Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 167980 times)
Beet
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« Reply #1700 on: April 29, 2020, 10:37:04 PM »



Smith forced to apologize. Not a good look to apologize, #1rule is always double down, as it can prevent any bleeding, now she actually has to congratulate her opponent.

Maybe, but it's really a shame. Apology is a deeply prosocial behavior and it sucks that our society takes it as a sign of vulnerability rather than as such. When we were kids and did something wrong, the grown ups would make us apologize like we meant it, and then we would be forgiven. The point of growing up shouldn't be that those rules don't apply anymore, it's that we become the ones responsible for enforcing them ourselves.

Good on Smith.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #1701 on: April 29, 2020, 11:55:44 PM »
« Edited: April 29, 2020, 11:59:51 PM by Epaminondas »

Not a good look to apologize, #1rule is always double down, as it can prevent any bleeding

Maybe, but it's really a shame. Apology is a deeply prosocial behavior and it sucks that our society takes it as a sign of vulnerability rather than as such. When we were kids and did something wrong, the grown ups would make us apologize like we meant it, and then we would be forgiven. The point of growing up shouldn't be that those rules don't apply anymore, it's that we become the ones responsible for enforcing them ourselves.

Good on Smith.

Your stance is commendable in everyday exchanges, but it's a loser in the cutthroat world of politics.

The thrust of the GOP party platform since Nixon is shameless deception and scapegoating. If Smith start placing herself in a morally weak position when her opponent would never in a million years apologise, she's just encouraging low-information voters to conflate her good faith mistakes with GOP skulduggery.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1702 on: April 30, 2020, 07:46:41 AM »

https://californiaglobe.com/section-2/breaking-california-republican-party-sues-gov-newsom-to-prohibit-ballot-harvesting-for-californias-may-12-special-elections/

GOP suing to stop ballot harvesting in California, IMO pretty reasonable to stop any door to door ballot harvesting,if a family member is dropping something off that should still be allowed.
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Skye
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« Reply #1703 on: May 12, 2020, 10:06:12 AM »

Inside Election article regarding CA-25: https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/california-25-can-garcia-win-the-battle-and-the-war

Something caught my eye:

Quote
Private polling conducted by outside groups has consistently shown Smith trailing Garcia by low single digits, though often within the margin of error. None of the polling shared with Inside Elections showed Smith with a lead.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #1704 on: May 12, 2020, 12:58:32 PM »

What's the best place to see results for WI-07 and CA-25?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1705 on: May 12, 2020, 01:03:10 PM »

What's the best place to see results for WI-07 and CA-25?

I don’t know much about CA-25, but I can tell you fir WI-07 that the only correct way to view a Wisconsin election is to scramble through a couple dozen county website tabs.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1706 on: May 12, 2020, 01:11:57 PM »

You could look at CA-25 results on the Los Angeles and Ventura County websites, respectively:

https://results.lavote.net/#year=2020&election=4178
https://recorder.countyofventura.org/event/25th-congressional-district-special-election/

NYT and Politico will probably have something up later today, too.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #1707 on: May 12, 2020, 02:33:52 PM »

Use Decision Desk if possible they are the fastest with their results, (you have to create an account, but it is free)
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #1708 on: May 12, 2020, 02:37:35 PM »
« Edited: May 12, 2020, 02:41:56 PM by LCameronOR »

Use Decision Desk if possible they are the fastest with their results, (you have to create an account, but it is free)
I have an account there but they don't have a page up for the special elections it seems.

EDIT: Nevermind. Found them.
https://decisiondeskhq.com/wisconsin-7-and-california-25-house-special-election-results/
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1709 on: May 12, 2020, 06:51:08 PM »

CA-25: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/12/us/elections/results-california-house-district-25-special-general-election.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=Navigation

WI-7: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/12/us/elections/results-wisconsin-house-district-7-special-general-election.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=Navigation

Polls close at 9 in WI and 11 in CA
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1710 on: May 12, 2020, 08:14:39 PM »

Tiffany in the lead early

Tom Tiffany
Rep.
29   64.4%   
Tricia Zunker
Dem.
16   35.6
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1711 on: May 12, 2020, 08:20:20 PM »

1% in and Tiffany is ahead by 8 votes out of almost 1400 reported.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1712 on: May 12, 2020, 08:25:54 PM »

Tiffany is ahead 58.4%-41.6% with 5% of precincts reporting, per NYT.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1713 on: May 12, 2020, 08:27:14 PM »

Tiffany is ahead 58.4%-41.6% with 5% of precincts reporting, per NYT.

Probably not representative, but that's almost exactly Trump's percentage in 2016.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1714 on: May 12, 2020, 08:34:05 PM »
« Edited: May 12, 2020, 08:39:00 PM by Chancellor Gracile »

Zunker has a big lead (63-37) in Bayfield so far, which has brought the margin closer but Tiffany is still looking like the favorite to win.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1715 on: May 12, 2020, 08:34:26 PM »



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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1716 on: May 12, 2020, 08:39:07 PM »

Tom Tiffany    Republican    21,667    58.4%    
Tricia Zunker    Democrat    15,443    41.6    
21% in
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1717 on: May 12, 2020, 08:44:16 PM »

I dont know much about Wisconsin politics, but I do remember from last month that the three counties in the top left are democratic strongholds, so Zunker should be able to close the margin abit.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1718 on: May 12, 2020, 08:45:29 PM »

I dont know much about Wisconsin politics, but I do remember from last month that the three counties in the top left are democratic strongholds, so Zunker should be able to close the margin abit.

Zunker is also from Marathon, which is one of the bigger counties in the district.

Obviously Tiffany will win overall though.   Zunker winning here always would've been a shocking upset.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1719 on: May 12, 2020, 08:47:05 PM »

Wasserman calls WI-07 for Tiffany:

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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1720 on: May 12, 2020, 08:55:57 PM »

Tom Tiffany     Republican     40,855     58.5%
Tricia Zunker     Democrat     29,027     41.5%
44% in
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1721 on: May 12, 2020, 09:01:18 PM »

DDNN Call for Tiffany! Ahead 57.6%-42.4% with 73% reporting.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #1722 on: May 12, 2020, 09:03:40 PM »

That's not a bad result, considering the absurd redness of WI-07.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1723 on: May 12, 2020, 09:04:14 PM »

That's not a bad result, considering the absurd redness of WI-07.

Yep.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1724 on: May 12, 2020, 09:05:59 PM »

That's not a bad result, considering the absurd redness of WI-07.

Plus Douglas county is still out.
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