🇩🇪 German state & local elections
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:31:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  🇩🇪 German state & local elections
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 26 27 28 29 30 [31] 32 33 34 35 36 ... 76
Author Topic: 🇩🇪 German state & local elections  (Read 124727 times)
urutzizu
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 587
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #750 on: March 03, 2020, 02:32:58 PM »

Does anyone have the full Hamburg results? I can't find anything that goes below Volt's result and lumps everyone else with "other". I wanted to make a proportional Hamburg but without more detailed results I can't

https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/B%C3%BCrgerschaftswahl_in_Hamburg_2020#Ergebnis
Logged
GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #751 on: March 03, 2020, 02:56:05 PM »

Does anyone have the full Hamburg results? I can't find anything that goes below Volt's result and lumps everyone else with "other". I wanted to make a proportional Hamburg but without more detailed results I can't

https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/B%C3%BCrgerschaftswahl_in_Hamburg_2020#Ergebnis
Danke!
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,576
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #752 on: March 03, 2020, 03:27:44 PM »

The CDU politician in question has been issued a clean bill of health which means the election can go forward tomorrow. Better to act quickly now before any more infections can occur. Tongue

Justed wanted to post this on the next page, now I read he's negative on this site rather than the news.

Thankfully he's not infected. In my county, however, all for CDU candidates for the state election next year are under home quarantine because they had contact with a postive patient.
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #753 on: March 04, 2020, 07:42:52 AM »

Voting on a new minister-president for Thuringia will start in ca. 20 minutes in the state parliament. Contrary to earlier plans, Ramelow and the new CDU leader Mario Voigt have essentially agreed that the entire CDU will abstain to honor the wishes of their party's head office in Berlin. Which means that there probably will be three ballots again.

The FDP has opted not to be present in the state parliament during the vote. If the AfD wants to go into full trollmode they'll vote for Ramelow in which case Ramelow has signaled that he's going to refuse to be sworn in. This would most likely result in a snap election soon. However, representatives of the Thuringian AfD have so far repeatedly promised not to vote for Ramelow. So the question is: Are they lying?
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #754 on: March 04, 2020, 07:50:47 AM »

Correction: The FDP apparently plans to be present during the vote after all, but they are going to invalidate their ballots instead of voting "abstain".

Jesus Christ, make up your minds already.
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #755 on: March 04, 2020, 08:36:20 AM »

Results of the first ballot

Bodo Ramelow (Left) 42
Björn Höcke (AfD) 22
Abstentions 21

No majority (46 votes) for Ramelow. Second ballot starts in half an hour.

(The FDP is now present in the state parliament, but apparently they haven't filled out any ballots.)
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #756 on: March 04, 2020, 09:24:47 AM »

Results of the second ballot

Ramelow (Left) 42
Höcke (AfD) 22
Abstentions 21

No change. Third ballot starts in half an hour.
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #757 on: March 04, 2020, 09:58:33 AM »

AfD withdraws Höcke on the third ballot, only Ramelow is still running.
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #758 on: March 04, 2020, 10:16:53 AM »

Results of the third ballot

Yes 42
No 23
Abstentions 20

Bodo Ramelow is elected minister-president of Thuringia (without votes from the AfD).



Logged
Velasco
andi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,684
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #759 on: March 04, 2020, 01:55:32 PM »

Wonderful, but something is broken since the last time around. There is something in the air that may be worse than coronavirus
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #760 on: March 05, 2020, 10:34:31 AM »

Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #761 on: March 05, 2020, 02:49:17 PM »

Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #762 on: March 28, 2020, 07:42:31 PM »

Thomas Schäfer (CDU), finance minister of Hesse and likely successor to incumbent minister-president Volker Boffier, has committed suicide.

No information whether it was related to the Corona crisis.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #763 on: March 28, 2020, 07:47:01 PM »

RIP. Suicides are always terrible news.
Logged
Intell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,817
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -1.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #764 on: March 28, 2020, 10:05:56 PM »


What are the voting patterns? Who won which kind of areas and which party was strong in which kind of areas?
Logged
palandio
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,025


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #765 on: March 30, 2020, 12:20:36 PM »

[...]

What are the voting patterns? Who won which kind of areas and which party was strong in which kind of areas?
The SPD was strongest in the poorer quarters among the peripheral quarters, particularly housing estates like Billstedt, Jenfeld, Lurup, Steilshoop. But the main reason for the SPD's overall strength is that it did very well in the more bourgeois suburban areas, too.

The Greens are strongest in the whole range of dense, central areas that all have that alternative/progressive/liberal vibe to some degree.

The one area which has a Left plurality is basically a harbour and industrial area, with a few housing blocs in some places, very low-income and immigrant-heavy. The Left is generally strong in those alternative quarters that are still in the process of gentrification.

The CDU is strongest in the bourgeois quarters, particularly in the more suburban ones and in the quasi-rural south-east.

The AfD seems to be mostly a peripheral protest party in Hamburg.

