The most SHOCKING Clinton county in 2016
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  2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Dereich)
  The most SHOCKING Clinton county in 2016
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Author Topic: The most SHOCKING Clinton county in 2016  (Read 7123 times)
brucejoel99
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« Reply #25 on: July 30, 2019, 03:23:40 AM »

Anne Arundel, MD was pretty surprising. Hadn't went Democratic since LBJ in 1964, although Romney only won it by ~200 votes in 2012.

I wouldn't really call that "surprising." If Romney was only winning it by 200 votes, then it was probably bound to happen in 2016, even if Trump hadn't been the nominee.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #26 on: July 31, 2019, 09:42:41 AM »

I wasn't surprised that Clinton won Bucks County, PA but I was surprised by the fact that she lost Pennsylvania but carried Bucks. I saw it as a bellwether of sorts.
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Arbitrage1980
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« Reply #27 on: August 18, 2019, 10:41:54 PM »

Cobb County, Georgia. Gwinnett flipping was predicted widely. Cobb was mostly thought to be a cycle or two away.

Cobb was a shock, Gwinnett was seen as more realistic but Cobb was always thought of as this wealthy preppy white suburb that would flip unless minorities were 40%+ of the population OR a very 1990s bill clinton centrist type candidate came along.

Even Bill Clinton 96 lost Cobb and Gwinnett by double digits. Hillary was the first Democrat to win those counties since Carter 1976. In 1980, they rejected Carter for Reagan! And they fueled the huge upset win of Republican Mack Mattingly in the Senate race against Democrat segregatinonist Herman Tallmadge in that same election.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #28 on: December 26, 2020, 03:05:15 AM »

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

And indeed it did. Biden won it by 8%.
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Chips
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« Reply #29 on: January 15, 2021, 11:23:09 PM »

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

And indeed it did. Biden won it by 8%.

That's a big margin.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #30 on: January 19, 2021, 06:03:43 PM »

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

And indeed it did. Biden won it by 8%.

That's a big margin.

I would say so, particularly for a county that hadn't voted Democratic in a hundred years before 2020. Johnson County is gone for the Republicans at the presidential level.
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