Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Thatkat04]

Rick Scott set to give a press conference at 8pm. I'm alittle worried he's gonna start throwing around voter fraud accusations.

[Sestak]

Rick Scott set to give a press conference at 8pm. I'm alittle worried he's gonna start throwing around voter fraud accusations.

He's a Rethug. Of course he is.

[GeorgiaModerate]

So assuming Sinema holds on, the Senate will end up R+1 or R+2 depending on Florida (which I refuse to make any predictions on at this point).  I expect that most Democrats would have taken that along with D+~35 in the House if it was offered to them a week ago!

[InheritTheWind]

https://twitter.com/troykinsey/status/1060688002442293249?s=21

[lfromnj]

Gillums still done I really dont hear about any more votes for him but Nelson just might make it and Florida dems incompotence get the concession prize of the incredibly important AG commissioner.

[RI]

Broward supposedly finished their VBM and only has a few thousand (~4-6K) early votes left.

[libertpaulian]

https://twitter.com/troykinsey/status/1060688002442293249?s=21

Dang, that's a huge discrepancy between Gillum and Nelson.  A couple months ago, we thought that Gillum would have been Nelson's political savior.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

If Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

Rep. Ruben Gallego has been rumored to be the favored candidate among Democrats.

He's a weak candidate. Try Greg Stanton or Mark Kelly.

[Ebsy]

Broward supposedly finished their VBM and only has a few thousand (~4-6K) early votes left.

Still haven't updated with the SOS though, as far as I can tell.

[windjammer]

Broward supposedly finished their VBM and only has a few thousand (~4-6K) early votes left.

Yes Rick Scott will be senator.

[Florida Man for Crime]

So assuming Sinema holds on, the Senate will end up R+1 or R+2 depending on Florida (which I refuse to make any predictions on at this point).  I expect that most Democrats would have taken that along with D+~35 in the House if it was offered to them a week ago!

[GP270watch]

There's a hand recount triggered with that small a margin. I expect Nelson will make this thing very close.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

https://twitter.com/troykinsey/status/1060688002442293249?s=21

Dang, that's a huge discrepancy between Gillum and Nelson.  A couple months ago, we thought that Gillum would have been Nelson's political savior.

I wonder if geography matters. Given this, South Florida>Central Florida>North Florida for Democrats winning statewide.

[Sestak]

Are the other batches coming tonight or later?

[Florida Man for Crime]

https://twitter.com/troykinsey/status/1060688002442293249?s=21

Dang, that's a huge discrepancy between Gillum and Nelson.  A couple months ago, we thought that Gillum would have been Nelson's political savior.

Even if Gillum loses and Nelson wins, Gillum increasing African American turnout could well have pushed Nelson over the finish line.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/troykinsey/status/1060688002442293249?s=21

Dang, that's a huge discrepancy between Gillum and Nelson.  A couple months ago, we thought that Gillum would have been Nelson's political savior.

Even if Gillum loses and Nelson wins, Gillum increasing African American turnout could well have pushed Nelson over the finish line.

yeah its clear that they had a combo which should have worked and it did in areas like Duval which is just weird to think of.

[Thatkat04]

I would very much like Bill Nelson to survive. But I can live with him gone if Sinema makes it.

A R+2 senate was not the best result but it certainly wasnt the worst either.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Sinema apparently still up after a dump from Pinal County (heavily R)

916,380 Sinema to 914,369 McSally

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1060689890868785152

[Oryxslayer]

Here is a thought, AZ State Senate and AZ state house last night were both two seats short of Dem takeovers. Where does that stand?

Simmilarly most other AZ statewide races are tightening, the SOS and Edu superintendent are ones I have seen on twitter.

[Thatkat04]

Although, if you had asked me which of the 4 democrat senators lost, I'd have said Tester instead of Nelson.

[Aurelio21]

Just relax. If Mrs Sinema wins this, Nelson and Espy, too, it will be anybodies guess what's happening next. Maybe Donald has no love for McConnell anymore, and then tries to fire Mike Pence?

Espy isn't winning, lol.

About Florida: Mr Rubio is whining about some ballots which were "found". He does not give any figures, only alludes that this happened before on a "smaller scale of only 9000 votes".
  
Of course Mr Espy will lose with a probability of 99.5 %. Yet there some Republicans which critizied the MS Governor for nominating her.
;-) After Roy Moore, I can easily imagine that the GOP nominated another "trojan horse". ;-)  Just making fun of "high-quality" GOP candidates.

[Gass3268]

Here is a thought, AZ State Senate and AZ state house last night were both two seats short of Dem takeovers. Where does that stand?

Where there any close seats?

[ajc0918]

Here is a thought, AZ State Senate and AZ state house last night were both two seats short of Dem takeovers. Where does that stand?

Oh wow... I didn’t know that

[lfromnj]

Although, if you had asked me which of the 4 democrat senators lost, I'd have said Tester instead of Nelson.

Yeah I was really shocked about Nelson losing and my fundamentals were way off there. I just didn't believe an incumbent in a swing state would lose this year.

[MillennialModerate]

So assuming Sinema holds on, the Senate will end up R+1 or R+2 depending on Florida (which I refuse to make any predictions on at this point).  I expect that most Democrats would have taken that along with D+~35 in the House if it was offered to them a week ago!

I’m getting a what could have been feeling. Florida is going to sting for a while.

And the realization that literally nothing Trump does is going to change the mind of the rural cult following is depressing and honestly makes me think he can win in 2020 and that’s sobering enough to overshadow the good things from this midterm