Pomp and Circumstance

[alancia]

I know I put Jim Mattis at being since 2017 in the Cabinet, but obviously he is being fired IRL. This timeline now diverges from our own on December 15 of 2018, so in here Mattis never gets fired by Trump.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Ojeda and McMullin should be interesting to watch. I kinda doubt that the Libertarians or Greens will do that well. Keep it up!

[alancia]

2020 Primary Wrap Up and Conventions

"I proudly accept your nomination for President of the United States!" - President Pompeo, Republican National Convention, August 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic National Convention - July 13 to 16, 2020, Fiserv Forum, Wilwaukee Wisconsin

The 2020 Democratic Primaries wrapped up as expected. Kamala Harris won the states of New Jersey, New Mexico, Washington D.C, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Kentucky (The last one in a kind of an upset), while Amy Klobuchar emerged victorious in Oregon, West Virginia, North and South Dakota, and Montana.

2020 Democratic Primary map by state winner.

From this map, it is clear that Klobuchar emerges with a clear lead over Harris, practically becoming the Democratic nominee for President. In the convention voting, Klobuchar was pledged the delegates of O'Rourke and Sanders, while Harris was supported by Warren. After the voting, it was declared that Klobuchar had already passed the required number of delegates to become nominee, and so Amy Klobuchar was the Democratic Nominee for President of the United States.

2020 Democratic National Convention by state delegate vote

The Democratic Convention passed mostly with no incidents. It featured speeches from Fmr. President Obama, Fmr. Vice President Biden, 2016 Nominee Hillary Clinton, and as well of other media personalities and characters. The most controversial part of the 2020 DNC was when protestors rallying against Maurice Davis' killing in California - under Democratic Governor Newsom - almost entered the Fiserv Forum, but were driven out by police.

Amy Klobuchar's acceptance speech featured many different parts, but it was centered on her experience as Minnesota Senator, her work in both rural and urban areas through her state and the United States in the primary season, setting a progressive economic agenda, and denouncing Republican partisanship and the Crisis of 2019. It was generally accepted, and commentators qualified it as setting a good tone for the General Election.

As her Running Mate selecion, Klobuchar had several candidates before the DNC. Chiefly, they mainly included Senators Jeff Merkley, Kamala Harris (To unite the Party), Sherrod Brown, and Maggie Hassan; Former Representative Beto O'Rourke and Governors Roy Cooper and Jay Inslee.

The final VP shortlist was revealed to be Merkley, Hassan and O'Rourke; and Klobuchar finally announced her choice to be her Running Mate in the General Election on the eve of the DNC.

DEMOCRATIC TICKET FOR THE 2020 UNITED STATES PRESIDENCY

AMY JEAN KLOBUCHAR FOR PRESIDENT

ROBERT FRANCIS O'ROURKE FOR VICE-PRESIDENT

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Republican National Convention - August 24 to 27, 2020, Spectrum Center, Charlotte North Carolina

The remaining Republican primaries went as expected. With Pompeo having momentum in the Republican voters, and Kasich already conceding the race to the incumbent, the President won all remaining primaries for the Republican Party. In the Convention, Pompeo once again selected Rob Portman, the Vice-President, as his running mate.

2020 Republican Primary results by state winner

2020 Republican National Convention by state delegate vote

It is noted that John Kasich lost some states in the Convention vote (Including his home state of Ohio), and it is explained by Republican delegates forming a 'rally around the President' effect for the General Election.

In his acceptance speech, President Pompeo highlighted his work during his entire Presidency, including the normalization of American politics since the Crisis of 2019; the slight recovery of the economy; the improvement of relations with countries such as Canada, and the success of the Second Singapore Summit. Pompeo finished his speech with a pledge to continue normalizing American politics if re-elected, and marked the 2020 Election as the final mark to stop the constant change of Presidents that was seen in 2019.

REPUBLICAN TICKET FOR THE 2020 UNITED STATES PRESIDENCY

MICHAEL RICHARD POMPEO FOR PRESIDENT

ROB JONES PORTMAN FOR VICE-PRESIDENT

[alancia]

2020 Presidential and Governor's races polling

As of September 1st, 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Presidential Map

Safe // Likely // Leaning // Tossup // Leaning // Likely // Safe

Polling Averages

Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) // Fmr. Representative Beto O'Rourke (D-TX) - 35 %

President Mike Pompeo (R-KS) // Vice-President Rob Portman (R-OH) - 33 %

Fmr. State Sen. Richard Ojeda (ID-WV) // Activist Anthony Davis (I-CA) - 9 %

Advocate Cheri Honkala (G-MN) // Advocate Charin Davenport (G-MI) - 5 %

Activist Adam Kokesh (L-CA) // Radio Host Darryl Perry (L-NH) - 5 %

Mr. Evan McMullin (A-UT) // Attorney Stephanie Miner (A-NY) - 4 %

Attorney Darrell Castle (C-TN) // Fmr. State Sen. Sam McCann (C-IL) - 3 %

Undecided // Other - 6%

Klobuchar + 2

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Governor's Races

Governor's Map

Polling Averages

Delaware

Governor John Carney (D) - 55%

Fmr. State Treasurer Ken Simpler (R) - 35%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 6%

Rating: SAFE D

New Hampshire

Governor Chris Sununu (R) - 43%

State Sen. Maj. Leader Dan Feltes (D) - 40%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 12%

Rating: TOSSUP

Vermont

Governor Phil Scott (R) - 53%

State Attorney General T.J Donovan (D) - 32%

Lt. Governor David Zuckerman (P) - 6%

Other - 2%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE R

West Virginia

State Sen. Ron Stollings (D) - 44%

Governor Jim Justice (R) - 41%

Other - 6%

Undecided - 9%

Rating: TOSSUP

Indiana

Governor Eric Holcomb (R) - 45%

Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) - 39%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 12%

Rating: LIKELY R

Missouri

Governor Mike Parson (R) - 45%

State Auditor Nicole Galloway (D) - 40%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 10%

Rating: LEAN R

North Dakota

Governor Doug Burgum (R) - 71%

State Senator John Grabinger (D-NPL) - 22%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 3%

Rating: SAFE R

Montana

State Attorney General Tim Fox (R) - 43%

Lt. Governor Mike Cooney (D) - 39%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 14%

Rating: LEAN R

Utah

Lt. Governor Spencer Cox (R) - 60%

Fmr. Rep Jim Matheson (D) - 26%

Other - 7%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE R

Washington

Governor Jay Inslee (D) - 50%

Fmr. Rep Dave Reichert (R) - 39%

Other - 3%

Undecided - 8%

Rating: SAFE D

[alancia]

