Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 170401 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1325 on: September 10, 2019, 07:14:59 PM »
Anson has some E-day vote now, no idea if the votes came from a red or blue precincts in this segregated county, but McReady lost 1% overall in the county.
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Continential
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« Reply #1326 on: September 10, 2019, 07:15:15 PM »
McCready leading 54/45 with 9% in. and 18 precincts in.
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #1327 on: September 10, 2019, 07:15:33 PM »
SCOTLAND COUNTY 2018 RESULT: D+13.7
SCOTLAND COUNTY 2019 RESULT: D+12.9
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1328 on: September 10, 2019, 07:16:17 PM »
It's pretty clear that McCready has decently overperformed in the early vote, enough to win, if the election day vote behaved the same as 2018.  But, it's a special election, so you can't say that it will.  It's going to be very close, edge to McCready, imo
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Sestak
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« Reply #1329 on: September 10, 2019, 07:17:04 PM »
Some Union and Anson precincts are in as well
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1330 on: September 10, 2019, 07:17:37 PM »
Quote from: Bishop, Not McGreedy on September 10, 2019, 07:15:33 PM
SCOTLAND COUNTY 2018 RESULT: D+13.7
SCOTLAND COUNTY 2019 RESULT: D+12.9

Yeah, depressed black turnout.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1331 on: September 10, 2019, 07:17:50 PM »
Unions also beginning to release  precincts, so expect the total to take  a bigger then expected hit until Mecklenburg catches up.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1332 on: September 10, 2019, 07:18:16 PM »
Union starting to come in, not much improvement for Bishop.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #1333 on: September 10, 2019, 07:18:43 PM »
Quote from: Bishop, Not McGreedy on September 10, 2019, 07:15:33 PM
SCOTLAND COUNTY 2018 RESULT: D+13.7
SCOTLAND COUNTY 2019 RESULT: D+12.9
Will be better for Dems after absentees.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1334 on: September 10, 2019, 07:20:34 PM »
NYT has one of their classic data entry errors in Union right now.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1335 on: September 10, 2019, 07:20:37 PM »
UNION JUST TURNED BLUE
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Panhandle Progressive
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« Reply #1336 on: September 10, 2019, 07:21:00 PM »

O.M.G!
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Gracile
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« Reply #1337 on: September 10, 2019, 07:21:04 PM »
That NYT Union result looks like a mistake.

Edit: It appears the numbers they input for Union is the total vote for the district so far.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1338 on: September 10, 2019, 07:21:15 PM »
NNUUTT
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #1339 on: September 10, 2019, 07:21:22 PM »

Gotta be an error, right?
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Green Line
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« Reply #1340 on: September 10, 2019, 07:21:41 PM »
Did you guys learn nothing from Lipinski-Newman?  Lol

Data error.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1341 on: September 10, 2019, 07:22:06 PM »
It is an error
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Xing
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« Reply #1342 on: September 10, 2019, 07:22:17 PM »
Definitely an error. Probably added 10,000 instead of 1,000 or something like that.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1343 on: September 10, 2019, 07:23:35 PM »
New NCSBE Totals with some ED vote:

Dan McCready 48,571 (53.67%)
Dan Bishop 41,466 (45.82%)
Jeff Scott   302   
Allen Smith 167   
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #1344 on: September 10, 2019, 07:23:53 PM »
DDHQ now on 53.7-45.8, McCready.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1345 on: September 10, 2019, 07:24:08 PM »
Quote from: gracile on September 10, 2019, 07:23:35 PM
New NCSBE Totals with some ED vote:

Dan McCready 48,571
Dan Bishop 41,466
Jeff Scott 302
Allen Smith 167


Really low third-party vote.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1346 on: September 10, 2019, 07:24:35 PM »
Ignoring NYT's error, Anson added a few more precincts. Still waiting on Mecklenburg.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1347 on: September 10, 2019, 07:25:03 PM »
I wanted to see a Blue Union is Becoming Red Union GIF.
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #1348 on: September 10, 2019, 07:25:44 PM »
Apparently NYT had the district wide numbers inputted for union county
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1349 on: September 10, 2019, 07:26:02 PM »
Quote from: Jubilados cubanos por Trump on September 10, 2019, 07:24:38 PM
McCready's slight underperformance in Scotland is the only reason I’m not 100% convinced that this is over, but it’s hard to see how Democrats lose this.
I think black turnout dropping is the reason for that.
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