Rachel Bitecofer deletes her predictions
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  Rachel Bitecofer deletes her predictions
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Author Topic: Rachel Bitecofer deletes her predictions  (Read 656 times)
lfromnj
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« on: November 09, 2020, 10:49:04 PM »

https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/?fbclid=IwAR1c7jtpmptvuFRNWiMF7b_S9UU5bje4gKzKNUG_alvff7mB6Wm0o13B_7E

http://web.archive.org/web/20201027012403/https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/niskanen-center-house-forecast

LOL
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kwabbit
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« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2020, 01:28:22 AM »

Lol. Anyone with any political sense or a basic knowledge of statistics knew her 'model' was bogus. I can't believe a serious think-tank actually sponsored that.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2020, 02:02:30 AM »
« Edited: November 10, 2020, 02:10:19 AM by Taking the D out of Driftless :( »

Her model depends almost entirely on demographics. When demographics behaved differently from how they behaved in 17/18/19, it collapsed completely.

The principle behind it all, though - that is, "negative partisanship dictates almost everything" - is sound.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2020, 02:11:10 AM »

As off as some of her predictions were, the cyberbullying was a little unedifying.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2020, 04:52:06 AM »

The only thing I think I remember her being right about is that she was one of the few people that pointed out that Trump's outreach to hispanic voters, as laughable as it was, might work given how poor at outreach the Democrats were. I forget exactly when she said it.

But definitely any credibility she may have had should've been gone after she pretended her 270 to Win prediction was an election model.
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