2020 Senate races polling - Tossup Analysis

As of September 1st, 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Senate Map

Safe // Likely // Leaning // Tossup // Leaning // Likely // Safe

Polling Averages

Alabama

Rep. Bradley Byrne (R) - 46%

Sen. Doug Jones (D) - 35%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 14%

Rating: LIKELY R

Alaska

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) - 47%

Fmr.Sen. Mark Begich (D) - 40%

Other - 8%

Undecided - 5%

Rating: LIKELY R

Arizona

Senator Martha McSally, who was appointed by Governor Ducey in May 2019 after the retirement of Jon Kyl, is seeking to be elected for a full term in the Senate. She is challanged by Representative Ruben Gallego, and the polls show a close race. Gallego has attacked McSally and Ducey for the 'undemocratic' appointment of McSally, who lost to Senator Sinema in 2018, to the Senate.

Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) - 42%

Sen. Martha McSally (R) - 41%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 12%

Rating: TOSSUP

Arkansas

Sen. Tom Cotton (R) - 51%

Fmr. Gov. Mike Beebe (D) - 42%

Other - 2%

Undecided - 5%

Rating: LIKELY R

Colorado

Fmr. Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) - 48%

Sen. Cory Gardner (R) - 39%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 9%

Rating: LIKELY D

Delaware

Sen. Chris Coons (D) - 54%

State Sen. Bryant Richardson (R) - 34%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE D

Georgia

Sen. David Perdue (R) - 45%

Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D) - 41%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 10%

Rating: LEAN R

Idaho

Fmr. Rep Mike Simpson (R) - 53%

State Rep. Elaine Smith (D) - 37%

Other - 3%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE R

Illinois

Sen. Dick Durbin (D) - 52%

Rep. Darin LaHood (R) - 38%

Other - 6%

Undecided - 4%

Rating: SAFE D

Iowa

Sen. Joni Ernst (R) - 47%

Rep. Abby Finkenauer (D) - 43%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 6%

Rating: LEAN R

Kansas

Fmr. Gov Jeff Colyer (R) - 45%

Fmr. State Rep. Paul Davis (D) - 38%

Other - 10%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: LIKELY R

Kentucky

Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) - 50%

Host Matt Jones (D) - 42%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 4%

Rating: LIKELY R

Louisiana

Sen. Bill Cassidy (R) - 47%

Fmr. Gov John Bel Edwards (D) - 30%

Rev. Raymond Brown (D) - 10%

Businessman Rocky de la Fuente (D) - 3%

Other - 3%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE R

Maine

Sen. Susan Collins (R) - 44%

Fmr. Amb. Susan Rice (D) - 40%

Fmr. Rep Bruce Poliquin (I) - 12%

Other - 2%

Undecided - 2%

Rating: LEAN R

Massachusetts

Rep. Seth Moulton (D) - 55%

State Sen. Ryan Fattman (R) - 34%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE D

Michigan

Gary Peters, first elected in 2014, is seeking re-election to a second term in the U.S Senate. He is challenged by John James, who was the Republican nominee for Senator Stabenow's seat in 2018. James has high favorability ratings, and Michigan Democrats are burdened with leading Michigan, the hardest hit state by the 2019-2020 recession - Governor Whitmer has a 32% approval rating.

Businessman John James (R) - 44%

Sen. Gary Peters (D) - 42%

Other - 9%

Undecided - 5%

Rating: TOSSUP

Minnesota

Sen. Tina Smith (D) - 45%

Fmr. Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) - 37%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 13%

Rating: LIKELY D

Mississippi

Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) - 52%

Fmr. Sec. Mike Espy (D) - 42%

Other - 2%

Undecided - 4%

Rating: SAFE R

Montana

Senator Steve Daines, first elected in 2014, is facing a tough battle against the incumbent Montana Governor, Steve Bullock; who has ran an effective campaign in a state that is not afraid to elect Democratic Senators.

Sen. Steve Daines (R) - 44%

Gov. Steve Bullock (D) - 42%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 10%

Rating: TOSSUP

Nebraska

Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R) - 43%

Mayor Chris Beutler (D) - 33%

Sen. Ben Sasse (A) 11%

Other - 3%

Undecided - 10%

Rating: LIKELY R

New Hampshire

Former Senator Kelly Ayotte, who was defeated in 2016, is now seeking to return to Congress by trying to defeat New Hampshire's other Senator, Jeanne Shaheen. Polls show a close race, and the result is likely to be dictated by the Presidential results.

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) - 44%

Fmr. Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) - 41%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 10%

Rating: TOSSUP

New Jersey

Sen. Cory Booker (D) - 50%

State Sen. Christopher J. Connors (R) - 38%

Other - 6%

Undecided - 6%

Rating: SAFE D

New Mexico

Sen. Tom Udall (D) - 48%

Fmr. Rep. Yvette Herrell (R) - 36%

Other - 9%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE D

North Carolina

Senator Thom Tillis, first elected in 2014, is now seeking a second term in the U.S Senate. He is facing a close battle against Josh Stein, North Carolina's Attorney General. Like New Hampshire, the result is likely to be similar to the Presidential result in the state.

Sen. Thom Tillis (R) - 43%

State Att. Gen. Josh Stein (D) - 41%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 11%

Rating: TOSSUP

Oklahoma

Fmr. Adm. Scott Pruitt (R) - 55%

Fmr. Gov. Brad Henry (D) - 35%

Other - 2%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE R

Oregon

Sen. Jeff Merkley (D) - 53%

State Sen. Bill Hansell (R) - 40%

Other - 2%

Undecided - 5%

Rating: SAFE D

Rhode Island

Sen. Jack Reed (D) - 56%

State Rep. Brian Newberry (R) - 31%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 8%

Rating: SAFE D

South Carolina

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) - 51%

State Sen. John L. Scott Jr. (D) - 39%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 6%

Rating: SAFE R

South Dakota

Sen. Mike Rounds (R) - 59%

Fmr. Att. Brendan Johnson (D) - 30%

Other - 4%

Undecided - 7%

Rating: SAFE R

Tennessee

Fmr. Sec. Bill Haslam (R) - 57%

Mayor Andy Berke (D) - 30%

Other - 3%

Undecided - 10%

Rating: SAFE R

Texas

Sen. John Cornyn (R) - 45%

Fmr. Sec. Julian Castro (D) - 38%

Other - 6%

Undecided - 11%

Rating: LIKELY R

Virginia

Sen. Mark Warner (D) - 46%

Fmr. Rep. Eric Cantor (R) - 37%

Other - 6%

Undecided - 11%

Rating: LIKELY D

West Virginia

Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R) - 47%

Fmr. State Sen. Charlotte Pritt (M-D) - 40%

Other - 5%

Undecided - 8%

Rating: LIKELY R

Wyoming

Sen. Mike Enzi (R) - 78%

Other - 8%

Undecided - 14%

Rating: SAFE R

[alancia]

