2019 India April–May LS general elections and assembly elections of 2019
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Author Topic: 2019 India April–May LS general elections and assembly elections of 2019  (Read 64835 times)
jaichind
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« Reply #550 on: May 23, 2019, 12:17:59 AM »

At this rate INC would be lucky to cross 60 seats.
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jaichind
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« Reply #551 on: May 23, 2019, 12:20:19 AM »

WB vote share is now

AITC  45.1%
BJP    38.9%
Left     6.9%
INC     5.4%

BJP most likely will start to lose ground in terms of seat count here if this vote share sustains itself.
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jaichind
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« Reply #552 on: May 23, 2019, 12:22:59 AM »

MP seat count now BJP 23 INC 6 so INC is losing ground like I expected given the ECI reported vote share.  I think INC will end up losing all its seats here as counting goes on.
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jaichind
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« Reply #553 on: May 23, 2019, 12:28:36 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya
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jaichind
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« Reply #554 on: May 23, 2019, 12:35:30 AM »

SENSEX up 2.2%
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jaichind
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« Reply #555 on: May 23, 2019, 12:38:41 AM »

Not many votes are on ECI for Odisha but the vote share so far are

BJD                      42.7%
BJP                      36.9%
INC-JMM-CPM-CPI 15.3%

It seems BJD has survived the storm
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jaichind
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« Reply #556 on: May 23, 2019, 12:40:37 AM »

TN vote share

DMK-INC bloc        52.6%
AIADMK-BJP bloc   30.1%
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Computer89
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« Reply #557 on: May 23, 2019, 12:41:21 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people
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jaichind
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« Reply #558 on: May 23, 2019, 12:42:36 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people

Well, I think the BJP is not moving on that because they want the issue more than the temple.  Of course their grassroots want the temple more than the issue.
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jaichind
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« Reply #559 on: May 23, 2019, 12:50:04 AM »

In Assam's Kokrajhar, ex-INC ally UPP(L) is ahead and the ex-ULFA incumbent is running second.  BJP ally BPF surprising is running third. 
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jaichind
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« Reply #560 on: May 23, 2019, 12:51:53 AM »

Uttarakhand vote share

BJP   60.7%
INC   31.7%
BSP    4.5%
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jaichind
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« Reply #561 on: May 23, 2019, 12:55:21 AM »

Telangana seat so far is TRS 8 BJP 6 INC 3.  Unlikely to hold given ECI vote share reported as TRS 42% INC 29.5% BJP 18.5%.  BJP leading in Hyderbad over AIMIM clearly cannot hold.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #562 on: May 23, 2019, 12:57:41 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people



Enough blood has already been spilt there, people just need to leave that site alone.
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jaichind
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« Reply #563 on: May 23, 2019, 01:00:22 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people



Enough blood has already been spilt there, people just need to leave that site alone.

Sure, I agree what took place in 1992 cannot be justified.  Still I think the Muslim community is not being reasonable here.  Islam does not really have any rules on where a masque is located while Hinduism care a lot about where a temple is located.  Not sure why the Muslims just do not make a deal to give up that space in return for BJP/RSS helping build several masques in other locations all over UP.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #564 on: May 23, 2019, 01:14:43 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people



Enough blood has already been spilt there, people just need to leave that site alone.

Sure, I agree what took place in 1992 cannot be justified.  Still I think the Muslim community is not being reasonable here.  Islam does not really have any rules on where a masque is located while Hinduism care a lot about where a temple is located.  Not sure why the Muslims just do not make a deal to give up that space in return for BJP/RSS helping build several masques in other locations all over UP.

It doesn’t even matter at this point in that sense, muslims have like no power or say so in what happens next, they are at the mercy of Modi, who will obviously continue f#cking them over. They already have it, and I guess some people just feel like rubbing salt in wounds, whatever, nothing can be done about it, guess they will pay on judgment day.
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jaichind
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« Reply #565 on: May 23, 2019, 01:16:36 AM »

UP vote share (slight shift away from BJP)

BJP              49.1%
SP-BSP-RLD  39.1%
INC                6.0%

The SP-BSL-RLD vote share is actually not that bad and is only slightly below what these 3 parties got in 2014.  What really is pushing BJP ahead is the collapse of the INC vote and BJP consolidation other votes that went to minor players in 2014.  This seems the INC strategy in reverse.  INC was going to cut into the BJP vote by running separately from SP-BSP-RLD but instead they lost votes to BJP.
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jaichind
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« Reply #566 on: May 23, 2019, 01:17:58 AM »

Slight shift toward NDA

NDA    329(-23)
UPA      99(+34)
OTH    114(-11)

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jaichind
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« Reply #567 on: May 23, 2019, 01:19:04 AM »

YSRCP ahead in 24 out of 25 seats in AP.  Massive landslide
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urutzizu
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« Reply #568 on: May 23, 2019, 01:19:16 AM »

Rahul Gandhi is still trailing in Amethi. And why are NDTV pundits taking Telengana results at face value?
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jaichind
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« Reply #569 on: May 23, 2019, 01:24:11 AM »

Rahul Gandhi is still trailing in Amethi. And why are NDTV pundits taking Telengana results at face value?

