Brazil General Discussion 2019: It's Slammer Time!

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poll Paraná Pesquisas Presidential Election 2022

 February 25th -  March 1st 2021

Scenario 1 (the most probable)

Jair Bolsonaro (no party - far-right - authoritarianism, neofascism, traditionalism, economic liberalism, ultranationalism)                                                       

31,9%

Sérgio Moro (no party - center-right to right-wing - social conservatism, anti-corruption, economic liberalism)                                 

11,5%

Fernando Haddad (Worker's Party - PT - left-wing - democratic socialism, marxism, lulism)                                 

10,5%

Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT -center-left - social democracy, nationalism) 
                                                                                                                             
10%

Luciano Huck (no party - center to center-right - Third Way, liberalism, social liberalism, economic liberalism)

8%

João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party  - PSDB - center to center-right - Third Way, economic liberalism, social democracy, social liberalism, social conservatism)

5,3%

Guilherme Boulos (Socialism and Liberty Party - PSOL - left-wing to far-left - democratic socialism, anti-capitalism, LGBT rights, cannabis legalization)

3,2%

João Amoêdo (New Party - NOVO - center-right to right-wing - economic liberalism, social conservatism, fiscal conservatism)

2,8%

don't know and didn't answer 4,3%

Blank, null, nobody 12,5%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poll Paraná Pesquisas Presidential Election 2022

Scenario 2 (without Huck)

February 25th to March 1st

Jair Bolsonaro (no party - far-right - authoritarianism, neofascism, traditionalism, economic liberalism, ultranationalism)

33,9%

Sérgio Moro (no party - center-right to right-wing - social conservatism, anti-corruption, economic liberalism)  

12,3%

Fernando Haddad (Worker´s Party - PT - left-wing - democratic socialism, marxism, lulism)

11,8%

Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT -center-left - social democracy, nationalism)

10,7%

João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party  - PSDB - center to center-right - Third Way, economic liberalism, social democracy, social liberalism, social conservatism)

6,3%

Guilherme Boulos (Socialism and Liberty Party - PSOL - left-wing to far-left - democratic socialism, anti-capitalism, LGBT rights, cannabis legalization)

3,2%

João Amoêdo (New Party - NOVO - center-right to right-wing - economic liberalism, social conservatism, fiscal conservatism)

3,2%

dk/da

4,9%

Blank, null, nobody

13,7%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poll Paraná Pesquisas Presidential Election 2022

Scenario 3 (with Eduardo Leite)

February 25th to March 1st

Jair Bolsonaro (no party - far-right - authoritarianism, neofascism, traditionalism, economic liberalism, ultranationalism)

32,4%

Sérgio Moro (no party - center-right to right-wing - social conservatism, anti-corruption, economic liberalism)

12%

Fernando Haddad (Worker´s Party - PT - left-wing - democratic socialism, marxism, lulism)

10,8%

Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT -center-left - social democracy, nationalism)

10,3%

Luciano Huck (no party - center to center-right - Third Way, liberalism, social liberalism, economic liberalism)

8,7%

Guilherme Boulos (Socialism and Liberty Party - PSOL - left-wing to far-left - democratic socialism, anti-capitalism, LGBT rights, cannabis legalization)

3,2%

João Amoêdo (New Party - NOVO - center-right to right-wing - economic liberalism, social conservatism, fiscal conservatism)

3%

Eduardo Leite (Brazilian Social Democracy Party  - PSDB - center to center-right - Third Way, economic liberalism, social democracy, social liberalism, social conservatism)

2,3%

dk/da

4,5%

Blank, null, nobody

12,7%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poll Paraná Pesquisas Presidential Election 2022

Scenario 4 (with Luiz Inácio da Silva - Lula and Luiz Henrique Mandetta)

February 25th to March 1st

Jair Bolsonaro (no party - far-right - authoritarianism, neofascism, traditionalism, economic liberalism, ultranationalism)

