Predict the 2019 elections

[LoneStarDem]

Governorships:

MS (Open): Toss-Up. I'd like to see Hood pull this off considering the MS Dems last won the MS Governor's Mansion in 1999 when then-LG Ross Musgrove (D) won the Governorship, only to lose reelection in 2003.

KY: Bevin wins reelection easily over Baby Beshear (56% to 41%).

LA: JBE wins without a Runoff: 57% of the statewide vote. Big question is whether the LA Dems make gains on down-ballot contests considering the other down-ballot statewide offices won't be contested.

Mayoral Contests:

Houston, TX: 50-to-50% possibility embattled incumbent Mayor Sylvester Turner (D) misses the Runoff; Bill King (R) & Tony Buzbee (D ? or R ?) stand possible shot at being Houston's 63rd Mayor.

There's still backlash against Turner over his disastrous handling over Proposition B & the HFD Firefighters Union, etc., who cannot stand him.

San Francisco ,CA: Breed wins 1st full 4-year term in November & she's eligible for a 2nd full 4-year term in 2023, which could give her close to 9 1/2 years.

Denver, CO: Incumbent Mayor Michael Hancock (D) wins 3rd consecutive term despite some controversies.

San Antonio, TX: Nirenberg wins reelection.

Fort Worth, TX: Price (R) wins 5th term.

Dallas, TX (Open): This might go to a Runoff.

Arlington, TX: Williams (R) wins reelection.

Charlotte, NC: Interesting to see if Lyles seeks another term in office.

Chicago, IL (Open): Lightfoot wins easily in the Runoff barring something crazy between now & April 2nd.

[LoneStarDem]

MS: GOP Hold.

KY: GOP Hold.

LA: DEM Hold with JBE winning by double digits with 57% & all of the doubters need to STFU.

Dallas, TX Mayor: Johnson wins the Runoff.

San Antonio, TX Mayor: Nirenberg wins reelection.

Houston, TX Mayor: King (R) or Buzbee (D/R) defeat Turner.

San Francisco, CA Mayor: Breed wins election to full 4-year term.

VA State Senate: DEM Pick-Up barring crazy Northam-like scandals.

[LoneStarDem]

Sounds like the VA Dems will regain both chambers of the VA General Assembly for the first time since the early 1990s ?

[LoneStarDem]

VA Dems get back both houses of the General Assembly, both House and Senate were Likely D even before the Court imposed new maps. Safe D

Louisiana might move to Likely D since Edwards remains personally popular. He may be able to avoid a run-off

Mississippi is Lean R because of course they've got an electoral college down there. I find it hard to see how Hood manages a majority, especially looking at the handful of polling that's been released so far

Kentucky is a pure toss-up imo. Bevin is clearly damaged and Beshear should do a lot better than Conway.

Now let's see just hope Trump doesn't make these races Titanium R by virtue of showing up and tossing a Bounty paper towel roll or 2 into the crowds

MS: God just doesn't like the MS Dems down there for some reason & you're right about Hood needs to get over 50% to avoid facing the MS State Legislature, who decides who gets to move into the MS Governor's Mansion.

[LoneStarDem]

How did the lawsuit turn out ?

[LoneStarDem]

Denver, CO Mayor: Hancock will win reelection to 3rd & final term easily.

[LoneStarDem]

Denver, CO Mayor: Hancock will win reelection to 3rd & final term easily.

He already did

Oops!

Dallas & San Antonio have Mayoral Runoffs.

[LoneStarDem]

First round of predictions:

Lousiana:

Abraham unseats Edwards in a runoff 52-48

Mississippi:

Reeves beats Hood back 54-45

Kentucky:

Bevin beats Beshear back 52-46

OMG. You're such a pessimist.

LA: JBE wins reelection by double digits, 57% to 42%.

MS: Might go to the MS State Legislature if nobody gets the necessary 50%.

KY: Who knows. Crazy things have happened.

Houston, TX Mayor: December Runoff & with Boykins jumping in, he's going to cut into Turner's coalition of African Americans, Latinos, Asian/Pacific Islanders, etc., guaranteeing Buzbee or King advance to the Runoff.

I should note that Buzbee is running TV Advertising all over the place & considering he served on the Texas A&M University System Board of Regents & in the United States Marine Corps.

King needs to up his game.

San Francisco, CA Mayor: Breed wins election to a full 4-year term, hopefully by double digits & with 56+%.

VA State Senate & VA House of Delegates flip Blue.