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April 16, 2024, 02:23:37 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 3.0
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 168540 times)
morgankingsley
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« Reply #775 on: September 10, 2020, 12:24:02 PM »

An electoral map that has Democratic and Republican states contiguous and results in a 269-269 tie.


Washington DC breaks contiguity.

Also I am not sure I would call touching at one single point "contiguous" but that is another matter.

They did say "states" so technically DC doesn't count
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #776 on: September 10, 2020, 12:38:43 PM »

An electoral map that has Democratic and Republican states contiguous and results in a 269-269 tie.


Washington DC breaks contiguity.

Also I am not sure I would call touching at one single point "contiguous" but that is another matter.

They did say "states" so technically DC doesn't count

This is actually a fair take. You're right.
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Canis
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« Reply #777 on: September 10, 2020, 12:54:47 PM »


Abortion should be legal in most cases 376
Abortion should be illegal in most cases 162
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/01/21/do-state-laws-on-abortion-reflect-public-opinion/
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bagelman
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« Reply #778 on: September 10, 2020, 09:05:29 PM »

OK is quite a shocker
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #779 on: September 11, 2020, 04:44:19 AM »


I am shocked that rate of support for abortion rights is identical in Oklahoma and Minnesota.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #780 on: September 11, 2020, 10:16:45 PM »

I'm not shocked that Minnesota's support is low. It's "a blue state" because it's economically progressive, not because it's "woke."

Oregon and Nebraska are very shocking, though.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #781 on: September 11, 2020, 10:57:26 PM »


Wokelahoma confirmed.

The abortion support map is very similar to a map of religiosity by state. The following map shows the results of a 2009 Gallup poll on religiosity. Darker shades indicate higher rates of weekly church attendance. With a few exceptions, less religious states have higher rates of support for abortion and more religious states have higher rates of opposition to abortion. This explains why the Northeast and Pacific Northwest have the most support and the Deep South and Utah have the least support. The Midwest and states with large Hispanic populations like California and New Mexico have intermediate support because they have large numbers of pro-abortion secular people and anti-abortion religious people (bolstered by Hispanic Catholics in the latter case). I still don't know what's the matter with Oklahoma and Nebraska though.

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Canis
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« Reply #782 on: September 12, 2020, 05:47:23 PM »


Dark Blue = FPTP 406
Dark Green = Jungle Primary 75 
Dark Yellow = RCV 4
Dark Red = RCV for Democratic Primaries 10
Light Green = Jungle Primaries on the ballot in November 29
Light Yellow = RCV on the ballot in November 14
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #783 on: September 16, 2020, 08:23:38 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2020, 08:29:39 PM by Calthrina950 »

Here's a map which I created last week, showing the 2012 election results by county, for the Senatorial races in the Ferguson Scenario:


What would be the results by state here? Who would you guess would be the Senatorial incumbents or candidates here? Any instances of ticket-splitting between the Senatorial and Presidential races by state? For reference, this is the presidential election results map for that year:

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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #784 on: September 16, 2020, 09:12:12 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2020, 10:32:33 PM by Delegate Weatherboy »

looks like:
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #785 on: September 17, 2020, 01:07:19 AM »


Close, but for one state.
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #786 on: September 17, 2020, 02:48:25 AM »


The wrong state is New York?

Otherwise PA or MA.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #787 on: September 17, 2020, 03:10:03 AM »


It's actually NE.
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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
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« Reply #788 on: September 17, 2020, 03:13:09 AM »


Crazy! Seeing Douglas, Lancaster and a bunch of others all in red fools easily.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #789 on: September 17, 2020, 03:26:02 AM »


It would definitely be close, within 3%. But which states split their ticket between President and Senate?
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« Reply #790 on: September 17, 2020, 03:35:19 AM »


It would definitely be close, within 3%. But which states split their ticket between President and Senate?

Ehm we already know that as you posted the presidential map and now we have (or better Weatherboy has) guessed the Senate map.
So they are Hawaii, Indiana, Mississippi, Florida, Virginia, Maryland and New York (counting the two New England independents as Democratic-caucusing, as they are in real life).
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #791 on: September 17, 2020, 03:37:50 AM »


It would definitely be close, within 3%. But which states split their ticket between President and Senate?