32,2%

Lula (Worker's Party - PT - left-wing - democratic socialism, marxism, lulism)

18%

Sérgio Moro (no party - center-right to right-wing - social conservatism, anti-corruption, economic liberalism)

11,6%

Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT -center-left - social democracy, nationalism)

8,7%

João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party  - PSDB - center to center-right - Third Way, economic liberalism, social democracy, social liberalism, social conservatism)

5,3%

Guilherme Boulos (Socialism and Liberty Party - PSOL - left-wing to far-left - democratic socialism, anti-capitalism, LGBT rights, cannabis legalization)

3,5%

João Amoêdo (New Party - NOVO - center-right to right-wing - economic liberalism, social conservatism, fiscal conservatism)

3%

Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats - DEM - center-right - social conservatism, economic liberalism)

1,4%

dk/da

4,3%

blank/null/nobody

12%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poll Paraná Pesquisas Presidential Election 2022

Scenario 5 (the last scenario  without Moro, Huck and Boulos)

Jair Bolsonaro (no party - far-right - authoritarianism, neofascism, traditionalism, economic liberalism, ultranationalism)

37,6%

Fernando Haddad (Worker's Party - PT - left-wing - democratic socialism, marxism, lulism)

14,3%

Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT -center-left - social democracy, nationalism)

13%

João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party  - PSDB - center to center-right - Third Way, economic liberalism, social democracy, social liberalism, social conservatism)

6,9%

João Amoêdo (New Party - NOVO - center-right to right-wing - economic liberalism, social conservatism, fiscal conservatism)

3,9%

Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats - DEM - center-right - social conservatism, economic liberalism)

2,7%

dk/da

6%

blank/null/nobody

15,5%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Polls show that Lula is the one in the opposition who performs better. He is doing better than other left-wing potential candidates and also better than "centrists" (non-Bolsonaro right-wing candidates according to the media).

Is this just in the first round or is he performing better one on one against Bolsonaro?

It depends largely. Of all the opposition candidates, Lula is the one who leads the best, however, depending on the bias of the electoral survey, he is still sometimes far behind Bolsonaro, in the first round scenarios. In the second round scenarios, this is repeated again: in some Bolsonaro leads, in others, despite being a minority of these scenarios, Lula leads.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

I don't know why Mandetta and Moro are still considered serious options.
Former minister of health Mandetta had a sane speech concerning the pandemic, he tried to make a serious job, but he was not very competent in the early stages of the pandemic. He was too slow in closing the airports and purchasing equipment for hospitals.
Moro is hated by the left, and he became also hated by the far-right after April 2020.

Mandetta was by far the best health minister we had, when he was dismissed from office,  Brazil only had 1,600 dead in the pandemic, I think the negative impacts at the beggining of his administration were minimal.

I´m not a very big fan of him as a person, but I think you misrepresenting his management here, he gave the best of him and he didn´t want to follow Bolsonaro's chloroquine booklet, like his brief successor, Nelson Teich, and before the terrible one, current management of General Pazuello (or Pezadello - nightmare).

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

PoderData poll:

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT - Worker´s Party - left-wing - democratic socialism, left-wing populism, marxism, labourism)

34%

Jair Bolsonaro (No party - far-right - authoritarianism, militarism, traditionalism, economic liberalism, right-wing nationalism)

30%

Sérgio Moro (No party - center-right to right-wing - economic liberalism, anticorruption, social conservatism)

6%

Ciro Gomes (PDT - Democratic Labour Party - center-left - democratic socialism, social democracy, labourism, left-wing nationalism)

5%

Luciano Huck (No party - center to center-right - liberalism, economic liberalism, social liberalism)

4%

João Amoêdo (NOVO - New Party- center-right to right-wing - economic liberalism, social conservatism, minarquism)

3%

João Doria (PSDB Brazilian Social Democracy Party - center-left, center to center-right - economic liberalism, social democracy, social liberalism, Third Way, social conservatism)

