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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 169065 times)
bagelman
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« Reply #875 on: November 22, 2020, 07:53:30 PM »
« edited: November 26, 2020, 12:44:35 PM by bagelman »

2016: The Political Revolution



Senator Bernard Sanders (D-VT) / Congresswoman Donna Edwards (D-MD) 303

Senator Joe Machin (R-WV) / Former Governor Lincoln Chafee (R-RI) 235

With a strong candidate that had the party in lockstep, it was never really in doubt that Sanders came out on top. Manchin exceeded pundit expectations, taking North Carolina thanks to overpreforming in Appalachia, easily winning FL and coming very close in OH. But it wasn't enough.

2020: The Political Revolution continued



President Bernard Sanders (D-VT) / Vice President Donna Edwards (D-MD) 328

Governor Andrew Cuomo (R-NY) / Senator Ben McAdams (R-UT) 210

The 2020 election was a hard fought affair. Republican Governor Andrew Cuomo was one of the best challengers to Sanders the GOP hoped for. His VP selection wasn't an easy choice, with Pete Buttigieg seen as a top choice, but Cuomo chose to shore up his conservative base instead. McAdams became the second Mormon to be placed on a Presidential Ticket.

Republicans were confident about this election, especially in light of the COVID pandemic. Republicans claimed more technocratic and less "anti-business" policies would help stop the pandemic. Cuomo touted a national mask mandate. Former President Barack Obama was officially neutral but essentially opposed his own party in this election.

In the end however it was a big disappointment for the GOP. All that money to lose electoral votes, gaining only Ohio due to the popularity of their Republican governor and his endorsement of Cuomo. Many here on Atlas believe that if the GOP had attacked Sanders from the other direction regarding masks and lockdowns, they might have had a better chance. A scary thought.

2024: Battle of the Buckeyes



Senator Tim Ryan (R-OH) / Senator Kyrsten Sinema (R-AZ) Won

Congresswoman Nina Turner (D-OH) / Congresswoman Illhan Omar (D-MN) Lost

A pair of congresswomen lose to a pair of Senators. Donna Edwards had been defeated in the primaries by Turner, who ran a more culturally left wing campaign in their bid to continue the political revolution. Instead the Republicans came back. Ryan was skilled in winning the votes of traditional Democrats, while the actual Democratic ticket talked more about their own representation of women of color (not a bad thing) rather than trying to win votes (more important).

Pete Buttigieg (R-IN), the runner up in the GOP primaries, remains a rising star in the party and has been guaranteed a prominent spot in the Ryan administration. On the other side, New York Senator Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remains the leader of the Democrats in Congress and is already the frontrunner for the 2028 nomination. Whether she enters the race in 4 years remains to be seen.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #876 on: November 22, 2020, 09:02:33 PM »

I've been toying with the idea of making Congressional districts the size of English parliamentary constituencies for a while now so here's Alabama's congressional elections in 2020.



The only flip from 2018 (Auburn) flipped back to Republican. Northport & Pickens (to the west of Tuscaloosa) had a competitive election but the democrat won re-election by a few points.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #877 on: November 22, 2020, 09:11:59 PM »
« Edited: November 24, 2020, 01:16:35 AM by Kuumo »

Trump doesn't run in 2016.

2016:



Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) / Governor Scott Walker (R-WI): 276 EV, 47.0% PV
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA): 262 EV, 48.8% PV



2020:



Entrepreneur Andrew Yang (D-NY) / Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR): 315 EV, 51.7% PV
President Ted Cruz (R-TX) / Vice President Scott Walker (R-WI): 223 EV, 46.3% PV



2024:



President Andrew Yang (D-NY) / Vice President Jeff Merkley (D-OR): ~350 EV, 52.4% PV
Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) / Governor Jon Husted (R-OH): ~188 EV, 45.2% PV
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Cassandra
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« Reply #878 on: November 23, 2020, 07:57:13 PM »

Here's a map for if Perot didn't get back into the race in fall of '92. I just shifted 2/3rds of his votes to Bush and 1/3rd to Clinton to create this map. So many close states!!