ECI numbers are further behind media counts so Rahul Gandhi is still ahead.  ECI are good for getting vote shares that gives you  sense what the macro picture looks like while a seat by seat picture is not accurate.   I think NDTV did show surprise that AIMIM is behind BJP in Hyderbad. 
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Computer89
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« Reply #570 on: May 23, 2019, 01:24:59 AM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 01:28:11 AM by Old School Republican »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people



Enough blood has already been spilt there, people just need to leave that site alone.

Sure, I agree what took place in 1992 cannot be justified.  Still I think the Muslim community is not being reasonable here.  Islam does not really have any rules on where a masque is located while Hinduism care a lot about where a temple is located.  Not sure why the Muslims just do not make a deal to give up that space in return for BJP/RSS helping build several masques in other locations all over UP.

It doesn’t even matter at this point in that sense, muslims have like no power or say so in what happens next, they are at the mercy of Modi, who will obviously continue f#cking them over. They already have it, and I guess some people just feel like rubbing salt in wounds, whatever, nothing can be done about it, guess they will pay on judgment day.

Ayodhya is the home of Ram though, so there should be a Ram Temple there. Like Jaichind said you can build a mosque right next to the new temple as well and everything will be fine.

Its not nationalist or religious fundamentalism to want that that to happen, its actually the opposite: its respecting both Hindus and Muslims and I am sure if the above happened the vast majority of people would be happy.


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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #571 on: May 23, 2019, 01:29:31 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people



Enough blood has already been spilt there, people just need to leave that site alone.

Sure, I agree what took place in 1992 cannot be justified.  Still I think the Muslim community is not being reasonable here.  Islam does not really have any rules on where a masque is located while Hinduism care a lot about where a temple is located.  Not sure why the Muslims just do not make a deal to give up that space in return for BJP/RSS helping build several masques in other locations all over UP.

It doesn’t even matter at this point in that sense, muslims have like no power or say so in what happens next, they are at the mercy of Modi, who will obviously continue f#cking them over. They already have it, and I guess some people just feel like rubbing salt in wounds, whatever, nothing can be done about it, guess they will pay on judgment day.

Ayodhya is the home of Ram though, so there should be a Ram Temple there. Like Jaichind said you can build a mosque right next to the new temple as well and everything will be fine.

Its not nationalist or religious fundamentalism to want that that to happen, its actually the opposite: its respecting both Hindus and Muslims and I am sure if the above happened the vast majority of people would be happy.



Yeah, but I’d be willing to bet a penny or two on said mosque being torched by some hindutva element relatively quickly, there’s no point. Besides why is there even any talk of compromise? Muslims don’t hold any power or leverage to make any of that happened, they are powerless.
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jaichind
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« Reply #572 on: May 23, 2019, 01:30:17 AM »

Kerala not going well at all for Left Front but also surprising also not well for BJP.  Rahul Gandhi is making an impact here

INC-IMUL-KEC(M)-RSP   47.4%
Left Front                      31.2% (does not count a couple of pro-Left independents so the real vote share is around 33%-34%)
BJP                               12.5%
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Computer89
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« Reply #573 on: May 23, 2019, 01:31:30 AM »

After this landslide I wonder if the BJP will get going on building that Ram temple in Ayodhya

Ayodhya is the home of Ram, so it makes sense for a temple of Ram to be there. Im surprised there isnt one already there


Fun Fact: Ram is my favorite avatar of Vishnu  not Krishna like most people



Enough blood has already been spilt there, people just need to leave that site alone.

Sure, I agree what took place in 1992 cannot be justified.  Still I think the Muslim community is not being reasonable here.  Islam does not really have any rules on where a masque is located while Hinduism care a lot about where a temple is located.  Not sure why the Muslims just do not make a deal to give up that space in return for BJP/RSS helping build several masques in other locations all over UP.

It doesn’t even matter at this point in that sense, muslims have like no power or say so in what happens next, they are at the mercy of Modi, who will obviously continue f#cking them over. They already have it, and I guess some people just feel like rubbing salt in wounds, whatever, nothing can be done about it, guess they will pay on judgment day.

Ayodhya is the home of Ram though, so there should be a Ram Temple there. Like Jaichind said you can build a mosque right next to the new temple as well and everything will be fine.

Its not nationalist or religious fundamentalism to want that that to happen, its actually the opposite: its respecting both Hindus and Muslims and I am sure if the above happened the vast majority of people would be happy.



Yeah, but I’d be willing to bet a penny or two on said mosque being torched by some hindutva element relatively quickly, there’s no point. Besides why is there even any talk of compromise? Muslims don’t hold any power or leverage to make any of that happened, they are powerless.

The people who do that should be jailed for quite some time for that then and I would support increasing current sentences for those types of crimes.


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jaichind
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« Reply #574 on: May 23, 2019, 01:31:51 AM »

Further shift toward NDA

NDA    331(-21)
UPA      94(+29)
OTH    117(-8)

This is that shift I was talking about that the winning side gains as time continues.
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