GA-SEN 2020 Class II Megathread (Perdue inc.)

[Rookie Yinzer]

Normally, I'm wary of rerunning losers. Even if they're great fundraisers like Ossoff, there's still a part of me that's hesitant.

GA is so tribal and partisan I don’t think it matters who we run. Stacey Abrams and the voter suppression stuff has Black people ready to turn out for whoever and we know the hicks are coming out full force to protect Trump. GA is going to be high turnout regardless. I think we are getting a runoff between Warnock and Collins and that’s going to be just as epic as the November general. What a time to be alive.

No way is Warnock going to win a Runoff in January especially if the Senate is already decided one way or the other. I remember the ballistic Democratic Trolls over at DailyKos in 2008 when the believed Jim Martin would pull off a Runoff Victory against Saxby Chambliss. How did that turn out?

You're citing what happened twelve years ago as a predictor for a hypothetical runoff?  The state has changed a lot since then.  I'm not saying that Warnock would necessarily be favored, but it wouldn't be a slam dunk for Collins.

Oh, I don't deny that Georgia has changed but Warnock would not get the AA Support he needs in a Runoff to win especially if the Senate is already decided.
Looking at the past few years only Popular Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards has managed to win a Runoff in a State of the Deep South. That is saying something.

If Democrats want to win in States like GA, AL, MS they have to do it outright on Election Day in November.

Sorry you don’t live here. This is not 2008. We have millions of new people on the rolls. In 2018, John Barrow and Lindy Miller got 48 percent in a run off for some down ballot races. The pastor of MLK’s old church, backed by Stacey Abrams, in the state at the center of voter suppression conversation is going to have high turnout in January. PERIOD.

[DINGO Joe]

Bordeaux now at 50.5

[2016]

With all but 3 Precincts left to report according to the GA SoS Office Senator David Perdue has 43K more Votes than Trump.

Perdue: 958,560

Trump: 934,773

I'd say right now that Perdue is in better shap in his own Reelection Race compared to Trumps Quest to hang on to GA 15 Electoral Votes.

[Suburbia]

Lean R. The protests will determine the election.

[Pericles]

Lean R. The protests will determine the election.

GA is a tossup at this point. Maybe Lean R if the national environment were Tossup, but in a Lean/Likely D national environment it has to be a Tossup now.

[DINGO Joe]

With all but 3 Precincts left to report according to the GA SoS Office Senator David Perdue has 43K more Votes than Trump.

Perdue: 958,560

Trump: 934,773

I'd say right now that Perdue is in better shap in his own Reelection Race compared to Trumps Quest to hang on to GA 15 Electoral Votes.

You should read the disclaimer at the top of the SOS results website that says ballots cast for the March Presidential Primary haven't been added to the totals at this point.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With all but 3 Precincts left to report according to the GA SoS Office Senator David Perdue has 43K more Votes than Trump.

Perdue: 958,560

Trump: 934,773

I'd say right now that Perdue is in better shap in his own Reelection Race compared to Trumps Quest to hang on to GA 15 Electoral Votes.

You should read the disclaimer at the top of the SOS results website that says ballots cast for the March Presidential Primary haven't been added to the totals at this point.

He might also want to buy a calculator.   958,560 - 934,773 = 23,787 (not 43K)

[Oryxslayer]

It really was just a media market battle.

[wbrocks67]

Wow. Ossoff raised $2.3 million just since winning the primary.

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1278267101891854337

[OneJ]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1281259887012577283

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1281259887012577283

Both sides finally agree this is a tossup race, I see. This county map is going to be almost as insane as ME GOV 2002!

[Adam Griffin]

With all but 3 Precincts left to report according to the GA SoS Office Senator David Perdue has 43K more Votes than Trump.

Perdue: 958,560

Trump: 934,773

I'd say right now that Perdue is in better shap in his own Reelection Race compared to Trumps Quest to hang on to GA 15 Electoral Votes.

For the record/final numbers:

Trump   1033313
Perdue   992555

I wouldn't read much into these, as the drop-off - while a tad high - is for a primary and therefore more prone to volatility & protest-(non)voting.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1281259887012577283

Both sides finally agree this is a tossup race, I see. This county map is going to be almost as insane as ME GOV 2002!