3%

Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM - Democrats - center-right - social conservatism, economic liberalism)

2%

Flávio Dino (PCdoB - Communist Party of Brazil - far-left - marxism-leninism, socialism)

0%

Blank/null: 10%
Don't know: 3%


https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/03/pd-intencao-presidente-17-mar-2021-2-01.png

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Runoff:

Bolsonaro 37%  x  Lula 41%

Bolsonaro 34% x Ciro Gomes 39%

Bolsonaro 37% x Luciano Huck 40%

Bolsonaro 38% x Sérgio Moro 31%

Bolsonaro 41% x João Doria 31%

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/03/PoderData-intencao-de-voto-2-turno-09.png

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

João Doria (PSDB Brazilian Social Democracy Party - center-left, center to center-right - economic liberalism, social democracy, social liberalism, Third Way, social conservatism)

Isn't that a little contradictory? Or does it relate to different issues?

Basically PSDB (Brazilian Social Democracy Party) its a Brazilian big tent political party, in which there are social liberals from this oldest wing that founded the party in 1988, as the former president of Brazil Fernando Henrique Cardoso (FHC), José Serra, Mário Covas, Geraldo Alckmin, and that from the last years, being opposition to the left-wing governments of the Worker´s Party (PT), of the former presidents Lula and Dilma Rousseff, the party moved to the center to center-left in its early years to the right, in which the party said (and still says) that it defends social democracy, and then mixed with elements of Third Way and Christian democracy and was even more to the political right with the rise of the current governor of the state of São Paulo, the most populous in Brazil, João Doria, who says that he is socially conservative and economically neoliberal, supported the current far-right president Jair Bolsonaro (PSL at the time and today  he has no party) in 2018 and now he is pre-candidate to the post of president of Brazil in 2022.

The younger wing of the party is more conservative than its wing that founded the party.

In Germany, PSDB is perhaps like the FDP party, which was center-left and later went to the neoliberal center-right. 

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Runoff:

Bolsonaro 37%  x  Lula 41%

Bolsonaro 34% x Ciro Gomes 39%

Bolsonaro 37% x Luciano Huck 40%

Bolsonaro 38% x Sérgio Moro 31%

Bolsonaro 41% x João Doria 31%

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/03/PoderData-intencao-de-voto-2-turno-09.png

So basically:

:rose emoji: +5
:red flag emoji: +4
Huck +3
Moro -7
Doria -10

Why are they polling Huck? Is he likely to run?

Yes, although there is no total likelihood that he will run, he was considered to run in the 2018 presidential election, but he remained on his TV show "Caldeirão do Huck" or "Huck's Cauldron" in english, on Rede Globo TV station, supported Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2018 presidential election and he is now choosing a liberal center party to join and run in 2022.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

You can be highly cynical about this, and almost certainly correctly so - but the mere fact Bolsonaro has felt the need to make these changes must tell us something?

It shows that the Bolsonaro government is more fragile, perhaps more fragile than any other moment since he took office on January 1st, 2019.

He needs to govern with the support of center and center-right parties ('Centrão'), putting new government ministers appointed by the Centrão, otherwise he may undergo an impeachment process and he may lose his position as president (which I don't think will occur until October 2022, until the new general elections), or else he can try to give a military coup d'état and install a dictatorship if Congress doesn't collaborate with him.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poder Data poll:

1st round

Luís Inácio Lula da Silva - Lula (Worker's Party - PT - left-wing)

34%

Jair Bolsonaro (no party - far-right)

31%

Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labor Party - PDT - center-left to left-wing)

6%

Luciano Huck (no party - center to center-right)

6%

João Amoedo (New Party - NOVO - center-right to right-wing)

5%

João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB - center-left, center, center-right)

4%

Sérgio Moro (no party - center-right)

3%

Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats - DEM - center-right)

