KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bollier will win KS as so will Bullock in MT beat disappointing Daines

[Woody]

Imagine if Bollier lost to Tillman.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Imagine if Bollier lost to Tillman.

Imagine if Trump lost to Jo Jorgensen.

[SnowLabrador]

Imagine if Bollier lost to Tillman.

I wouldn't be too shocked, honestly. Any Republican but Kobach is virtually guaranteed to beat Bollier.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Imagine if Bollier lost to Tillman.

I wouldn't be too shocked, honestly. Any Republican but Kobach is virtually guaranteed to beat Bollier.

Dont you get it yet, this isnt 2016 anymore, last poll had Marshall tied with Bollier.  It's not a guarentee that Marshall will beat Bollier. Laura Kelly is helping Barb Bollier as Gov and so is Sebelius

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Imagine if Bollier lost to Tillman.

I wouldn't be too shocked, honestly. Any Republican but Kobach is virtually guaranteed to beat Bollier.

Tillman is a Democrat - Bollier's only remaining primary opponent.

[SnowLabrador]

Imagine if Bollier lost to Tillman.

I wouldn't be too shocked, honestly. Any Republican but Kobach is virtually guaranteed to beat Bollier.

Tillman is a Democrat - Bollier's only remaining primary opponent.

Oh, okay. In that case, I would be absolutely floored. Not in a good way.

[tmthforu94]

Over the weekend, someone stole 4 guns out of Kobach’s truck.

https://www.kctv5.com/news/local_news/us-senate-candidate-kris-kobach-reports-guns-stolen/article_d408d03c-af02-11ea-8eaa-4f2f47363cee.html

[walleye26]

Over the weekend, someone stole 4 guns out of Kobach’s truck.

https://www.kctv5.com/news/local_news/us-senate-candidate-kris-kobach-reports-guns-stolen/article_d408d03c-af02-11ea-8eaa-4f2f47363cee.html

I wonder if Kobach will get an NRA endorsement.

[tmthforu94]

Over the weekend, someone stole 4 guns out of Kobach’s truck.

https://www.kctv5.com/news/local_news/us-senate-candidate-kris-kobach-reports-guns-stolen/article_d408d03c-af02-11ea-8eaa-4f2f47363cee.html

I wonder if Kobach will get an NRA endorsement.

Nah, they'll endorse Marshall - they endorsed Colyer over Kobach in 2018. Most establishment organizations are endorsing Marshall, primarily due to the fact the two will vote the same and Marshall is perceived as more electable. He has already bagged the National Right to Life, Kansas Right to Life and most importantly, the coveted Kansas Farm Bureau. To name a few!

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/BryanLowry3/status/1275386215794163714

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bollier is statistically tied even with Marshall, D+1

[Landslide Lyndon]

Hmmmm...

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1275514886978756610

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Buh buh but KS senate is safe R without Kobach!

[SnowLabrador]

Buh buh but KS senate is safe R without Kobach!

It still is. Nobody cares about the reckless driving except people who were going to vote for Bollier anyway.

[Oryxslayer]

Buh buh but KS senate is safe R without Kobach!

It still is. Nobody cares about the reckless driving except people who were going to vote for Bollier anyway.

Having it come out before the primary is wrapped up though isn't in his favor.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Buh buh but KS senate is safe R without Kobach!

It still is. Nobody cares about the reckless driving except people who were going to vote for Bollier anyway.

Having it come out before the primary is wrapped up though isn't in his favor.

This is a good point, and the news couldn’t have happened at a more opportune time for Bollier/Kodach. The primary is only six weeks away and Marshall can’t afford headlines like this when he has the field gunning for him

[Ferguson97]

So the primaries are 1 month away (August 4).

If Kobach wins the primary, would this race be a tossup?

[brucejoel99]

If Kobach wins the primary, would this race be a tossup?

It'd certainly be competitive. Whether it's "a tossup" is another matter.

[tmthforu94]

So the primaries are 1 month away (August 4).

If Kobach wins the primary, would this race be a tossup?