The 2020 Campaign Trail

"My vision will be one that will move America away from the chaos of the recent years. Yes, the political crisis contributed, but we must be clear: the stock market was already volatile in the Trump Presidency." - Amy Klobuchar, First Presidential Debate, September 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Amy Klobuchar speaking in a Wisconsin campaign event, October 2020

After the 2020 Republican National Convention finished, the 2020 Campaign was now in full swing. As the contest opened with a slight Klobuchar lead, the Minnesota Senator slowly expanded her lead over Pompeo through September until the middle of October, until a staff abuse scandal broke her momentum, in which President Pompeo took the opportunity to close the gap with Klobuchar.

The Presidential debates were considered typical. Senator Klobuchar won the first debate - which added into her initial momentum - and the second debate was contested, with both sides claiming the win. The Third Debate, held on October 20th in Austin, Texas; was considered a slight Pompeo victory, as the staff scandal haunted Klobuchar's campaign.

The Vice-Presidential debate was also considered a victory for VP Rob Portman, which coached George W. Bush in 2000, and John McCain as well as Mitt Romney, the 2008 and 2012 Republican Presidential nominees respectly, in these elections. Portman emphasized his experience against Fmr. Representative O'Rourke, and his current work as Vice-President of the United States.

As for third parties, Richard Ojeda ran his trademark agressive campaign. Preferring the 'ground game' and street appearances to major advertising and formal events, Ojeda focused on the states that were most hurt by the recession, as well as California and New York. The Green Party focused on Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania; as well as more typically 'liberal' states, such as Washington and Oregon.

The Libertarian candidates, Kokesh and Perry, ran a campaign similar to Ojeda's - although not so agressive - and focused on spreading a 'true' libertarian message through all 50 states. The McMullin and Castle campaigns both shared a similar focus in targeting Republican and conservative voters disappointed by the 2019 Crisis and the damage it brought to the American political scene.

By November 3rd, 2020, the General Election was back to where it started: too close to call. Senator Klobuchar had a slim 1 point lead in the average poll, but it was considered within the margin of error, and all major analysts gave both candidates an almost similar chance of winning the election.

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

2020 Presidential polling

As of November 2nd, 2020

Presidential Map

Safe // Likely // Leaning // Tossup // Leaning // Likely // Safe

Polling Averages

Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) // Fmr. Representative Beto O'Rourke (D-TX) - 34 %

President Mike Pompeo (R-KS) // Vice-President Rob Portman (R-OH) - 33 %

Fmr. State Sen. Richard Ojeda (ID-WV) // Activist Anthony Davis (I-CA) - 11 %

Advocate Cheri Honkala (G-MN) // Advocate Charin Davenport (G-MI) - 5 %

Mr. Evan McMullin (A-UT) // Attorney Stephanie Miner (A-NY) - 5 %

Activist Adam Kokesh (L-CA) // Radio Host Darryl Perry (L-NH) - 3 %

Attorney Darrell Castle (C-TN) // Fmr. State Sen. Sam McCann (C-IL) - 3 %

Undecided // Other - 6%

Klobuchar + 1

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Hello and welcome to Election Night 2020 in America. Its 6:04 PM currently on the East Coast and the first polls have already closed in Kentucky and Indiana. This election night is expected to be one of the closests and most intense in American history between President Mike Pompeo and Senator Amy Klobuchar. So, take a deep breath, and follow us through this night.

6 PM

As we mentioned earlier, some polls have closed already in parts of Indiana and Kentucky. However, we are putting these states in the 'too early to call' category for all races, as we wait for the polls to close in the rest of the two states. However, we do have some exit polling results, which are interesting even if they may vary from the actual results.

Indiana President

Pompeo / Portman: 43%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Indiana Governor

Holcomb: 48%
Buttigieg: 45%
Other: 7%

Kentucky President

Pompeo / Portman: 45%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 32%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

Kentucky Senate

McConnell: 50%
Matt Jones: 44%
Other: 6%

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Pompeo / Portman: 0 Electoral Votes
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 0 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

7:15 PM

Its now 15 minutes past 7 PM in the East Coast and with polls fully closed in 6 states we have some projections to make, which are as follows: Indiana and Kentucky for President Pompeo, while Vermont, the home state of Bernie Sanders, will go to Senator Klobuchar. Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Florida are all too close or too early to call. In Florida, we are waiting for the polls to close in the Panhandle region.

Downballot, we can project that the Indiana Governor Race is too close to call. We can project, however, that Senators Graham; Warner and McConnell will return to Congress, while the race in Georgia between Perdue and Abrams is too early to call. Governor Scott of Vermont will also be re-elected to another two year term.

Indiana President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 46% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 2%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Indiana Governor

Holcomb: 51%
Buttigieg: 46%
Other: 3%

Kentucky President (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 43% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

Kentucky Senate

McConnell: 53% ✓
Matt Jones: 42%
Other: 5%

Vermont President (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 48% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 34%
Ojeda / Davis: 8%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Vermont Governor

Scott: 56% ✓
T.J Donovan: 35%
Zuckerman (P) - 9%
Other: 3%

Virginia President (5% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 44%
Pompeo / Portman: 36%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Virginia Senator

Warner: 53% ✓
Cantor: 43%
Other: 4%

South Carolina President (3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 45%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 1%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

South Carolina Senator

Graham: 56% ✓
L. Scott Jr. : 41%
Other: 3%

Georgia President (3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 41%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40%
Ojeda / Davis: 8%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 1%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Georgia Senator

Perdue: 47%
Abrams: 46%
Other: 7%

Florida President (3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 38%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 37%
Ojeda / Davis: 13%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Pompeo / Portman: 19 Electoral Votes
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 3 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 516 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

 

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

7:30 PM

Its now half past seven on the East Coast and polls have closed on the states of Ohio, North Carolina, and West Virginia; and we have some projections to make. In West Virginia, we can project that President Pompeo will win the state's five electoral votes. Ohio and North Carolina are too early to call, and we expect both states to be crucial for both candidate's chances in this election.