2%

Blank/null

7%

Don't know

2%

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/04/pd-intencao-presidente-14-abr-2021-1.png

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poder Data 2nd round

Bolsonaro (no party) 34% vs. Lula (PT) 52%

Bolsonaro (no party) 35% vs. Huck (no party) 48%

Bolsonaro (no party) 38% vs. Ciro (PDT) 38%

Bolsonaro (no party) 38% vs. Doria (PSDB) 37%

Bolsonaro (no party) 38% vs. Moro (no party) 37%

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/04/pd-intencao-presidente-14-abr-2021-9.png

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Bolsonaro's government approval Poder Data poll:

Approve: 35%

Disapprove: 57%

Don't know: 8%

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/04/pd-bolsonaro-drive-28-abr-2021-4.png

Bolsonaro's approval has not going well since the beginning of March, with the explosion of cases and deaths of Covid, because Bolsonaro has denied 11 vaccine orders since the beginning of the pandemic, one of them denying 70 million doses of the Pfizer/Biontech vaccine, added to the military crisis at the end of March, and now with opening of the Senate inquiry into misuse of resources in the pandemic, added to the denialist action in relation to the disease through the criminal government of Jair Bolsonaro and his ministers.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Bolsonaro´s approval of his Presidency, Poder Data poll:

Excelent/good: 26%

Regular: 19%

Bad/Terrible: 51%

Don't know: 4%

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/04/pd-bolsonaro-drive-28-abr-2021-1.png

Bolsonaro's government approval - stratification Poder Data poll:

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/04/pd-bolsonaro-drive-28-abr-2021-4.png

Evaluation of the Bolsonaro's government  - stratification Poder Data poll:

https://static.poder360.com.br/2021/04/pd-bolsonaro-drive-28-abr-2021-2.png

There's a difference between the Bolsonaro's government's approval numbers and his personal approval as President. Some Brazilians tend to hold him more responsible than other members of his government, saving people like Economy minister Paulo Guedes.

There's also a discrepancy between the numebers in few Brazilian geographic regions: especially in the Centro-Oeste region (Midwest region), a region of many wealthy farmers, with certain similarities between American states like Texas and the Great Plains Region in the north-central of the US, with their rural population very loyal to Bolsonaro and the conservatism, with high rejection numbers. The other is the South Region, which gave Bolsonaro 70% of the votes in the 2nd round in 2018,with a much higher rejection rate against Bolsonaro in the second survey, which shows that Brazilian surveys are not always reliable.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

On the other hand, Bolsonaro's victory was only guaranteed with the attack he suffered on September 6th 2018 in the muncipality of Juiz de Fora, in the state of Minas Gerais, when a former member of the Brazilian party PSOL (Socialism and Liberty Party) called Adélio Bispo de Oliveira stabbed Bolsonaro, which prevented him from appearing on television debates among presidential candidates and allowed to win the Worker's Party candidate, Fernando Haddad (who suceeded Lula with his arrest and loss of political rights), in the second round, in October 28, 2018, with 55,13% of valid votes.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

EXAME IDEIA 2022 poll:

1st round:

spontaneous poll (without saying the names of the candidates):

Lula (Worker's Party - PT)  19%
Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 17%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT) 4%
Sérgio Moro (no party) 2%
João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB) 2%
Luciano Huck (no party) 1%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats - DEM) 0,5%
Eduardo Leite (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB) 0,3%
Tasso Jereissati (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB) 0,3%
Other 0,3%
Don't know: 46%
Nobody/blank/null: 7%

