Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Nyvin]

The results aren’t bad yet for either party really...nothing to panic over

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

I think it's obvious this isn't a blue wave.

Unless there is a REAL realignment in urban areas.

But, we'll still win the house, - and I think that's a good thing.

Also, perhaps controversially, screw old people. ( :

[MillennialModerate]

The precients reporting from Florida is misleading because of early vote.

Florida is gone.

End of sentence.

[Izzyeviel]

Where are you guys getting results that are far ahead of the NYT results?

Decision Desk HQ https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/general/kentucky/house_06

you can sign in with your facebook

[J. J.]

FL is 94% in and both R's are ahead by 1 point or more. 

Some R House seats in the Carolinas look like they will flip. 

[Illiniwek]

D's back to 64% for the House in 538's model.

Nate adjusted the model to react a little slower and wait for projections rather than considering early results.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Are there any House seats that the GOP may be able to flip?

[Hammy]

D's back to 64% for the House in 538's model.

Why's it varying so wildly?

[Crumpets]

WTF is the narrative going to be if Democrats lose MO, ND, and IN, but pick up TX?

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

If Mucarsel-Powell keeps her Miami-Dade margin, she has FL-26 it appears. She's slightly ahead with ~80% reporting (according to NYT), most remaining votes are from Miami-Dade, which she is narrowly winning.

[RI]

Are there any House seats that the GOP may be able to flip?

Maybe a couple in MN, one on Long Island.

[Panda Express]

WTF is the narrative going to be if Democrats lose MO, ND, and IN, but pick up TX?

GOP holds on in states where Trump won by 20+ points?

[The Free North]

WTF is the narrative going to be if Democrats lose MO, ND, and IN, but pick up TX?

Cruz is a terrible candidate and no one likes him.

[Storebought]

D's back to 64% for the House in 538's model.

The freakout of the past 20 minutes has been completely unjustified. Dems are still comfortably on pace to win the house.

We're lamenting the fact of having to see McConnell declare on TV that this election has given him and Trump a mandate to stack the judiciary with Federalist Society apparatchiks.

[Green Line]

95% of vote in for Florida and Scotts raw vote margin keeps going up, up, up.  Up to 80,000 now..  I think it may be over.

[SunSt0rm]

I still think Cruz will win it when rural Texas come in

[The Ex-Factor]

I think it's obvious this isn't a blue wave.

Unless there is a REAL realignment in urban areas.

But, we'll still win the house, - and I think that's a good thing.

Also, perhaps controversially, screw old people. ( :

I think the narrative so far is that the gap between urban and rural America continues to widen even further

[RI]

Cruz will still win, so you don't need a narrative.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Barr wins KY-6, according to PBS.

[Panda Express]

Man that erosion in the Dallas suburbs is brutal.

[Yank2133]

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[Skye]

https://twitter.com/JTHVerhovek/status/1059984580235743232

[The Free North]

Man that erosion in the Dallas suburbs is brutal.

I was in Dallas a month ago and every other house had a Beto sign on the front lawn

/anecdote

[Hammy]

Looks like Trafalgar is the new gold standard in polling.

[Tender Branson]

This is so depressing that I go back to sleep again ...