Could Trump plausibly win Washoe County, NV assuming he rebounds?
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  Could Trump plausibly win Washoe County, NV assuming he rebounds?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Is it possible Trump could win this classic Bush '04, Clinton '16 county?
#1
Trump will likely win it		  
#2
Trump could win it		  
#3
Even in a Trump rebound it would be difficult to see him win the county		  
#4
Outright impossible		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: Could Trump plausibly win Washoe County, NV assuming he rebounds?  (Read 458 times)
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« on: August 11, 2020, 11:25:06 AM »
Out of all the Bush '04, Obama twice, Clinton '16 counties generally considered swing counties, This is probably the one he has the best shot in. He could plausibly win it even if the state still goes Biden and the state is one I think Trump has a better shot than most people think. (30% chance of winning statewide if he rebounds)
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2020, 11:26:25 AM »
Do you still have Colorado as a sleeper flip/narrow-Trump-loss, Chips?
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2020, 11:27:21 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on August 11, 2020, 11:26:25 AM
Do you still have Colorado as a sleeper flip/narrow-Trump-loss, Chips?
Sure, 10-15% chance of winning the state if he rebounds. I see Trump improving in the west and doing way worse on the Pacific coast.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2020, 11:33:48 AM »
Option 3. Trump is more likely to win the election than flip Washoe.
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2020, 04:02:14 PM »
Possible, but tough, its probably a bellwether on popular vote not electoral college so if Trump ties or beats Biden in popular vote then yes otherwise no.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2020, 05:17:22 PM »
Quote from: Chips on August 11, 2020, 11:27:21 AM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on August 11, 2020, 11:26:25 AM
Do you still have Colorado as a sleeper flip/narrow-Trump-loss, Chips?
Sure, 10-15% chance of winning the state if he rebounds. I see Trump improving in the west and doing way worse on the Pacific coast.

There's your answer.
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