2st round scenarios:
with Bolsonaro
spontaneous poll:
Bolsonaro 37% vs. Lula 45%
Bolsonaro 45% vs. Huck 39%
Bolsonaro 40% vs. Ciro Gomes 37%
Bolsonaro 40% vs. Sérgio Moro 36%
Bolsonaro 46% vs. João Doria 33%
Bolsonaro 44% vs. Tasso Jereissati 30%
Bolsonaro 44% vs. Eduardo Leite 29%
Bolsonaro 46% vs. João Amoêdo 26%
Bolsonaro 47% vs. Danilo Gentili 23%

with Lula (without Bolsonaro)
Lula 44% vs. Huck 40%
Lula 43% vs. Moro 40%
Lula 43% vs. Ciro Gomes 35%
Lula 47% vs. Eduardo Leite 30%
Lula 47% vs. Tasso Jereissati 30%
Lula 45% vs. João Doria 28%
Lula 46% vs. João Amoedo 19%
Lula 47% vs. Danilo Gentili 17%

In both scenarios, Lula beats all his opponents, with tougher victories against third-way candidates Sérgio Moro and Luciano Huck, who end up losing very little. On the other hand, Bolsonaro defeats all his opponents except Lula, which shows a third-way candidate still very weak.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Poder Data 2022 poll:

1st round

Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 33%
Lula (Worker's Party - PT) 31%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT) 10%
Luciano Huck (no party) 4%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats - DEM) 4%
João Amoedo (New Party - NOVO) 3%
João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB) 3%
blank/null: 7%
don't know: 5%

2nd round scenarios

Bolsonaro 37% vs. Lula 48%
Bolsonaro 35% vs. Huck 45%
Bolsonaro 36% vs. Ciro 44%
Bolsonaro 39% vs. Doria 39%
Lula 45% vs. Huck 24%
Lula 42% vs. Ciro 22%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

XP Ipespe 2022 poll:

1st round

Spontaneous poll:

Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 24%
Lula (Worker's Party - PT) 24%
Ciro Gomes(Democratic Labour Party - PDT) 3%
Sérgio Moro (no party) 1%
João Amoêdo (New Party - NOVO) 1%
Guilherme Boulos (Socialism and Liberty Party - PSOL) 1%
João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB) 1%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats -DEM) 0%
Fernando Haddad (Worker's Party - PT) 0%

Don't know/don't answer: 36%
Blank/null: 8%

1st round

Stimulated poll:

Lula 32%
Bolsonaro 28%
Sérgio Moro 7%
Ciro Gomes 6%
Luciano Huck 4%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta 3%
João Doria 3%
Guilherme Boulos 2%
DK/DA/None/Blank/Null: 15%

2nd round

Lula 45% vs. Bolsonaro 36%
Ciro Gomes 41% vs. Bolsonaro 37%
Sérgio Moro 32% vs. Bolsonaro 32%
Luciano Huck 34% vs. Bolsonaro 37%
Guilherme Boulos 30% vs. Bolsonaro 30%
João Doria 33% vs. Bolsonaro39%
Lula 43% vs. Sérgio Moro 35%

The XP Ipespe poll, as well as a few other Brazilian polls, is still doing polls with some names that have already abndoned their candidacies, such as former federal judge Sérgio Moro, leftist actvist Guilherme Boulos and businessman and president of the New Party (NOVO), João Amoêdo, who today declared that he will not run in 2022, unlike the Poder Data survey that I have shown yesterday.

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Paraná Pesquisas 2022 poll:

1st round

Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 34,3%
Lula (Worker's Party - PT)32,5%
José Luiz Datena (no party) 7,5%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT) 5,8%
João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB) 3,4%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats - DEM) 3,2%
Simone Tebet (Brazilian Democratic Movement - MDB) 1,1%
Blanks/nulls: 8,6%
Don't know/don't answer: 3,6%

2nd round
Lula (Worker's Party - PT) 40,2%
Bolsonaro (no party) 40%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

Genial/Quaest 2022 presidential election poll:

1st round (spontaneous poll):

Lula (Workers Party - PT ) 21%
Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 18%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party - PDT) 1%
Others : 1%
Undecided: 57%

In the 2022 elections, would you prefer it to win:

