Devout Centrist
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Posts: 10,128
Political Matrix E: -99.99, S: -99.99
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« on: January 18, 2019, 09:04:11 PM » |
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There was no way the Conservatives were going to lose the confidence vote this week. They have a confidence and supply deal with the DUP. Any Tory that broke ranks would have been expelled from the Party!
Secondly, Corbyn’s popularity has very much depended on the time and circumstance. He is a solid campaigner, and his popularity tends to swing upward during election season. Now it’s sagged quite a bit, but let me leave you with a little historical insight: Labor enjoyed massive leads over the Tory Party in 1990 and 1991. Thatcher’s exit as Prime Minister caused the Conservatives to gain a bit of ground, but they still trailed overall.
Then came the General Election. The exit poll projected Labour to be the largest party. Instead, the Tories secured a majority of 22. I ask you, did any of those double digit leads actually mean anything?
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