Could a White VRA district ever have to be drawn?

[Oryxslayer]

Is there anywhere besides Mississippi where this might be a possibility? Louisiana maybe? California someday?

There are a lot of steps I feel to get to this outcome, but it is a logical one. First said state can't be just 50% AA, it has to be something around 60% so that a case for white suppression can be justified. Then you probably need a supreme court case that will accept the argument to extend the VRA in cases where one non-white group possesses a commanding majority.

In the case of the SW states, it also probably requires Hispanics to not be integrated into the collective american definition of 'White' by then, in a similar vein to how Irish, Italians, and Slavs were in the 20th century. The only demographic group that has avoided cultural integration historically are African Americans, so perhaps this case will only ever end up applying to various regions of the deep south.

[Oryxslayer]

One place where CA could see this test is the south Joaquin Valley/Grapevine region south of Fresno but north of LA. Outside of the Fresno city, this region behaves like the deep south with Hispanics near uniformly Dem and Whites near uniformly Rep. However, because Hispanics are under-registered, it would have to be a long time until this region is both minority white by Pop and registered VAP.

[Oryxslayer]

As we said earlier, there needs to be a difference in political opinion between the two groups. Which is why a White VRA would probably only rise in the South, where whites and Blacks vote 90% for two different parties, rather then anywhere else.