Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Will MD-7 have an election or it will be empty until November 2020?

Hogan just announced the special election dates today:

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/1188847538583097345

Inb4 bAlTiMoRe TrEnD r

[Libertas Vel Mors]

You are going to be eating your words when he actually wins.

As a Republican, go Cenk! We're going to need every seat we can get to win in 2020.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/sean-duffy-joins-lobbying-firm-after-leaving-congress

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAAHHAHA

And Here I gave him the benefit of family with a special needs child

In fairness, any family with a special needs child will want to maximize their income as best possible

Plus he has like, 10 kids? He needs the money, I don't blame him

[Libertas Vel Mors]

lmao

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/

I mean, WI-07 wasn't bad at all.

No, but it is funny that the narrative they tried to build up fell flat. Tiffany performed very similarly to Walker in 2018, not like Kelly or Vukmir. Underperforming Trump by a fair amount in a special election is expected in a rural Romney +2/Trump +20 type of district. These results, if you want to extrapolate them, indicate a very competitive Wisconsin in 2020, not a blue wave.

It COULD be indicative of a blue wave, given that Dems haven't completely collapsed in the rurals like both sides were assuming.

lol

[Libertas Vel Mors]

lmao

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/

I mean, WI-07 wasn't bad at all.

No, but it is funny that the narrative they tried to build up fell flat. Tiffany performed very similarly to Walker in 2018, not like Kelly or Vukmir. Underperforming Trump by a fair amount in a special election is expected in a rural Romney +2/Trump +20 type of district. These results, if you want to extrapolate them, indicate a very competitive Wisconsin in 2020, not a blue wave.

It COULD be indicative of a blue wave, given that Dems haven't completely collapsed in the rurals like both sides were assuming.

lol

They lost by 14 instead of 21.

Sigh. As even the most cursory understanding of political trends could tell you, fast trending areas often solidify faster at the Presidential than local level. The fact that some ancestral Rs in IL-06 voted R for Governor in 2018, or that Tiffany underperformed with some ancesteral Ds, means absolutely nothing for the Presidential race.