Lula 41%
Bolsonaro 24%
Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula 31%

1st round (stimulated)

Lula 43%
Bolsonaro 28%
Ciro Gomes 10%
João Doria 7%
Blank/null: 3%
Don’t know/don’t answer: 8%

2nd round:

Lula 54% vs. Bolsonaro 33%

Ciro 44% vs. Bolsonaro 36%

Doria 38% vs. Bolsonaro 38%

Mandetta 36% vs. Bolsonaro 37%

Leite 33% vs. Bolsonaro 38%

Rodrigo Pacheco 31% vs. Bolsonaro 39%

Tasso 31% vs. Bolsonaro 40%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

https://www.poder360.com.br/poderdata/poderdata-lula-lidera-corrida-para-2022-com-39-bolsonaro-tem-25/

PoderData poll 2022 Brazilian Presidential Election:

1st round 2022:

Lula (Worker's Party) 39%
Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 25%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labor Party) 8%
José Luiz Datena (Social Liberal Party) 7%
João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party) 6%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats) 4%

Runoff:

Lula 52%
Bolsonaro 32%

Doria 42%
Bolsonaro 32%

Datena 34%
Bolsonaro 34%

Lula 49%
Doria 20%

Lula 51%
Datena 25%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

2022 presidential election XP Ipespe poll:

1st round - 1st scenario:

Lula (Worker's Party) 40%
Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 24%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party) 10%
Sérgio Moro (no party) 9%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats) 4%
Eduardo Leite (Brazilian Social Democracy Party) 4%

1st round - 2nd scenario: 

Lula (Worker's Party) 37%
Jair Bolsonaro (no party) 28%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party) 11%
João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party) 5%
José Luiz Datena (Social Liberal Party) 5%
Rodrigo Pacheco (Democrats) 1%

Runoff:

Lula 51% vs. Bolsonaro 32%
Ciro Gomes 44% vs. Bolsonaro 32%
 Sérgio Moro 36% vs. Bolsonaro 30%
Mandetta 38% vs. Bolsonaro 34%
João Doria 37% vs. Bolsonaro 35%
Eduardo Leite 35% vs. Bolsonaro 33%

Bolsonaro's approval:

Excellent/good 20%
Regular 23%
Bad/terrible 54%

[LM Brazilian Citizen]

https://www.poder360.com.br/poderdata/poderdata-lula-segue-a-frente-e-tem-40-no-1o-turno-bolsonaro-vai-a-30/

2022 presidential election poder360 poll:

1st round

Scenario 1 (with João Doria)

Lula (Worker's Party) 40%
Bolsonaro (no party) 30%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party) 5%
José Luiz Datena (Liberal Social Party) 4%
João Doria (Brazilian Social Democracy Party) 3%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats) 3%
Rodrigo Pacheco (Democrats) 2%
Alessandro Vieira (Citizenship) 1%
Aldo Rebelo (no party) 1%
Blank/null: 9%
DK: 2%

Scenario 2 (with Eduardo Leite)

Lula (Worker's Party) 43%
Bolsonaro (no party) 28%
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party) 5%
Eduardo Leite (Brazilian Social Democracy Party) 4%
Luiz Henrique Mandetta (Democrats) 3%
José Luiz Datena (Social Liberal Party) 2%
Rodrigo Pacheco (Democrats) 1%
Alessandro Vieira (Citizenship) 1%
Aldo Rebelo (no party) 1%
Blank/null: 10%
DK: 1%

https://www.poder360.com.br/poderdata/lula-vence-tucanos-joao-doria-e-eduardo-leite-com-38-pontos-de-vantagem/

2nd round

Lula 56% vs. Bolsonaro 33%
Doria 46% vs. Bolsonaro 35%
Ciro 46% vs. Bolsonaro 36%
Leite 44% vs. Bolsonaro 34%
Lula 53% vs. Doria 15%
Lula 53% vs. Leite 15%