In parallel, the state of South Carolina can also be projected for President Pompeo. That leaves us with 33 Electoral Votes for the President, and 3 for Senator Klobuchar; with many uncalled. The night is still young, that's certain.

In North Carolina, we can also project that the Senate Race between Tom Tillis and Democrat Josh Stein is also too early to call. In West Virginia, we can project that the Governor's race between Justice and Stollings is also too early to call, while we can say that Senator Moore Capito will win re-election to the U.S Senate.

South Carolina President (10% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 44% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

West Virginia President (3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 51% ✓
Ojeda / Davis: 22%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 15%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

West Virginia Senate

Moore Capito: 49% ✓
Pritt: 40%
Other: 11%

West Virginia Governor

Stollings: 55%
Justice: 38%
Other: 7%

Ohio President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 40%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 35%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

North Carolina President (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 39%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 38%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

North Carolina Governor (Forgot about it. Oops)

Cooper: 51%
Forest: 43%
Other: 6%

North Carolina Senate

Stein: 49%
Tillis: 46%
Other: 5%

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Pompeo / Portman: 33 Electoral Votes
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 3 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 502 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

7:54 PM

Six minutes before the 8 PM poll closings, we have a new projection to make: State Senator Ron Stollings will become the next governor of West Virginia. Stollings, the Senator for the 7th District (Which was Richard Ojeda's old district before 2018), represents a gubernatorial flip for the Democrats against incumbent Jim Justice - which was ironically a Democrat before switching in 2017.

West Virginia Governor (16% Reporting)

Stollings: 53% ✓ (FLIP)
Justice: 37%
Other: 10%

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

8:00 PM

It is 8 PM on the East Coast of the United States and polls have closed in the states of Alabama; Mississippi; the Florida Panhandle; Tennessee; most of Texas, South Dakota, Michigan and Kansas; Oklahoma; Missouri; Illinois; Pennsylvania; Maryland; Delaware; New Jersey; Connecticut; DC; Rhode Island; Massachusetts; New Hampshire and Maine.

At the top of the hour we can make the following projections: The states of Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee and Oklahoma will go to President Pompeo. The states of Illinois, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Massachusetts; as well as D.C and Maine's 1st district, will go to Senator Klobuchar. Meanwhile the states of Texas, South Dakota, Missouri, Michigan and Kansas are too early to call; while Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Maine-at-large and Florida are too close to call.

This leaves 76 Electoral Votes for Senator Klobuchar, and 66 for President Pompeo. 191 Electoral Votes are still to be called, while states representing 205 Electoral Votes haven't closed their polls yet.

Downballot, we can project that Senators Booker, Reed, Coons and Durbin will return to the U.S Senate, and that Seth Moulton will become the Senator-elect for Massachusetts. On the Republican side, we can say that Senator Hyde-Smith will defeat Espy once more, and return to the Senate. We project as well that Bill Haslam and Scott Pruitt will become the new Senators-elect from the states of Tennessee and Oklahoma, respectly. Meanwhile, the Senate races of Texas, Kansas, South Dakota, Michigan and Alabama are too close or too early to call.

As for Governor's races, John Carney will be re-elected for a second term in the state of Delaware, while the New Hampshire race between Governor Sununu and Dan Feltes is too close to call. The Missouri Governor's race is too early to call.

Alabama President (2% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 47% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 29%
Ojeda / Davis: 13%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Alabama Senate

Byrne: 63%
Doug Jones: 32%
Other: 5%

Mississippi President (3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 42% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 17%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Castle / McCann: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Honkala / Davenport: 1%
Other: 1%

Mississippi Senate

Hyde-Smith: 55% ✓
Espy: 43%
Other: 2%

Oklahoma President (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 57% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 25%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Other: 1%

Oklahoma Senate

Pruitt: 56% ✓
Henry: 42%
Other: 2%

Tennessee President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 46% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 34%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
Castle / McCann: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Honkala / Davenport: <1%
Other: <1%

Tennessee Senate

Haslam: 64% ✓
Berke: 32%
Other: 4%

Illinois President (6% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40% ✓
Pompeo/ Portman: 36%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
Castle / McCann: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 2%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Other: 1%

Illinois Senate

Durbin: 54% ✓
LaHood: 42%
Other: 4%

Maryland President (5% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 41% ✓
Pompeo/ Portman: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
Honkala / Davenport: 7%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Other: 1%

Delaware President (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 46% ✓
Pompeo/ Portman: 32%
Ojeda / Davis: 9%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Delaware Senate

Coons: 58% ✓
Richardson: 39%
Other: 3%

Delaware Governor

Carney: 60% ✓
Simpler: 38%
Other: 2%

New Jersey President (5% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 42% ✓
Pompeo/ Portman: 35%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

New Jersey Senate

Booker: 52% ✓
Connors: 44%
Other: 4%

Connecticut President (2% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 42% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Rhode Island President (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 37%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
Honkala / Davenport: 6%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: <1%
Other: <1%

Rhode Island Senate

Reed: 54% ✓
Newberry: 40%
Other: 6%

Massachusetts President (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 45% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 34%
Ojeda / Davis: 9%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Massachusetts Senate

Moulton: 56% ✓
Fattman: 39%
Other: 5%

Maine First District (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 44% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 13%
McMullin / Miner: 7%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Maine Second District (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 46%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 35%
Ojeda / Davis: 9%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Maine-at-large (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 39.5%
Pompeo / Portman: 38.5%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 5.25%
Honkala / Davenport: 2.5%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: 0.75%
Other: 0.5%

New Hampshire President(3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 41%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 38%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

New Hampshire Senate

Shaheen: 46%
Ayotte: 45%
Other: 9%

New Hampshire Governor

Sununu: 49%
Feltes: 43%
Other: 8%

Pennsylvania President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 43%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 16%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Michigan President (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 40%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 27%
Ojeda / Davis: 19%
Honkala / Davenport: 6%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Michigan Senate

James: 51%
Peters: 44%
Other: 5%

Florida President (24% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40%
Pompeo / Portman: 37%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Missouri President (2% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 45%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 32%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

Missouri Governor

Parson: 51%
Galloway: 43%
Other: 6%

Texas President (14% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 43%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 36%
Ojeda / Davis: 9%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Texas Senate

Cornyn: 52%
Castro: 43%
Other: 5%

Kansas President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 43%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 29%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
McMullin / Miner: 7%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Kansas Senate

Colyer: 48%
Davis: 42%
Other: 10%

South Dakota President (3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 56%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 2%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Other: 1%

South Dakota Senate

Rounds: 63%
Johnson: 29%
Other: 8%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 76 Electoral Votes
Pompeo / Portman: 66 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 396 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

8:21 PM

Twenty-one minutes past 8 PM in the East Coast and we have some projections to make... we can now say that President Pompeo will carry Missouri and its ten electoral votes, as well as Maine's 2nd Congressional District, adding another Electoral Vote. This makes it 77 Electoral Votes for the President, 76 for Senator Klobuchar, and 180 too close or too early to call.