It would be interesting if someone on here decided to produce a prediction of what Georgia's "joke map" would look like, with the alleged Perdue strength in the suburbs and the Ossoff strength in the rurals. I imagine that it would look similar to the 1980 Senate map between Mack Mattingly and Herman Talmadge:

I've enjoyed the memes which have been made about such a scenario on this forum.

[MT Treasurer]

Republicans desperately trying to rescue Suburban Perdue from total annihilation in the backcountry with a new hard-hitting, devastating attack ad which cunningly exploits past rural backlash to a condescending Anglican establishment:

https://twitter.com/NRSC/status/1281278848336789509

[WD]

Republicans desperately trying to rescue Suburban Perdue from total annihilation in the backcountry with a new hard-hitting, devastating attack ad which cunningly exploits past rural backlash to a condescending Anglican establishment:

https://twitter.com/NRSC/status/1281278848336789509

Are they crazy? This is only going to hurt Perdue in the Suburbs. Once the Moderate Suburbanites see this their Going to abandon Perdue in droves. Maybe he’s not as formidable as we thought.

Titanium Perdue-> Tilt Perdue

[Roll Roons]

Funny how they always use a narrator with a British accent to criticize candidates for being entitled. They did the same with Patrick Murphy in Florida four years ago:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H15LxRk8zOg

[MT Treasurer]

Are they crazy? This is only going to hurt Perdue in the Suburbs. Once the Moderate Suburbanites see this their Going to abandon Perdue in droves. Maybe he’s not as formidable as we thought.

Titanium Perdue-> Tilt Perdue

What? Perdue also released soothing suburban ads for his base:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZStHiUUSyd8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGjeOl2JaWw

[WD]

Are they crazy? This is only going to hurt Perdue in the Suburbs. Once the Moderate Suburbanites see this their Going to abandon Perdue in droves. Maybe he’s not as formidable as we thought.

Titanium Perdue-> Tilt Perdue

What? Perdue also released soothing suburban ads for his base:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZStHiUUSyd8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGjeOl2JaWw

Those are some really soothing ads. I’m gonna be honest if I lived in the Suburbs I would go straight out and change my registration from Democrat to Republican. No wonder Perdue is so beloved. He’s nothing like Trump, this man is the next Reagan.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Are they crazy? This is only going to hurt Perdue in the Suburbs. Once the Moderate Suburbanites see this their Going to abandon Perdue in droves. Maybe he’s not as formidable as we thought.

Titanium Perdue-> Tilt Perdue

What? Perdue also released soothing suburban ads for his base:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZStHiUUSyd8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGjeOl2JaWw

He really knows how to woo those suburbanites with his quarter-zip pullover

[Rookie Yinzer]

Purdue lives on a private island calling somebody privileged. Oh ok....

[QAnonKelly]

Are they crazy? This is only going to hurt Perdue in the Suburbs. Once the Moderate Suburbanites see this their Going to abandon Perdue in droves. Maybe he’s not as formidable as we thought.

Titanium Perdue-> Tilt Perdue

What? Perdue also released soothing suburban ads for his base:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZStHiUUSyd8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGjeOl2JaWw

Hahaha he turned the comments off cause he knew he was gonna get roasted 😂😂😂😂

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Republicans desperately trying to rescue Suburban Perdue from total annihilation in the backcountry with a new hard-hitting, devastating attack ad which cunningly exploits past rural backlash to a condescending Anglican establishment:

https://twitter.com/NRSC/status/1281278848336789509

This is a masterpiece in intimidation. The threat as Perdue adjusts his jacket is all too real for downballot Democrats; it's an allusion to the coattails that could sweep them aside should they try to voice support for Ossoff in his doomed bid.

[QAnonKelly]

I’d forgotten about this but I wonder what happened with the case about Suburban Titan Dave snatching someone’s phone at Tech. I read the guy was suing him but I assume Perdue just settled it quietly and made the guy sign an NDA.  It’d make a pretty good ad for Ossoff tho.

Edit: One woke King of the suburbs endorses his fellow woke King of the suburbs

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1271163756144279552?s=20

[VAR]

Ossoff raised $2.2 million in Q2 (excluding that $250k loan).

Perdue, too, raised $2.2 million.

[wbrocks67]

Ossoff raised $2.2 million in Q2 (excluding that $250k loan).

Perdue, too, raised $2.2 million.

No, Ossosff raised $3.4M in Q2

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/georgia-senate-ossoff-amasses-since-winning-primary/SZQereEAq1CO7UsbPhhGgM/