlier than it should have, leading to a period of utter dominance by Jacksonian Democrats with only an esoteric Know Nothing party to oppose them. The issue of slavery would serve to end this period.



The annexation of Texas would prove to be impossible in the context of 1844 due to events outside the control of the United States. With this boon, Henry Clay would win an election with the main issue being an internal improvements program. Clay was able to convince voters that his support of government investment would be good for everybody, and that Democrats opposed it for esoteric political reasons.



The issue of slavery becomes penultimate earlier than OTL. With the Democrats viewed as the party of planter aristocrats in the north, Clay appears moderate enough for voters in states like Illinois and New Hampshire to digest. Northern Democrats would try and reform the party, but they would fail to defeat the new power base of planter aristocrats, which would lead to an eventual crises...
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bagelman
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« Reply #942 on: December 12, 2020, 08:30:06 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:53:33 PM by bagelman »



A higher energy Clinton against a more coherent Trump - the latter not necessarily a good thing. Clinton chooses Castro as her running mate, and makes a strong play for the Latino vote and is able to retain much of her 2008 primary charms. She was unafraid of comparing herself and her husband favorably to Obama carefully.

Clinton won the popular vote with her flipping of Texas and monster margin in California. The election came down to Florida, and in a reversal of 2000 the state saved the popular vote winning Democrats rather than screwed them. Clinton's ad campaign targeting Cubans and vicious soundbites against the Venezuelan and Cuban regimes gave her the presidency.

Closest states:

1. Florida
2. North Carolina
3. Georgia
4. Texas
5. Minnesota

Iowa was over R+10.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #943 on: December 13, 2020, 07:18:44 PM »

2020 if every state with a margin < 1% is flipped


Trump/Pence 269
Biden/Harris 269

I believe 2016 was the first election in which such a flip would have changed the outcome, and 2020 the second.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #944 on: December 13, 2020, 07:31:11 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2020, 07:38:38 PM by mathstatman »

1976 and 2000 (with 2000 EV allocations)



Carter - Gore 113 EV
Ford - Bush 92 EV
Ford - Gore 154 EV
Carter - Bush 179 EV

Of the Carter - Gore states, all voted for Biden in 2020.
Of the Ford - Bush states: AZ, CO, NE-2, NV, NH, and VA voted for Biden in 2020.
Of the Ford - Gore states: all but IA and ME-2 voted for Biden in 2020.
Of the Carter - Bush states: all but GA voted for Trump in 2020.

A change in 1,000 votes in 1976 and 3,500 votes in 2000 would have made Oregon yellow, rather than green.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #945 on: December 14, 2020, 10:08:22 PM »
« Edited: December 14, 2020, 10:38:18 PM by CookieDamage »

1952 Election


1956 Election


1960 Election


1964 Election


1968 Election


1972 Election


1976 Election


1980 Election


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CookieDamage
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« Reply #946 on: December 14, 2020, 10:37:03 PM »

For some reason all those maps came to 533 total... so let's just pretend 267 is the magic number!
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #947 on: December 15, 2020, 02:27:49 AM »

When the Civil Rights Act arrived back in the Senate with a big red "VETO" from President Nixon, American politics changed forever.

The ruling Republican-Democrats fell into infighting, which only grew as Nixon was forced to resign, followed by JFK's assassination leaving John McCormack in the white house.

But even among this chaos no one expected Kennedy's brother Robert to switch sides. And yet that he did, becoming the voice of the NPP's social democrats.

Riding a wave of northern anger and southern indifference to the RDs, RFK won big against Utah Senator Bennett (even carrying the Senator's home state narrowly, in a humiliating blow) becoming the first NPP president.

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Amanda Huggenkiss
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« Reply #948 on: December 15, 2020, 05:28:44 AM »


Google Trends Election 2020


Leonardo DiCaprio / Julian Castro - 52.2% - 404 Electoral Votes
Clint Eastwood / Dan Bishop - 43.5% - 134 Electoral Votes
Roseanne Barr / Joe Rogan - 4.3% - 0 Electoral Votes
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
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« Reply #949 on: December 15, 2020, 09:39:40 AM »

Google trends, Folklore (2020) vs. Evermore (2020).

WA, CO, NH, CT, NJ, and NY, as well as every state in MIMAL, were 50/50 or 51/49 for their side, so I showed those in 40% color.

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