Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 204025 times)
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1750 on: November 06, 2018, 11:51:26 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 06, 2018, 11:44:24 PM
Yeah, Ohio is definitely going to be the toughest nut to crack of the Trump states.


Dems may have a better shot at winning TX in 2020 than Ohio. Which is not to say that Dems are likely to win TX, just that it may be a better shot.
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Storr
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« Reply #1751 on: November 06, 2018, 11:52:56 PM »
Quote from: INCUMBENT Cruz Will Win 👁 on November 06, 2018, 11:51:26 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 06, 2018, 11:44:24 PM
Yeah, Ohio is definitely going to be the toughest nut to crack of the Trump states.


Dems may have a better shot at winning TX in 2020 than Ohio. Which is not to say that Dems are likely to win TX, just that it may be a better shot.

I doubt anyone was thinking this in 2012, when you'd have been laughed out of the room if you had said so.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1752 on: November 06, 2018, 11:52:57 PM »
Welp (99% reporting)
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #1753 on: November 06, 2018, 11:53:04 PM »
Quote from: Storebought on November 06, 2018, 11:49:40 PM
The new chairs of the House committees must under no circumstances be go-along-to-get-along elderly minority hacks.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #1754 on: November 06, 2018, 11:53:50 PM »
MI-06 is even still within reach for the Democrats. Could be a real coup.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #1755 on: November 06, 2018, 11:54:21 PM »
Quote from: Michael Bloomberg on November 06, 2018, 11:50:29 PM
Moral of the story: the Democratic base is the metropolitan elite.
Ah yes. Minorities, young people, and immigrants.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #1756 on: November 06, 2018, 11:54:24 PM »
72% in and tied in SC-01
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #1757 on: November 06, 2018, 11:54:25 PM »

538 doesn't have county or precinct results, so it is basically meaningless. Some precincts are heavily Dem in TX-31, others strongly R. It all depends on what has reported in the various different counts.

Killeen/Cedar Park/Round Rock = good for Hegar

Everything else (except a few minority precincts in Temple) = good for Carter
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Storr
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« Reply #1758 on: November 06, 2018, 11:54:27 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Rep. Illiniwek on November 06, 2018, 11:53:50 PM
MI-06 is even still within reach for the Democrats. Could be a real coup.

MI-07 as well, strangely enough.
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The Free North
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« Reply #1759 on: November 06, 2018, 11:54:36 PM »
The lack of vote counting in AZ is incredibly annoying.
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Doimper
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« Reply #1760 on: November 06, 2018, 11:54:58 PM »
Hearing talk about Steve King losing, but CNN has him up 8? What?
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
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« Reply #1761 on: November 06, 2018, 11:55:35 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on November 06, 2018, 11:54:58 PM
Hearing talk about Steve King losing, but CNN has him up 8? What?
Yeah, I don't get it either. The NYT tracker has him ahead now after trailing all night.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #1762 on: November 06, 2018, 11:56:05 PM »
Senator-elect Scott is speaking to supporters.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1763 on: November 06, 2018, 11:56:11 PM »
Has Carolyn Bourdeaux won? Wow.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1764 on: November 06, 2018, 11:56:31 PM »
NYT gives an estimate of  230 D 205 R.   
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The Free North
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« Reply #1765 on: November 06, 2018, 11:57:11 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on November 06, 2018, 11:56:31 PM
NYT gives an estimate of  230 D 205 R.   

Par for the course really.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #1766 on: November 06, 2018, 11:57:12 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2018, 12:00:47 AM by Tintrlvr »
Quote from: J. J. on November 06, 2018, 11:49:51 PM
What is the box score on the governors?   How many were up and what flipped?


Ds have gained 4 so far (Michigan, Illinois, Kansas and New Mexico). Iowa and Wisconsin are nailbiters but Dems currently lead. I'd say the Ds are favored in Wisconsin while Rs are favored to regain the lead in Iowa based on what is out. Maine looks virtually certain to go D but has not been called yet. No results have been reported in Nevada yet. So anything from D+4, likely +5 to D+8.

Edit: Forgot about Georgia. Sizeable R lead with a lot counted. Some of the most Democratic parts of the state, including I think the entire city of Atlanta, have not reported yet, but it seems to me almost certainly not enough to make a difference in the winner even if the result tightens significantly.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1767 on: November 06, 2018, 11:57:29 PM »
Steve King won. RIP Politician for the millionth time tonight. Hopefully he has as many lives as a cat...
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1768 on: November 06, 2018, 11:57:34 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 06, 2018, 11:51:22 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 06, 2018, 11:37:19 PM
Quote from: riceowl on November 06, 2018, 11:36:26 PM
Hey guys Atlas didn't crash! Thanks Dave!!!

And Virginia, for crafting the changes to help keep it up.

If Virginia in charge of the IT side of Atlas?

I made a thank you thread to Virginia (and Dave Leip). Post about it there to avoid cluttering up this thread.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=306068.0
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1769 on: November 06, 2018, 11:57:42 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 06, 2018, 11:51:22 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 06, 2018, 11:37:19 PM
Quote from: riceowl on November 06, 2018, 11:36:26 PM
Hey guys Atlas didn't crash! Thanks Dave!!!

And Virginia, for crafting the changes to help keep it up.

If Virginia in charge of the IT side of Atlas?

She takes initiatives.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1770 on: November 06, 2018, 11:58:07 PM »
Quote from: hofoid on November 06, 2018, 11:55:35 PM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on November 06, 2018, 11:54:58 PM
Hearing talk about Steve King losing, but CNN has him up 8? What?
Yeah, I don't get it either. The NYT tracker has him ahead now after trailing all night.

NYT has him up by 40 votes with 69% in.
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The Free North
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« Reply #1771 on: November 06, 2018, 11:58:11 PM »
CNN says McCaskill is out.
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Hammy
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« Reply #1772 on: November 06, 2018, 11:58:15 PM »
MO finally called. Is anyone else thinking Arizona is gone too?
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Storr
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« Reply #1773 on: November 06, 2018, 11:58:20 PM »

CNN has her up 52.1-47.9 with 97% in. I'm amazed as well.
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Wolfey123
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« Reply #1774 on: November 06, 2018, 11:58:34 PM »
All i can say is tonight both parties have a reason to celebrate
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