I think so, especially with how the national environment is turning. I still think Marshall is better positioned to win this, the campaign is largely going to be fought online and on the airwaves, where he has a huge $$$ advantage from his own campaign war chest and outside PACs. Kobach still has a good chance, his best chance will be if Democrats try to wade in and throw the race to Kobach via party switching/attacking Marshall. I think that would be a mistake since Kobach still would have a shot at taking down Bollier...Kobach in the Senate would be a huge stain on Kansas' reputation.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

So the primaries are 1 month away (August 4).

If Kobach wins the primary, would this race be a tossup?

I think so, especially with how the national environment is turning. I still think Marshall is better positioned to win this, the campaign is largely going to be fought online and on the airwaves, where he has a huge $$$ advantage from his own campaign war chest and outside PACs. Kobach still has a good chance, his best chance will be if Democrats try to wade in and throw the race to Kobach via party switching/attacking Marshall. I think that would be a mistake since Kobach still would have a shot at taking down Bollier...Kobach in the Senate would be a huge stain on Kansas' reputation.

Yeah, I don’t understand why Bollier or the DSCC haven’t tried to do the McCaskill-like “Kobach is too extreme for Kansas” thing yet. It’s not like she has a shortage of money, she has more than all the Republicans combined!

[Roll Roons]

So the primaries are 1 month away (August 4).

If Kobach wins the primary, would this race be a tossup?

I think so, especially with how the national environment is turning. I still think Marshall is better positioned to win this, the campaign is largely going to be fought online and on the airwaves, where he has a huge $$$ advantage from his own campaign war chest and outside PACs. Kobach still has a good chance, his best chance will be if Democrats try to wade in and throw the race to Kobach via party switching/attacking Marshall. I think that would be a mistake since Kobach still would have a shot at taking down Bollier...Kobach in the Senate would be a huge stain on Kansas' reputation.

Yeah, I don’t understand why Bollier or the DSCC haven’t tried to do the McCaskill-like “Kobach is too extreme for Kansas” thing yet. It’s not like she has a shortage of money, she has more than all the Republicans combined!

It's still Kansas. The state hasn't sent a Democrat to the Senate since the 1930s, which is the longest losing streak in the country for either party. Yes, Bollier would have a much better shot, but the prospect of Senator Kris Kobach would be very real.

[tmthforu94]

https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article243956922.html

Don't think this has been posted yet, but the final scheduled GOP debate was cancelled after everyone but Marshall threatened to boycott. Debate was more of an interview format, which the others felt was unfair advantage to Marshall (since he couldn't be directly attacked by other candidates).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Marshall is gonna win this just like Tillis, Collins, are moderate enough to win

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

So the primaries are 1 month away (August 4).

If Kobach wins the primary, would this race be a tossup?

I think so, especially with how the national environment is turning. I still think Marshall is better positioned to win this, the campaign is largely going to be fought online and on the airwaves, where he has a huge $$$ advantage from his own campaign war chest and outside PACs. Kobach still has a good chance, his best chance will be if Democrats try to wade in and throw the race to Kobach via party switching/attacking Marshall. I think that would be a mistake since Kobach still would have a shot at taking down Bollier...Kobach in the Senate would be a huge stain on Kansas' reputation.

Yeah, I don’t understand why Bollier or the DSCC haven’t tried to do the McCaskill-like “Kobach is too extreme for Kansas” thing yet. It’s not like she has a shortage of money, she has more than all the Republicans combined!

It's still Kansas. The state hasn't sent a Democrat to the Senate since the 1930s, which is the longest losing streak in the country for either party. Yes, Bollier would have a much better shot, but the prospect of Senator Kris Kobach would be very real.

I don’t think many Democrats would or should care about the difference in quality between a potential Senator Kobach who they have a 50-50 shot of beating. Or an almost guaranteed Senator Marshall if he wins the primary. As it is, both Kobach and Marshall are sycophants to a guy who suggested people inject themselves with bleach and decided to make an ass of himself waving a bible around at a church. The end result is the same no matter what if Bollier loses: a vote to keep McConnell majority leader