The FDP is strongest in the wealthiest quarters.
Logged
Astatine
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,877


Political Matrix
E: -0.72, S: -5.90

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #766 on: April 02, 2020, 09:43:10 PM »

New Thuringia poll (compared to March)

Left 37 (-1)
AfD 23 (-2)
CDU 18 (+3)
SPD 7 (-1)
Greens 7 (+1)
FDP 4 (±0)

Might have to do with CDU's current bounce in federal polls, but the state party's plan to not have snap elections this year seems to play off to some degree. I do see them consolidating at ~20 % until April 2021, so they apparently will have saved a couple seats and avoid an embarrassing wipeout.
Logged
Astatine
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,877


Political Matrix
E: -0.72, S: -5.90

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #767 on: September 13, 2020, 06:47:21 AM »

Today local elections are taking place in North Rhine Westphalia. All mayors and city councils get elected. Runoffs will take place in 2 weeks.
As NRW is the most populous state of Germany, this election is of great significance. It might determinate the fate of the CDU leadership candidacy of Armin Laschet, since he is Minister President of NRW and a poor CDU performance (considering his mixed performance during the Covid crisis) might hurt his chances substantially.

Some elections I know about because of friends are the mayoral elections in Cologne and Düsseldorf. In Cologne, incumbent independent mayor Henriette Reker is almost certain to win an overall majority in the first round according to polling seeing her at 61 %. Her candidacy is being backed by CDU and Greens. Five years ago, she got elected mayor in the first round after an assassination attempt. As far as I know, she was not really controversial during her term. Her most prominent opponent is SPD candidate Andreas Kossiski who can expect 22 % according to the most recent poll.

Düsseldorf is an interesting because third parties might actually have an impact. Five years ago, SPD candidate Thomas Geisel defeated the then-CDU mayor, but his performance as mayor is quite controversial, for example due to questionable decisions regarding traffic. His CDU opponent is Stephan Kellner, a district mayor from Cologne. Both candidates could expect 31 % according to the last poll. FDP candidate Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann, who was deputy mayor for some years and is one the most prominent women in FDP leadership, might stand a chance to get into the runoff. She was seen at 17 % (considering the Germany-wide trend for FDP, an outstanding performance) and as far as I can recall, I saw a non-representative local newspaper poll seeing her in the runoff with Geisel. And the Green candidate Stefan Engstfeld is also likely to perform well, his performance was 14 % in polling.

Don't know enough about the other towns and cities, but I suppose that especially the Greens could make significant gains on local level.
Logged
CumbrianLefty
CumbrianLeftie
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,601
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #768 on: September 13, 2020, 09:33:32 AM »

SPD looking set to lose more ground than CDU, though?
Logged
Pick Up the Phone
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 428


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #769 on: September 13, 2020, 10:11:47 AM »

SPD looking set to lose more ground than CDU, though?

Always a safe bet. Wink

After all, NRW is one of only a few states where the SPD is still in a position to lose much ground...
Logged
Keep Calm and ...
OldEurope
Rookie
**
Posts: 154
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #770 on: September 13, 2020, 11:13:47 AM »

Exit polls

Logged
Pick Up the Phone
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 428


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #771 on: September 13, 2020, 11:27:57 AM »

Exit polls



Very solid CDU result. And SPD not as bad as expected (although -8% is still underwhelming). Little surprised that Reker (Cologne mayor running for re-election; supported by CDU and GRÜNE) seems to be below 50%.
Logged
Pick Up the Phone
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 428


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #772 on: September 13, 2020, 11:37:08 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2020, 11:41:57 AM by Pick Up the Phone »


Dortmund city council results (projection). Dortmund is a traditional SPD stronghold; the party dominated city politics for more than 70 years. After today, they will control less than a third of all council seats.


Cologne city council results (projection again). Green dominance.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,576
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #773 on: September 13, 2020, 01:44:38 PM »

I'm a member of a dead party Sad Why can't we have something like En Marche?
Logged
Astatine
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,877


Political Matrix
E: -0.72, S: -5.90

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #774 on: September 13, 2020, 02:05:40 PM »

Overview...

CDU: Some minor losses, but overall solid performance and better than mostly expected. This result will rather strengthen Laschet than weaken him and once again shows that CDU is the only "large party" remaining.

SPD: Ouch. Losing several of their strongholds and might get defeated in important cities (Düsseldorf...) in runoffs.

Greens: Good results in total, strengthening their position to be in 2nd spot in federal elections next year.

AfD: Gains on paper, but it should be noted that AfD didn't file candidates in many cities six years ago. Not great, not terrible, but really not overwhelming.

FDP: Very weak. They're governing in NRW and still lost in comparison to the terrible result of 2014. This election will make it even more questionable how long Christian Lindner will be leader after a likely underwhelming result next year.

Left: Weak. They lost (mostly in favor of Greens), I personally wonder whether the "radical" wings' presence in last week following the Navalny murder attempt could have hurt them. Not good sign for a possible reentrance into state parliament in 2022.

PARTEI: Gains overall, usual left protest vote.

VOLT: Remarkable result for a grassroots movement. They outperformed FDP in Cologne and might hurt both FDP and Greens as they are a progressive, liberal and pan-European party. Could see them gaining 1-2 % in next federal elections.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 26 27 28 29 30 [31] 32 33 34 35 36 ... 76  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.071 seconds with 11 queries.