Ehm we already know that as you posted the presidential map and now we have (or better Weatherboy has) guessed the Senate map.
So they are Hawaii, Indiana, Mississippi, Florida, Virginia, Maryland and New York (counting the two New England independents as Democratic-caucusing, as they are in real life).

It was a question I had asked in my initial post, so I was following up on it. And you are correct when you say that the two independents caucus with the Democratic Party, as they do in RL.
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NHI
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« Reply #792 on: September 19, 2020, 10:04:37 AM »

2012: A Nightmare
✓ Trump/Huntsman: 270 (61,951,686) -- 47.93%
 
Obama/Biden: 268 (64,319,040) -- 49.76%
 
Other:   0 ( 2,975,495) --  2.31%

2016: A Backlash

✓ Clinton/Brown: 333 (71,401,455) -- 51.13%
 
Trump/Huntsman: 205 (64,777,202) -- 46.38%
 
Other:   0 (3,461,105) --  2.49%

2020: Deliverance

  
✓ Clinton/Brown: 498 (73,401,591) -- 51.21%
 
Trump/Gohmert: 21 (17,843,393) -- 12.45%

Bush/Ryan: 21 (49,568,111) -- 34.58%
 
Other:   0 (2,498,104) --  1.74%
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #793 on: September 19, 2020, 02:00:21 PM »

A variant of NHI's maps:

please ignore the names on top, these are lazy 270towin maps

2016: We All Know What Happened



   Clinton/Kaine 232 (48.2%)
✓ Trump/Pence 306 (46.1%)


2020: The Bidenslide



✓ Biden/Harris 413 (53.4%)
   Trump/Pence 125 (44.6%)


2024: They Just Can't Let Go



✓ Biden/Harris 467 (50.1%)
   Pence/DeSantis 65 (34.6%)
   Trump/Boebert 6 (12.4%)

The Republican primary in 2024 goes similarly to the Democratic primary in 2020 - in a large field, candidates take turns surging and then collapsing until the party eventually settles for Pence. Trump refuses to end his run even after the Republican party begs him to, and claims the party has abandoned him/"the real America"/etc. Pence chooses hardcore Trumpist DeSantis, one of the many who flopped in the primary, as his running mate in an attempt to weaken Trump's run. It gains him a few points in the polls, but not enough to change anything significantly.

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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #794 on: September 20, 2020, 12:09:10 AM »

United States Senate Election in South Dakota, 2014:

Fmr. Sen. Larry Pressler (Independent): 49.63% | 138,671
Fmr. Gov. Mike Rounds (Republican): 47.34% | 132,267
Mr. Gordon Howie (Independent): 3.03% | 8,474
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #795 on: September 20, 2020, 04:59:48 PM »

1868 Presidential Election



President Hannibal Hamlin (R-ME)/Attorney General James Speed (R-KY): 226 electoral votes, 54.7% popular vote
Rep. George H. Pendleton (D-OH)/Gov. Joel Parker (D-NJ): 68 electoral votes, 44.9% popular vote
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #796 on: September 21, 2020, 09:29:25 AM »

2020 Jorgensen vs. Hawkins



✓ Ms. Jo Jorgensen (L-SC)/Mr. Spike Cohen (L-??): 365 EVs.; 55.5%
Mr. Howie Hawkins (G-NY)/Ms. Angela Walker (G-SC): 173 EVs.; 43.1%
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #797 on: September 21, 2020, 07:03:50 PM »

Kentucky Gubernatorial Election, 2015

Mr. Gatewood Galbraith: 36.65% | 356,893
Mr. Matt Bevin: 34.73% | 338,128
Attorney General Jack Conway: 28.61% | 278,596
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Cassandra
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« Reply #798 on: September 22, 2020, 06:45:43 PM »



Roosevelt: 284
Wilson: 217
Taft: 30
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #799 on: September 22, 2020, 08:55:11 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2020, 09:22:24 PM by darklordoftech »

2008 if “America’s Puritan roots” really were the origin of every aspect of American culture:



Former Governor Mike Huckabee: 538
Senator Joe Biden: 0
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