Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[JG]

Pinellas's site is pretty great for seeing turnout by party live:

Mail vote: R +3,503 (1.5% margin)
Early vote: D +5,325 (9.7%)
Election Day so far: R +4,985 (8.5%)

Overall: R +3,163 (0.9%)

The final raw margin in 2016 was about R +10,000 between all three types.

Sounds like solid numbers for the GOP, and the day isn't over yet. I wonder what 2016/2104 numbers were at this point of the day.

I might be wrong, but isn't there typically a surge for democrats after 4 pm when people comes back from work?

[JG]

Even if the margin narrows to 13k votes it will be very hard for Nelson to win



He has to win more than 19000 of the 25000 votes then to win and that means he will have to win over 75% of the undercount

I mean, if Gillum has 25k votes more than Nelson in that county, doesn't it mean the the undercount might be superior to 25k since I would assume most Gillum voters would have voted for Nelson? How do DeSantis's and Scott's compare to each other in that area?

[JG]

Since Sinema is going to be the first bisexual senator, she's going to have the most credibility to answer the question "Who is the most attractive Senator"?

Heinrich and Gillibrand

Yeah, there's no contest there.

[JG]

Is it really such a good idea to appoint McSally to the other senate seat just weeks after her defeat? Won't that be a giant middle finger to the voters

I mean, between voters supression and their outrage at counting every ballots, isn't that the Republican's whole shtick?