Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Brittain33]

CAN SOMEONE EXPLAIN UT-02!?

That district actually has the most Dem parts of SLC, not UT-4. I'm guessing they get drowned out shortly.

[indietraveler]

Tonight looking like a draw so far? Dems maybe over performing in the house, while the GOP over performs in the senate?

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Nate Cohn saying Dems will win OK-5?!?!?!?!

It is close. Sun belt suburbs really coming through for Dems. OC in California should be a wipeout if it follows the trend of TX.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Other than KS-Gov and maybe FL-Sen these results aren't that surprising if you're willing to abandon your priors that populist Democrats would win back rural voters.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Axne is up by 26 points right now in IA-03.

[Roronoa D. Law]

What's going on in SC-01.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Anyone who was predicting anything less than a blue wave in the House has been humiliated, period.

[emailking]

The Democrats shouldn't consider winning the House as a consolation prize: that means the GOP can't bribe their donors with another budget-busting tax cut for the remainder of Trump's term. That has to mean something, since it's literally half of his "legacy".

No Obamacare repeal either and Trump will be stupid enough to campaign for it.

I'm glad they won't be able to ram through whatever they want, but what I'm worried about with the Senate is the Supreme Court. Even if none of the liberal judges die or have career ending health issues, with these losses it will be even harder for Dems to regain the Senate in 2020 for a possible Dem President to appoint their replacements.

[Crumpets]

WHAT KIND OF ELECTION IS THIS?

[Skye]

https://twitter.com/AdamSextonWMUR/status/1060004611640225793

RIP IndyRep

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Tonight basically comes down to #Polarization.

Rural Areas vs. Urban & Suburban Areas.

We’re certainly seeing some interesting things tonight, but that is way too simplified.  If that were the case, Dems would be winning 70% of the vote, simple math...

The Suburban areas are still swing areas, make no mistake, but they're swinging Democratic 55-45 give or take.

[Horsemask]

Tough luck for Beto. Great race he ran.

[MasterJedi]

Other than KS-Gov and maybe FL-Sen these results aren't that surprising if you're willing to abandon your priors that populist Democrats would win back rural voters.

Rural areas won’t even think of coming back until Republicans throw them into another recession when the rural areas still haven’t recovered from the last one...

[Crumpets]

Democrats just took the lead in the national popular vote.

[The Free North]

https://twitter.com/asymmetricinfo/status/1060006862375006208

Thank God.

Always good to see a soulless media darling lose. Delicious twitter tears incoming.

LOL?.....

Soulless. You’re talking about Cruz, right? Not his opponent...

Oh Cruz is even worse, but I love seeing the moral majority go down in flames too.

[Sadader]

I always thought the Gubernatorial races were way more important than anything else, so meh.

Anyway, yeah, this is undoubtedly a (house) blue wave (despite overwhelming headwinds in the Senate)

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Queen Kathleen is up in MT-AL, although barely.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rauner still leads Pritzker

[RINO Tom]

Tonight basically comes down to #Polarization.

Rural Areas vs. Urban & Suburban Areas.

We’re certainly seeing some interesting things tonight, but that is way too simplified.  If that were the case, Dems would be winning 70% of the vote, simple math...

The Suburban areas are still swing areas, make no mistake, but they're swinging Democratic 55-45 give or take.

For sure, quite troubling.

[Illiniwek]

Rauner still leads Pritzker

Where are you looking?

[MT Treasurer]

WV-SEN is a heartbreaker.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was looking at wrong site

[Comrade Funk]

At one point this was looking like complete disaster, so I'll take the moderate House wave.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Other than KS-Gov and maybe FL-Sen these results aren't that surprising if you're willing to abandon your priors that populist Democrats would win back rural voters.

Rural areas won’t even think of coming back until Republicans throw them into another recession when the rural areas still haven’t recovered from the last one...

IDK man. Definitely gone as long as Trump is in office. But I really think the GOP has become too much the party of Trump in the same way the Democrats became the party of Obama, they just have a better geographic spread than Democrats do. So I think once Trump is out of office some of those areas will be more competitive (although tonight makes me less certain that he'll be out of office in 2020).

[Dr. Arch]

Heitkamp, noooooo