Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 12:54:28 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1		 « previous next »
Thread note


Pages: 1 ... 147 148 149 150 151 [152] 153 154 155 156 157 ... 179
Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 204056 times)
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,993


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3775 on: November 10, 2018, 07:18:19 PM »
Quote from: Thatkat04 on November 10, 2018, 07:16:36 PM
Quote from: henster on November 10, 2018, 07:14:48 PM
The 50K from batch A that needs to be reviewed won't be counted for a few more days so tomorrow should be all from McSally's favored batch. This was a mixture of both today and I guess the end of batch A excluding the ones that need to be reviewed.

Thats fine, but this batch had early votes returned on election day and it still went for Sinema by 3 points.

The batch today went for her by 7 points.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3776 on: November 10, 2018, 07:19:04 PM »
PredictIt is now 97-4 in favor of Sinema. Not that it matters.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,851


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3777 on: November 10, 2018, 07:19:07 PM »
Logged
cg41386
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 965
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.39, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3778 on: November 10, 2018, 07:20:21 PM »
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/09/which-precincts-voting-martha-mcsally-and-kyrsten-sinema-maricopa-county-arizona-senate/1944724002/

This has a Maricopa County precinct results map as of Thursday.
Logged
Thatkat04
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 462
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3779 on: November 10, 2018, 07:20:45 PM »
Quote from: henster on November 10, 2018, 07:18:19 PM
Quote from: Thatkat04 on November 10, 2018, 07:16:36 PM
Quote from: henster on November 10, 2018, 07:14:48 PM
The 50K from batch A that needs to be reviewed won't be counted for a few more days so tomorrow should be all from McSally's favored batch. This was a mixture of both today and I guess the end of batch A excluding the ones that need to be reviewed.

Thats fine, but this batch had early votes returned on election day and it still went for Sinema by 3 points.

The batch today went for her by 7 points.

Yes, but in person Maricopa voters, the group that is supposedly favorable for McSally, went for Sinema by 2.4%. This is the group thats supposed to save McSally.

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1061406967686746112
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,993


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3780 on: November 10, 2018, 07:21:08 PM »
Sunday is McSally's last chance.

Logged
Panda Express
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,578


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3781 on: November 10, 2018, 07:21:09 PM »
STFU about “buckets.” At least use the word “batch” so I don’t cringe.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3782 on: November 10, 2018, 07:21:57 PM »
Quote from: Vox Populi on November 10, 2018, 07:21:09 PM
STFU about “buckets.” At least use the word “batch” so I don’t cringe.
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,846


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3783 on: November 10, 2018, 07:22:08 PM »
Quote from: Fremont Speaker ON Progressive on November 10, 2018, 07:13:17 PM
LOL the AP called the SOS race for Gaynor too. Looks like they'll have to retract that if Bucket B cuts into his margin like that.

It seems like there should really be a national law against "calling" races at all until the vote tallies are finalized.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,365


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3784 on: November 10, 2018, 07:23:51 PM »
Quote from: INCUMBENT Cruz Did Win, By a Shockingly Narrow Margin 👁 on November 10, 2018, 07:22:08 PM
Quote from: Fremont Speaker ON Progressive on November 10, 2018, 07:13:17 PM
LOL the AP called the SOS race for Gaynor too. Looks like they'll have to retract that if Bucket B cuts into his margin like that.

It seems like there should really be a national law against "calling" races at all until the vote tallies are finalized.

I mean when its 100% obvious that the trends are not gonna favor the caniddate like Levin and Harkey its fine.
Logged
Thatkat04
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 462
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3785 on: November 10, 2018, 07:24:50 PM »
McSally would need to win the remaining Maricopa votes by 15%.

https://twitter.com/treyterry/status/1061413264825868288
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3786 on: November 10, 2018, 07:25:18 PM »

Also-
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3787 on: November 10, 2018, 07:26:11 PM »
Just saving this here
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3788 on: November 10, 2018, 07:27:04 PM »
McSally can put that bucket where it hurts. Congrats to Senator-elect Sinema.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3789 on: November 10, 2018, 07:27:07 PM »
Stick a fork in McSally, she's done.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,365


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3790 on: November 10, 2018, 07:28:22 PM »
Quote from: LOLfoid on November 10, 2018, 07:27:07 PM
Stick a fork in McSally, she's done.

when will dems stick a fork in Nelson?
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3791 on: November 10, 2018, 07:29:28 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on November 10, 2018, 07:28:22 PM
Quote from: LOLfoid on November 10, 2018, 07:27:07 PM
Stick a fork in McSally, she's done.

when will dems stick a fork in Nelson?

Already did around 1am central time November 7th, your turn.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3792 on: November 10, 2018, 07:29:52 PM »
Do we know how many Batch B votes are actually left? If there were 200K left yesterday, and at least 50K of those were counted today, the math becomes basically impossible for McSally.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,365


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3793 on: November 10, 2018, 07:30:22 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on November 10, 2018, 07:29:28 PM
Quote from: lfromnj on November 10, 2018, 07:28:22 PM
Quote from: LOLfoid on November 10, 2018, 07:27:07 PM
Stick a fork in McSally, she's done.

when will dems stick a fork in Nelson?

Already did around 1am central time November 7th, your turn.

I mean I stuck a fork in Mcsally since she took the lead.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3794 on: November 10, 2018, 07:30:58 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on November 10, 2018, 07:30:22 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on November 10, 2018, 07:29:28 PM
Quote from: lfromnj on November 10, 2018, 07:28:22 PM
Quote from: LOLfoid on November 10, 2018, 07:27:07 PM
Stick a fork in McSally, she's done.

when will dems stick a fork in Nelson?

Already did around 1am central time November 7th, your turn.

I mean I stuck a fork in Mcsally since she took the lead.

Fair enough then.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,851


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3795 on: November 10, 2018, 07:34:38 PM »
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,862
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3796 on: November 10, 2018, 07:39:24 PM »
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,851


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3797 on: November 10, 2018, 07:39:38 PM »
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,365


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3798 on: November 10, 2018, 07:40:16 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 10, 2018, 07:39:24 PM


STOP STOP you are killing her.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,527
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3799 on: November 10, 2018, 07:41:30 PM »
Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on November 10, 2018, 07:29:52 PM
Do we know how many Batch B votes are actually left? If there were 200K left yesterday, and at least 50K of those were counted today, the math becomes basically impossible for McSally.



Maricopa Totals: ~198,000
Maricopa Batch A: ~50,000
Maricopa Batch B: ~148,000
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 147 148 149 150 151 [152] 153 154 155 156 157 ... 179  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 12 queries.