Will China have truly competitive multi-party elections by 2040?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

As long as the economy is good and people are optimistic about their future, then any regime should last for a long time. The USSR and the Eastern Bloc probably would still be around had they managed to have a booming economy like the Chinese. Most people are wiling to keep their heads down and go with the flow as long as things are going well economically. People in China are too busy getting rich to overthrow the government.

Things can change dramatically in a instant, people in the early 80's had seen the Eastern Bloc hold on for 40 years, and assumed that it would still be around for the next 100 years after. The Eastern Block collapsed so fast, it was almost hard to beleive. Just 2 years after Reagan's speech in West Berlin, East Germany had collapsed and the wall fell.