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  Talk Elections
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  Croatian Presidential election: 22 Dec 2019 1st Round
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Author Topic: Croatian Presidential election: 22 Dec 2019 1st Round  (Read 1506 times)
Mike88
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« on: December 22, 2019, 08:37:48 am »
« edited: December 22, 2019, 09:02:32 am by Mike88 »

Didn't found a thread about this. Croatians are going to the polls to elect, or reelect, a new President. The race is very, very close, according to polling, between the current President, Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, former SDP Prime Minister, Zoran Milanović, and anti-system candidate, Miroslav Škoro:



The 1st round will be held today, 22 December, and a second round on 5 January 2020. The second round polls are also very close between the 3 main candidates.

I would imagine that Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović would be quite popular. Anyone has any insight in Croatian politics? I believe that Škoro may be damaging her prospect, while Milanović is holding up the SDP core voting bloc.
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Estrella
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« Reply #1 on: December 22, 2019, 09:58:47 am »

I wonder why are Živi zid not standing? Their leader got 16% last time round, and the party seems to be doing pretty good in the polls.
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bigic
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« Reply #2 on: December 22, 2019, 11:10:49 am »

I wonder why are Živi zid not standing? Their leader got 16% last time round, and the party seems to be doing pretty good in the polls.
Živi Zid don't poll very good nowadays. Their former leader Ivan Pernar left the party and now is standing in the presidential election with his own party, while what's left of the party supports the independent candidate Mislav Kolakušić.
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Mike88
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« Reply #3 on: December 22, 2019, 11:30:28 am »

Turnout is up. Could reach 50% in the first round.

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mgop
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« Reply #4 on: December 22, 2019, 11:38:57 am »

Milanovic is only normal candidate of "Big 3". He will win in second round.
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Mike88
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« Reply #5 on: December 22, 2019, 01:06:39 pm »

Exit Poll:

29.6% Zoran Milanović
26.4% Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
24.1% Miroslav Škoro
  5.8% Mislav Kolakušić
  4.4% Dario Juričan
  3.3% Dalija Orešković
  2.5% Ivan Pernar
  1.1% Katarina Peović
  0.9% Dejan Kovač
  0.4% Nedjeljko Babić
  0.4% Anto Đapić
  1.1% Blank/Invalid

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mgop
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« Reply #6 on: December 22, 2019, 01:58:45 pm »

now it's even smaller margin:

milanović
28,69 %

kitarović
25,63 %

škoro
24,26 %
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mgop
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« Reply #7 on: December 22, 2019, 02:07:03 pm »

first official results after 28,59% counted:

milanović
32,02%

kitarović
27,99%

škoro
21,78%
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mgop
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« Reply #8 on: December 22, 2019, 02:14:37 pm »

after 38,80%:

milanović
31,39%

kitarović
27,83%

škoro
22,33%
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PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #9 on: December 22, 2019, 02:31:22 pm »

Thank God Škoro isn’t gonna make it.
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mgop
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« Reply #10 on: December 22, 2019, 02:33:50 pm »

after 57,62%:

milanović
30,79%

kitarović
27,46%

škoro
22,03%

it's interesting that croatia proper and istria voted mostly for milanovic, dalmatia and voters from abroad mostly for kitarovic, while slavonia voted mostly for skoro
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Congrats Senator Manny Sethi
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« Reply #11 on: December 22, 2019, 02:50:11 pm »

Thank God Škoro isn’t gonna make it.

I wouldn't jinx it until 90-95% is in.
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mgop
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« Reply #12 on: December 22, 2019, 03:04:20 pm »
« Edited: December 22, 2019, 03:37:31 pm by mgop »

after 95,03%:

milanović
29,55%

kitarović
26,85%

škoro
24,38%
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PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #13 on: December 23, 2019, 02:18:44 am »

Thank God Škoro isn’t gonna make it.
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mgop
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« Reply #14 on: January 01, 2020, 06:27:23 pm »

in both polls after the first round milanovic have advantage

2x1 komunikacije:
milanovic
40,0
kitarovic
38,9

ipsos puls:
milanovic
48,4   
kitarovic
41,1
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pilskonzept
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« Reply #15 on: January 02, 2020, 11:06:46 am »

Surprising given that Škoro is a right-winger, if a somewhat maverick one. Polls normally don't include the HDZ-leaning diaspora vote, so it's going to be a nailbiter.
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mgop
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« Reply #16 on: January 03, 2020, 08:11:19 am »

Surprising given that Škoro is a right-winger, if a somewhat maverick one. Polls normally don't include the HDZ-leaning diaspora vote, so it's going to be a nailbiter.

actually škoro called his voters to just add number 3. with his name. he does not support any of these candidates and that is logical for him because he plans to stay in politics and go to the parliamentary elections in the end of this year. many of people who supported him are not right wingers, just anti-establishment.

by the way debate was last night and milanovic crushed kitarovic.
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OldEurope
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« Reply #17 on: January 05, 2020, 01:09:08 pm »

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #18 on: January 05, 2020, 02:23:47 pm »

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CumbrianLeftie
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« Reply #19 on: January 05, 2020, 07:20:40 pm »
« Edited: January 05, 2020, 08:18:17 pm by CumbrianLeftie »

Well that seems a very accurate exit poll Smiley
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OldEurope
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« Reply #20 on: January 06, 2020, 07:07:01 am »

result


Zoran Milanovic (SDP-S&D): 52.67%
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic (*-EPP): 47.33%
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