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Andrew Yang 2024
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« Reply #879 on: November 24, 2020, 12:19:00 AM »



John Kerry/Barack Obama 289
Mitt Romney/George Allen* 249

*=Replaced Mark Sanford following infamous "Sanford Affair of '08", which cost the Reps the victory.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #880 on: November 24, 2020, 06:32:07 PM »
« Edited: November 24, 2020, 06:36:38 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »





Senatorial election make or break GA, LOL CCM ISNT LOSING TO LAXALT, IF ANYONE LOSES IT WOULD BE WARNOCK. Grassley isn't retiring and Blunt is safe 51/49 Senate




Gubernatorial ekections, Gov Laura Kelly after underperformance of Bollier is DOA without Kobach running
26/24R Govs







Senator Tom Nelson WI
Senator Jeff Jackson NC
Senator Chrissy Houlahan PA

Gov Fetterson PA
Generuc D AZGov
Generic R for KS
Generuc D for MD

DeSantis and Kemp gets relectected
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #881 on: November 25, 2020, 02:07:33 PM »
« Edited: November 25, 2020, 02:11:36 PM by Atlanta 1997 World Champs »

Law and Order Party Wins Election, Breezing Off Republicans and Democrats


Ex-Rep. Vito Fossella (I-N.Y.)/State Rep. Martina White (I-Pa.)-271 EV/44.5%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.)/Rep. Mark Pocan (D-Wis.)-144 EV/37.3%
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)/Gov. Kristi Noem (R-S.D.)-123 EV/18.4%

Fossella becomes the first Italian American president elected, and Martina White becomes the second female vice president elected.
Fossella runs on an aggressive law and order strategy, calling for the death penalty on protesters and other groups.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #882 on: November 26, 2020, 02:56:36 AM »

Law and Order Party Wins Election, Breezing Off Republicans and Democrats


Ex-Rep. Vito Fossella (I-N.Y.)/State Rep. Martina White (I-Pa.)-271 EV/44.5%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.)/Rep. Mark Pocan (D-Wis.)-144 EV/37.3%
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)/Gov. Kristi Noem (R-S.D.)-123 EV/18.4%

Fossella becomes the first Italian American president elected, and Martina White becomes the second female vice president elected.
Fossella runs on an aggressive law and order strategy, calling for the death penalty on protesters and other groups.

This app makes no sense.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #883 on: November 26, 2020, 10:46:18 AM »

New calculator:



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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #884 on: November 26, 2020, 10:59:21 AM »

ACCK the top one uses mainstream media colors inverted rather than normal atlas colors

But yea that's cool. I'm probably going to be using mainstream media colors because of the differences in the shades of red and blue that correspond to mainstream media.
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hyouzel the predictor
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« Reply #885 on: November 26, 2020, 12:01:19 PM »

2028 4 Way race (Biden wins reelection against Pence/Noem Ticket by a similar EC margin but loses House in 2022 and Senate in 2024. Dies two years into his second term, Dems retake the House in 2026. Centrist and Progressive Dems officially split over policy disputes and Progressives thinking Centrists haven't done enough. The MAGAts decide to also split off from the Republican party and adapt a much more openly fascist platform (limiting all types of immigration, anti-gay marriage, etc.) and run as a fourth party).




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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #886 on: November 26, 2020, 01:11:51 PM »

Law and Order Party Wins Election, Breezing Off Republicans and Democrats


Ex-Rep. Vito Fossella (I-N.Y.)/State Rep. Martina White (I-Pa.)-271 EV/44.5%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.)/Rep. Mark Pocan (D-Wis.)-144 EV/37.3%
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)/Gov. Kristi Noem (R-S.D.)-123 EV/18.4%

Fossella becomes the first Italian American president elected, and Martina White becomes the second female vice president elected.
Fossella runs on an aggressive law and order strategy, calling for the death penalty on protesters and other groups.

This app makes no sense.

Why? An Independent has a chance to 270 electoral votes by running an effective campaign.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #887 on: November 26, 2020, 02:31:38 PM »

Law and Order Party Wins Election, Breezing Off Republicans and Democrats


Ex-Rep. Vito Fossella (I-N.Y.)/State Rep. Martina White (I-Pa.)-271 EV/44.5%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.)/Rep. Mark Pocan (D-Wis.)-144 EV/37.3%
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)/Gov. Kristi Noem (R-S.D.)-123 EV/18.4%

Fossella becomes the first Italian American president elected, and Martina White becomes the second female vice president elected.
Fossella runs on an aggressive law and order strategy, calling for the death penalty on protesters and other groups.

This app makes no sense.

Why? An Independent has a chance to 270 electoral votes by running an effective campaign.

There is no world in which Iowa and Illinois vote more “law and order” than Missouri. There is no world in which Colorado and Oregon vote “law and order,” ever.