In the Senate we also have a projection to make... and that is that Bradley Byrne has defeated incumbent Doug Jones and picked up Alabama's Senate Seat for the Republicans. Jones, which won a controversial race against Roy Moore just three years ago, will go down in what is apparently larger than expected margin...

Maine's Senate Race between Susan Collins and Susan Rice has also been projected as too close to call, as the Maine Secretary of State had an error that affected the counting of the results in the Pine Tree state...

Missouri President (14% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 44% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 32%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Maine Second District (15% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 45%  ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Alabama Senate (18% Reporting)

Byrne: 60% ✓ (FLIP)
Doug Jones: 38%
Other: 2%

Maine Senate (15% Reporting)

Collins: 43%
Rice: 40%
Poliquin: 14%
Other: 3%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

8:35 PM

On the East Coast, its five minutes past the 8:30 PM mark, which is the hour of poll closings in the state of Arkansas. With that, we do have two projections coming out of the Natural State... which are that President Pompeo has won the state and its six Electoral Votes; and that Senator Cotton, which briefly ran for President last year, will be re-elected over Mike Beebe, the former Arkansas governor.

That now makes it 83 Electoral Votes for President Pompeo, 76 for Senator Klobuchar, and 180 still to be called.

Arkansas President (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 46%  ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 29%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

Arkansas Senate

Cotton: 56% ✓
Beebe: 41%
Other: 3%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

8:50 PM

Its ten minutes before the 9 PM poll closings we now have three very important projections to make. In Virginia, we can now project the state and its thirteen Electoral Votes to Senator Klobuchar, making it 89 electors to her, 83 for President Pompeo, and 167 remaining to be called. In North Carolina and Missouri, we can also project that Governors Cooper and Parson will be re-elected over their Republican and Democrat opponents, respectly.

Virginia President (53% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 45% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 36%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Missouri Governor (45% Reporting)

Parson: 52% ✓
Galloway: 44%
Other: 4%

North Carolina Governor (47% Reporting)

Cooper: 53% ✓
Forest: 42%
Other: 5%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 89 Electoral Votes
Pompeo / Portman: 83 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 366 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

9:00 PM

Its just a few seconds after 9 PM on the East Coast of the United States, and polls have closed in the states of Wisconsin, Minnesota, New York, Louisiana, New Mexico, Colorado, Nebraska, Wyoming, all of the Dakotas, the rest of Texas; Michigan and Kansas, and Arizona. We have the following projections to make...

At the Presidential level, we can project that President Pompeo will carry the Dakotas, Nebraska and its 1st and 3rd Congressional Districts, Wyoming, his home state of Kansas and Louisiana. Senator Klobuchar is projected to take the state of New Mexico.

The states of Colorado, New York, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Nebraska's 2nd District, Texas and Michigan are too close or too early to call. We do have reports of a large number of Ojeda votes in New York...

This leaves the President with 110 Electoral Votes, Senator Klobuchar with 94 Electoral Votes, and 228 yet to be called...

At the state level, we can project that Doug Burgum will be re-elected as Governor of North Dakota. Senators Udall, Enzi, Cornyn, Tina Smith and Rounds will return to the Senate, and that Jeff Colyer, the former Governor, will be the Senator-Elect of Kansas. The Senate races in Michigan, Arizona, Louisiana, Nebraska and Colorado are too early or too close to call.

South Dakota President (34% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 57% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 9%
McMullin / Miner: 2%
Kokesh / Perry: <1%
Other: <1%

South Dakota Senate

Rounds: 60% ✓
Johnson: 31%
Other: 9%

North Dakota President (30% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 60% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 25%
Ojeda / Davis: 7%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Other: 1%

North Dakota Governor

Burgum: 72% ✓
Grabinger: 24%
Other: 4%

Wyoming President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 64% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 19%
Ojeda / Davis: 9%
Kokesh / Perry: 5%
Other: 3%

Wyoming Senate

Enzi: 88% ✓
Other: 11%

Louisiana President (6% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 45% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

Louisiana Senate (Possible Runoff)

Cassidy: 49%
Edwards: 38%
Brown: 9%
De La Fuente: 4%
Other: 1%

Kansas President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 44% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 28%
Ojeda / Davis: 16%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Kansas Senate

Colyer: 50% ✓
Davis: 39%
Other: 11%

Nebraska President (6% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 46% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 13%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Honkala / Davenport: 1%
Other: 1%

Nebraska Senate

Fortenberry: 42%
Beutler: 35%
Sasse: 21%
Other: 2%

New Mexico President (5% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 42% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 32%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
Kokesh / Perry: 6%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

New Mexico Senate

Udall: 53% ✓
Herrell: 39%
Other: 8%

Nebraska 1st District(6% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 40%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 38%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Texas President (65% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 44%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 35%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Texas Senate

Cornyn: 54% ✓
Castro: 43%
Other: 3%

Florida President (75% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40%
Pompeo / Portman: 39%
Ojeda / Davis: 8%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Michigan President (54% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 41%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 26%
Ojeda / Davis: 20%
Honkala / Davenport: 7%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Michigan Senate

James: 50%
Peters: 42%
Other: 8%

Colorado President (6% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 39%
Pompeo / Portman: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
McMullin / Miner: 9%
Honkala / Davenport: 6%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Colorado Senate

Hickenlooper: 52%
Gardner: 43%
Other: 5%

Arizona President (3% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40%
Pompeo / Portman: 35%
McMullin / Miner: 9%
Ojeda / Davis: 8%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Arizona Senate

Gallego: 48%
McSally: 47%
Other: 5%

Wisconsin President (3% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 40%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 15%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Minnesota President (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 36%
Pompeo / Portman: 27%
Ojeda / Davis: 21%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Minnesota Senate

Smith: 51% ✓
Bachmann: 42%
Other: 7%

New York President (6% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 35%
Pompeo / Portman: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 23%
Honkala / Davenport: 6%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: <1%
Other: <1%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Pompeo / Portman: 110 Electoral Votes
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 94 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 334 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

Now, just three hours after the closing of the first polls, the moods are tense in both camps. Only thing is certain is that this night looks to be pretty long.

