How will the California races develop?

[wesmoorenerd]

Out of the six major CA House races, it looks like we're going into overtime in all of them and late absentee results may make the difference. Any thoughts on who'll come out on top in 10, 25, 39, 45, 48, and 49?

[Jeppe]

I think CA-10 is probably going to flip to the Democrats, Denham probably wanted a stronger buffer coming out of e-day. Katie Hill has locked down CA-25 for all intents and purposes, same with Harley Rouda and Mike Levin in CA-48 and CA-49. I think Republicans are slightly favoured to hold on in CA-39 and CA-45.

[Nyvin]

Mimi Walters and Young Kim are both doing good.  I expect them to win.    Denham has a chance to hang on...maybe.

The rest will flip to Dems.

The Republicans won CA-21...but turnout is still absolutely awful.   It looks like it'll be less than 75k votes total, that's shameful

[Politician]

CA-25, CA-48 and CA-49 look like guaranteed flips, my guess is CA-10 narrowly flips while R's narrowly hold CA-39 and CA-45.

[Zaybay]

Really depends on those absentee ballots, but I would concur that the most likely scenario is missing out on CA-39 and CA-45, but its possible that all flip, or 3 dont, depending on those absentees.

[Yellowhammer]

It's amusing to me that a representative who we all thought should've been triaged (Walters) is set to win while multiple races that were barely even on the radar (OK-05, SC-01) flipped.

[😥]

CA-10, CA-48, CA-49 DEMOCRATIC
CA-39, CA-45 REPUBLICAN
CA-25 Dont' know

[beesley]

I was clearly very wrong on Steve Knight, as I thought he'd do better than all non-Diane Harkey candidates in that vulnerable group. I suspect Kim and Walters pull through, Denham does too narrowly, and Rohrabacher, Knight and Harkey are out.

[Mr.Phips]

I'm pretty sure Mimi Walters will win.  She's up by 6K now and that probably won't be erased.  Denham is only up 1K, which based on history, may very well be erased when the late ballots come on.  Young Kim in CA-39 falls somewhere between the two.  CA-25, CA-48, and CA-49 are near certain Dem pickups at this point.

[Storr]

I'm pretty sure Mimi Walters will win.  She's up by 6K now and that probably won't be erased.  Denham is only up 1K, which based on history, may very well be erased when the late ballots come on.  Young Kim in CA-39 falls somewhere between the two.  CA-25, CA-48, and CA-49 are near certain Dem pickups at this point.

I almost totally agree with this here. Don't late ballots usually lean towards Democrats in California? If so, CA-39 could get very interesting and I'd assume Denham falls in CA-10.

[Gass3268]

I'm gonna take a shot in the dark and say Democrats win all of them. There are going to be thousands of votes left to be counted. I'd like to how many there are in each district first before making an official prediction.