Among many other problems.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #888 on: November 26, 2020, 02:38:22 PM »
« Edited: November 26, 2020, 02:49:39 PM by President Johnson »

2016 election in my novel, per new calculator:



Flip map vs. 2012:

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #889 on: November 26, 2020, 03:04:25 PM »
« Edited: January 21, 2022, 04:50:59 PM by bagelman »



Obama2012 with no hispanic vote whatsoever. he wins 298-240.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #890 on: November 26, 2020, 03:37:36 PM »

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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #891 on: November 26, 2020, 03:47:34 PM »

2016 election in my novel, per new calculator:



Flip map vs. 2012:


Interesting map! Is this from a timeline where the parties never changed their positions on racial issues or no?
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #892 on: November 26, 2020, 04:04:59 PM »

Law and Order Party Wins Election, Breezing Off Republicans and Democrats


Ex-Rep. Vito Fossella (I-N.Y.)/State Rep. Martina White (I-Pa.)-271 EV/44.5%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.)/Rep. Mark Pocan (D-Wis.)-144 EV/37.3%
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)/Gov. Kristi Noem (R-S.D.)-123 EV/18.4%

Fossella becomes the first Italian American president elected, and Martina White becomes the second female vice president elected.
Fossella runs on an aggressive law and order strategy, calling for the death penalty on protesters and other groups.

This app makes no sense.

Why? An Independent has a chance to 270 electoral votes by running an effective campaign.

There is no world in which Iowa and Illinois vote more “law and order” than Missouri. There is no world in which Colorado and Oregon vote “law and order,” ever.

Among many other problems.
Oregon and Colorado have high crime problems.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #893 on: November 26, 2020, 04:07:56 PM »

2016 election in my novel, per new calculator:



Flip map vs. 2012:


Interesting map! Is this from a timeline where the parties never changed their positions on racial issues or no?

Somewhat yes. The president and main character of the book here, a moderate Democrat, is a billionaire businessman who was elected vice president in 2012 who assumed the presidency in August 2014. The previous president, an African American woman, resigned after a corruption scandal, after she bribed a Republican congressman for his vote. 2012 was a 269-269 tie between her and Vice President Mitt Romney, who served under John McCain for two terms, who himself unseated Al Gore in 2004.

The Republican challenger of 2016 is the sitting governor of Ohio, who belongs to the conservative evangelical wing of the party. Her running mate is a South Carolina senator, while the incumbent vice president is a former California senator in her mid 40s. Although the president has several controversies with affairs and a divorce (which is the main story of the novel), he ultimately wins comfortably due to his economic credentials, massive cash advantage and the challenger's social conservatism being out of step with most Americans.

I plan to write a continuation at some point, that includes the 2020 election, where major swings happen in a contest between the above vice president and a Trumpist candidate (Democrats losing ground in the Midwest, but making inroads in the Sunbelt).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #894 on: November 26, 2020, 04:16:26 PM »

2016 election in my novel, per new calculator:



Flip map vs. 2012:



You know in 2015 Obama tried to lift the Cuban embargo, I don't trust at all anymore, FL and TX are both red states, that's why Ds must target GA and NC, we can't win in FL/ TX 2020, and to think that Dems railroaded Bernie on his Venezuelan comments and it's the Cuban embargo not Venezuelan, otherwise Biden would have won FL with PR Statehood
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President Johnson
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« Reply #895 on: November 26, 2020, 04:37:28 PM »

2016 election in my novel, per new calculator:



Flip map vs. 2012:



You know in 2015 Obama tried to lift the Cuban embargo, I don't trust at all anymore, FL and TX are both red states, that's why Ds must target GA and NC, we can't win in FL/ TX 2020, and to think that Dems railroaded Bernie on his Venezuelan comments and it's the Cuban embargo not Venezuelan, otherwise Biden would have won FL with PR Statehood

It's an alternate timeline, no Obama here.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #896 on: November 26, 2020, 05:36:18 PM »

ToTH '80s and '90s with the new calculator.

1980:

1984:

1988:

1992:

1996:
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Chips
Those Chips
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« Reply #897 on: November 26, 2020, 06:04:16 PM »

Clinton 2016 vs. Trump 2020 again with new map.



Trump flips six states and just barely misses VA by 19,000 votes.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #898 on: November 26, 2020, 07:39:15 PM »

1852 United States presidential election
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BigVic
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« Reply #899 on: November 26, 2020, 07:47:21 PM »

Clinton 2016 vs. Trump 2020 again with new map.



Trump flips six states and just barely misses VA by 19,000 votes.

Trump would've won fair and square with a rematch
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