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

9:28 PM

Twenty-eight minutes past 9 PM in the East Coast and we have a number of calls to make. On the Presidential level we can project the states of Ohio, the home state of Vice-President Portman, Texas, and Michigan to President Pompeo. We also project the state of New York to Senator Klobuchar. This now makes it 182 Electoral Votes to the President, 123 for Klobuchar, with 146 yet to be called. This is a big call for the President's campaign, which is now becoming more optimistic of the results.

Downballot we can also project that John James will defeat Gary Peters and unseat him in the Michigan senatorial race. This is a big rebuke to Dems in the Wolverine State, the hardest hit by the 2019-20 recession, mainly under President Pelosi. This is certainly made visible by the big Ojeda vote coming in from the state...

Texas President (82% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 43% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 36%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

Michigan President (70% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 38% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 28%
Ojeda / Davis: 21%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Michigan Senate

James: 48% ✓ (FLIP)
Peters: 43%
Other: 9%

Ohio President (84% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 42% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 19%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
McMullin / Miner: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

New York President (14% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 38% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 20%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

9:40 PM

Twenty minutes before the 10 PM poll closings and we have two calls to make, both concerning Governor's races. In the states of Indiana and New Hampshire, we can project that the Republican incumbents there will defeat their Democratic challengers, Buttigieg and Feltes, respectly...

Indiana Governor (97% Reporting)

Holcomb: 50% ✓
Buttigieg: 47%
Other: 3%

New Hampshire Governor (90% Reporting)

Sununu: 49% ✓
Feltes: 45%
Other: 6%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

9:51 PM

Another call we are about to make, nine minutes before the 10 PM poll closings in the East Coast. We can project now that John Hickenlooper, the former Colorado governor, will unseat incumbent Republican Cory Gardner, in the Senate race there. Big call for the Democrats, and it is their first Senate pickup of the night...

Colorado Senate (17% Reporting)

Hickenlooper: 53% ✓ (FLIP)
Gardner: 44%
Other: 3%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Pompeo / Portman: 182 Electoral Votes
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 123 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 233 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

10 PM

Its 10 PM on the East Coast and polls have closed on the states of Iowa, Utah, Nevada, Montana, and parts of Idaho and Oregon. At the top of the hour we can make the following projection, and that is that the President will carry the state of Montana and its three electoral votes. Meanwhile, the races in Idaho, Iowa, Oregon, Utah and Nevada are too early or too close to call.

Downballot, we can project that Spencer Cox will be Utah's next governor come January of 2021. At the same time, we can project that the Senate races in Montana, Idaho, Iowa and Oregon are too early or too close to call as well. Montana's Governor race is also too close to call.

Montana President (5% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 42% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 10%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

Montana Senate

Daines: 47%
Bullock: 45%
Other: 8%

Montana Governor

Fox: 50%
Cooney: 44%
Other: 6%

Nevada President (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 35%
Pompeo / Portman: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 9%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Castle / McCann: 3%
Other: <1%

Utah President (6% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 34%
McMullin / Miner: 27%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 14%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
Castle / McCann: 6%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Other: 1%

Utah Governor

Cox: 63% ✓
Matheson: 31%
Other: 6%

Idaho President (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 46%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 22%
McMullin / Miner: 12%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Castle / McCann: 3%
Other: 2%

Idaho Senate

Simpson: 52%
Smith: 43%
Other: 5%

Oregon President (Malheur County)

Pompeo / Portman: 53%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
McMullin / Miner: 12%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 11%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Castle / McCann: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 1%
Other: 1%

Oregon Senate

Hansell: 62%
Merkley: 30%
Other: 8%


Iowa President (9% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 42%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 15%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Iowa Senate

Ernst: 49%
Finkenauer: 45%
Other: 6%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

10:21 PM

Its some twenty minutes past 10 PM on the East Coast and we have a number of important calls to report to you right now. In the Presidential Race, we can report that President Pompeo will carry the state of Georgia with its ten electoral votes, in a very close contest, and also Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. Meanwhile, Senator Klobuchar is projected to be the winner in the state of Colorado.

In the Georgia Senate Race, we can also project that a runoff between Senator Perdue and Stacey Abrams will occur on December 4th, that's the scheduled date for this election between the top two candidates...

That leaves us with 202 Electoral Votes for President Pompeo, 132 for Senator Klobuchar, and 130 Electoral Votes remaining to be called.

Georgia President (99% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 37% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 36%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Georgia Senate

Perdue: 46%
Abrams: 44%
Other: 10%
Runoff on December 4th

Nebraska's 2nd District (55% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 40% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 35%
Ojeda / Davis: 13%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Colorado President (52% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 8%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

10:46 PM

We have around fifteen minutes before the polls close in the rest of the East Coast and we now have four calls to make right now, and some of them may be very critical... in the state of Utah we can project that President Pompeo will carry the state. We can now confirm that Senator Klobuchar will win the state of North Carolina, a very very important call for the Klobuchar campaign...

That now finds out with 208 Electoral Votes for the President, 147 for the Senator, with 109 remaining to be called.

In North Carolina we can also say that Stein is the apparent winner in the Senate Race, although it is clear the Tillis is able and probably will request a recount in the Senate. Fortenberry will also be the Senator-elect from Nebraska, defeating Beutler and outgoing Ben Sasse.

Utah President (23% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 35% ✓
McMullin / Miner: 26%
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 15%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
Castle / McCann: 6%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Other: 1%

North Carolina President (99% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 39% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 38%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
McMullin / Miner: 7%
Honkala / Davenport: 3%
Kokesh / Perry: 1%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

North Carolina Senate

Stein: 48% ✓ (FLIP)
Tillis: 48%
Other: 4%

Nebraska Senate (65% Reporting)

Fortenberry: 38% ✓
Beutler: 32%
Sasse: 26%
Other: 4%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Pompeo / Portman: 208 Electoral Votes
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 147 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 183 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

11 PM

The time for the 11 PM poll closings has arrived, with the results now pouring in from the states of California, Washington, Hawaii, and the remaining parts of Oregon and Idaho. We do have some projections to make, and that is that President Pompeo will carry the state of Idaho and its four electoral votes. Senator Klobuchar is also projected to take the states of Washington and Hawaii. That leaves 212 Electoral Votes for the President, and 163 for the Senator.

