Orser67
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,946
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« on: November 21, 2018, 12:24:10 PM » |
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Definitely. It was basically a huge fluke that there were no winners-who-lost-the-PV between 1888 and 2000, and that fluke was caused largely by alternating periods of presidential dominance by the Democratic and Republican parties. Between 1900 and 1996, just five of 25 elections were decided by a popular vote margin of less than five points. Meanwhile, of the 17 presidential elections that have had a popular vote margin of five points or less, 4 were won by the loser of the popular vote. As long as presidential elections remain closely-contested going forward, I expect more popular vote losers to win the presidency.
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