Oregon and California are too early to call, and we do have some large number of Ojeda votes coming from the Los Angeles area, a city that was rocked by riots last year under Governor Newsom and President Pelosi...

Downballot, we can project that Governor Inslee and Senator Merkley will win re-election in Washington and Oregon, respectly. In the state of Idaho, Mike Simpson will now become the Senator-elect, an amazing comeback considering he was rejected as Mike Pence's VP just six months before due to sexual assault allegations...

Idaho President (23% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 45% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 25%
McMullin / Miner: 11%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
Kokesh / Perry: 4%
Castle / McCann: 3%
Other: 1%

Idaho Senate

Simpson: 51% ✓
Smith: 40%
Other: 9%

Washington President (5% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 41% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 30%
Ojeda / Davis: 13%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Washington Governor

Inslee: 54% ✓
Reichert: 41%
Other: 5%

Hawaii President (5% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 45% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 24%
Ojeda / Davis: 15%
Honkala / Davenport: 8%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Other: 1%

Oregon President (4% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 39%
Pompeo / Portman: 35%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
Honkala / Davenport: 6%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Oregon Senate

Merkley: 54% ✓
Hansell: 42%
Other: 4%

California President (8% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 35%
Pompeo / Portman: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 20%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

11:26 PM

Almost thirty minutes after the 11 PM poll closing and we now have some new hot projections to make. At the Presidential level, we can now say that Mike Pompeo will win the states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Iowa, a very critical call for The President. That leaves President Pompeo with 248 Electoral Votes, 163 for Senator Klobuchar, and 124 remaining to be called.

Downballot, we can also say that Tim Fox will be elected as the new Montana Governor, and that the Maine Senate Race will go to RCV.


Pennsylvania President (83% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 41% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 32%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Wisconsin President (75% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 40% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 14%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Iowa President (57% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 44% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 32%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Montana Governor (60% Reporting)

Fox: 51% ✓
Cooney: 46%
Other: 3%

Maine Senate (99% Reporting) - Will go to RCV

Rice: 43%
Collins: 40%
Poliquin: 14%
Other: 3%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Pompeo / Portman: 248 Electoral Votes
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 163 Electoral Votes
Not Yet Called: 127 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

[Free Bird]

How would Pompeo win PA MI and WI but lose NC?

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

How would Pompeo win PA MI and WI but lose NC?

I assume Ojeda's #populism was a lot more popular in the rust belt and took a lot more votes from Klobuchar there than in NC.

[alancia]

Election Night 2020

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

11:26 PM

Two new projections at this hour: Senator Klobuchar will win the states of California and Oregon, two very important calls for her. This leaves the Electoral College at 248 for the President, 225 for Senator Klobuchar, and with 62 yet to be called.

California President (14% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 37% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 19%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Oregon President (16% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 33%
Ojeda / Davis: 11%
Honkala / Davenport: 6%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 2%
Other: 1%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

11:44 PM

Almost 15 minutes left until midnight in the East Coast and we have a very critical call to make... We can now project the state of Florida will go to Senator Klobuchar. It has been a long night, but in Florida we can now say that the Minnesota Senator will win the Sunshine State with a margin of 1.1%.

This leaves the Electoral College at now 254 for Senator Klobuchar and 248 for the President, with 33 Electoral Votes left to be called.

Florida President (99% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 38% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 37%
Ojeda / Davis: 13%
McMullin / Miner: 7%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

12 AM

Polls have closed in the state of Alaska, with its three Electoral Votes. At the Presidential level, we can project that President Pompeo will carry the state, and downballot we can also project the Senate race for incumbent Senator Sullivan. That adds three more electors to the President's column, making the race 254 for Senator Klobuchar, 251 for Mike Pompeo, and 33 yet to be called.

Alaska President (4% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 39% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 25%
Ojeda / Davis: 17%
Kokesh / Perry: 6%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Castle / McCann: 3%
Other: 1%

Alaska Senate

Sullivan: 48% ✓
Begich: 39%
Other: 13%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

1:21 AM

Some twenty minutes past 1 AM Wednesday morning here in the East Coast and we have three very important projections. In New Hampshire, we can project that President Pompeo will win the state with a narrow margin, and that Senator Klobuchar will carry the state of Nevada and its six Electoral Votes. That leaves Ms. Klobuchar with 260 electors, President Pompeo with 255, and 23 remaining to be called - the states of Minnesota, Arizona, and Maine-at-large.

Downballot, we can say that Kelly Ayotte will defeat incumbent Senator Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, a pickup for the Republicans. The margin is narrow however, like the President's win in the state, and could be disputed.

New Hampshire President (99% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 38% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 38%
Ojeda / Davis: 12%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: <1%
Other: <1%

New Hampshire Senate

Ayotte: 48% ✓ (FLIP)
Shaheen: 47%
Other: 5%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

2:01 AM

Just 1 minute after 2 AM and we have an important projection concerning Congress... we can now say that the Republican Party has gained control of the House of Representatives after picking up CA-39. Its clear that the Republicans have gained a slight bump in the Golden State, and combined with third party margins in the state have contributed to this very, very important victory for the GOP.

We can also project the Iowa Senate Race for incumbent Republican Joni Ersnt, defeating Abby Finkenauer by a margin of around 2%.



Iowa Senate (99% Reporting)

Ernst: 50% ✓
Finkenauer: 48%
Other: 2%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

2:43 AM

We have two projections to make at this late hour, both having to deal with the Senate. In the state of Louisiana, we can project that a runoff will happen between incumbent Senator Bill Cassidy, and former Governor Bel Edwards. In the state of Montana, we can also project that outgoing Governor Bullock will defeat the incumbent Republican Daines, a flip for the Democrats.

Louisiana Senate (99% Reporting)

Cassidy: 49% ✓
Edwards: 37% ✓
Brown: 8%
De la Fuente: 3%
Other: 3%

Montana Senate (96% Reporting)

Bullock: 48% ✓ (FLIP)
Daines: 46%
Other: 6%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

3:36 AM

Some twenty-five minutes before 4 AM in the East Coast and we have two projections to make... In Minnesota, the home state of Ms. Klobuchar, Mike Pompeo is the winner. With a strong Ojeda vote, the President will triumph in her home state, gaining its ten Electoral Votes. In Maine at large, President Pompeo is also the winner, by maintaing his margin in the Second Congressional District and third parties hurting Senator Klobuchar in the first.

That leaves the President with 267 Electoral Votes, and Senator Klobuchar with 260 Electoral Votes. Now, it all depends on Arizona and its 11 Electoral Votes, so we have our blankets ready here in the studio, as it appears to be close there...

Minnesota President (99% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 33% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 31%
Ojeda / Davis: 21%
Honkala / Davenport: 5%
McMullin / Miner: 5%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Maine-at-large President (99% Reporting)

Pompeo / Portman: 35% ✓
Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 34%
Ojeda / Davis: 18%
Honkala / Davenport: 4%
McMullin / Miner: 4%
Kokesh / Perry: 3%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

9:30 AM

Thirty minutes past 9 AM in the East Coast, AP calls Arizona for Senator Klobuchar with 99% of the precints reporting. It also calls Ruben Gallego as the apparent winner in the Senate Race, a flip for the Democrats.

This leaves the Presidential Race with 271 Electoral Votes for Amy Klobuchar and 267 Electoral Votes for Mike Pompeo. With 1 vote over the 270 needed to become President of the United States, Amy Klobuchar is projected to be the 50th President of the United States.

Arizona President (99% Reporting)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 40% ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 39%
Ojeda / Davis: 9%
McMullin / Miner: 6%
Honkala / Davenport: 2%
Kokesh / Perry: 2%
Castle / McCann: 1%
Other: 1%

Arizona Senate

Gallego: 48% ✓ (FLIP)
McSally: 48%
Other: 4%
___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Democratic States // Polls Not Closed Yet // Too Early or Close To Call // Republican States

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 271 Electoral Votes ✓
Pompeo / Portman: 267 Electoral Votes
Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes
Other: 0 Electoral Votes

Amy Jean Klobuchar

50th President of the United States

Robert Francis O'Rourke

50th Vice-President of the United States

Full results coming soon.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Wow, that was not what I expected.

[alancia]

Wow, that was not what I expected.

Lol

[wxtransit]

Oof.

[Cold War Liberal]

Wow, that was not what I expected.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I think after this, with all the third parties, and an absolute mess of a general, support for ending the EC will be high.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Wow, that was not what I expected.

[KaiserDave]

How did they lose the house.....

[alancia]

2020 Election, Full Results

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Presidential

Shading represents the percentage of the winner in the state

Turnout: 59.6% (+3.9)

Klobuchar / O'Rourke: 271 Electoral Votes /// 46,314,893 /// 32.91%

Pompeo / Portman: 267 Electoral Votes /// 49,439,143 /// 35.13%

Ojeda / Davis: 0 Electoral Votes /// 27,738,272 /// 19.71%

McMullin / Miner: 0 Electoral Votes /// 6,881,793 /// 4.89%

Honkala / Davenport: 0 Electoral Votes /// 5,784,084 /// 4.11%

Kokesh / Perry: 0 Electoral Votes /// 2,983,517 /// 2.12%

Castle / McCann: 0 Electoral Votes /// 1,435,466 /// 1.02%

Other: 0 Electoral Votes /// 154,805 /// 0.11%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Senatorial

DEM Hold /// DEM Gain /// GOP Gain /// GOP Hold /// Pending Runoff

New Hampshire: Ayotte: 48.05% /// Shaheen: 47.34% /// Others: 4.61%

Maine (RCV): Collins: 54.02% /// Rice: 45.98%

North Carolina: Stein: 48.59% /// Tillis: 48.11% /// Others: 3.3%

Alabama: Byrne: 60.14% /// Jones: 38.25% /// Others: 1.61%

Michigan: James: 49.01% /// Peters: 40.87% /// Others: 10.12%

Colorado: Hickenlooper: 54.56% /// Gardner: 43.05% /// Others: 2.39%

Montana: Bullock: 47.95% /// Daines: 47.01% /// Others: 5.4%

Arizona: Gallego: 48.26% /// McSally: 48.13% /// Others: 3.61%

Georgia: Pending runoff between Perdue and Abrams.

Louisiana: Pending runoff between Cassidy and Edwards.

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Gubernatorial

DEM Hold /// DEM Gain /// GOP Gain /// GOP Hold

Montana: Fox: 49.13% /// Cooney: 46.83% /// Others: 2.12%

West Virginia: Stollings: 54.18% /// Justice: 36.92% /// Others: 8.9%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

House of Representatives

GOP Pickups: MN-07, MI-08, MI-05, MI-11, IL-14, IA-03, IA-01, MN-02, NY-22, NY-19, NY-11, NJ-03, NJ-11, NJ-07, NY-03, ME-02, VA-07, VA-02, PA-07, NC-09, SC-01, NY-18, TX-07, OK-05, UT-04, KS-03, NM-02, CA-45, CA-39, CA-10, CA-21, CA-07, CA-48

DEM Pickups: GA-07, CO-03, OH-01, OH-02, WV-02

Net: GOP+28

House Composition after January 3rd, 2021: GOP - 227 /// DEM - 208
___________________________________________________________________________________________________

After a tense night of many upsets and surprises, Amy Klobuchar was declared the winner of the 2020 Election on the morning of November 4th, 2020. She would be the first female president, carrying 19 states and 271 Electoral Votes. Klobuchar defeated Mike Pompeo, who had become the incumbent President after the 2019 Constitutional Crisis. However, the Minnesota Senator had lost the Popular Vote by around three million votes, or 2.22%.

Klobuchar won her victory through the sunbelt states, Arizona; North Carolina; Florida, which is mostly explained by the large share of McMullin vote in these three states, plus a slight bump given by her running mate, Beto O'Rourke.

However, Klobuchar had lost the Rust Belt, parts of New England, and even her own home state of Minnesota. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania were won by President Pompeo by double-digit margins, partly explained by the third party candidacy of Richard Ojeda, but also by the unpopularity of the local Democratic administrations in these states, after the 2019-2020 Recession - she lost these states even after championing a progressive economic agenda there.

The Governor's Mansions remained the same, with the GOP picking up Montana and the Democrats gaining in West Virginia, where State Senator Ron Stollings triumphed over the incumbent Jim Justice due to the situation in the Mountain State, similar to those in the Rust Belt.

The Senate was still not defined, with the Republicans holding 50 Seats and Democrats 48; with runoffs still to happen in Georgia and Louisiana, where a Democratic victory in both states would mean control of the Senate, due to Vice-President O'Rourke being a tiebreaker.

The Republicans gained control of the House of Representatives however, helped mainly by victories in the states of California, New York, Michigan and New Jersey, where incumbent Democratic administrations were very unpopular. The Democrats had some limited gains, particulary in Ohio.

This ends the 2020 Election, certainly one of the most particular in American history.