Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[YE]

Where's Mizzoulan right now? Comstock is getting blanched like he predicted.

[houseonaboat]

McGrath up 8.7 with 43% in, and Barr's not even touching 46%.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I don't get what's going on in KY-6.  Washington Post has McGrath up 6% with 41% reporting, but 538 has Barr as a 92% favorite.

NYT is up on McGrath too, but I can't get the precincts to load. Perhaps that indicates something?

[Horus]

Ohio exits look stellar for Sherrod.

[Tender Branson]

The early GA exit poll numbers for Abrams among white women are disgusting ...

In what context?

The #s are even lower for her than among white men ...

[MillennialModerate]

Manchin losing by 3 according to CNN exit poll

Uh oh..... whose the person from Texas that  swore up and down Manchin was done

[SCNCmod]

I've nervous about Florida... Republican always makeup ground as the night goes on.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

You can call it for Brown.

[libertpaulian]

How much of Lexington and Frankfort have reported?  That's what's key.  If there's still a lot of rural vote out left with 40% in, then that's not a good night for McGrath.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Manchin down in WV exit poll OMG could Bagel have been right?

[Storr]

Manchin losing by 3 according to CNN exit poll

Uh oh..... whose the person from Texas that  swore up and down Manchin was done

cue Bagel.

[The Free North]

Manchin losing by 3 according to CNN exit poll

Wow...

Thats impressive. WV figured to be tough to call, but wow....

[Pyro]

Braun's lead halved. 54-42.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Manchin losing by 3 according to CNN exit poll

Uh oh..... whose the person from Texas that  swore up and down Manchin was done

Take early exit polls with a massive truck ton of salt.

[Tender Branson]

NYT still has the paywall ?

[Crumpets]

McCreedy up in initial vote.

[Woody]

Manchin..... after Donnelly you're next.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Looks like potentially a really bad night for Dems in the Senate if this is right. 46.6% Manchin in exit, 49.4% Morrissey

Racist rural WV hicks strike again?

[GeorgiaModerate]

538's real-time House odds just jumped to 91.6% for the Democrats.

[The Free North]

Florida 26 is 51-49 in early vote

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

538's KY-06 estimate just flipped from 91-9 Republican to 91-9 Dem.  So I don't think you can trust that at all.

[KingSweden]

538's KY-06 estimate just flipped from 91-9 Republican to 91-9 Dem.  So I don't think you can trust that at all.

I think it’s too sensitive

[henster]

Hopefully Tester and McCaskill hold on.

[J. J.]

Braun is losing the Lake by 34 points.  How does fit with previous years?

[Vespucci]

538's KY-06 estimate just flipped from 91-9 Republican to 91-9 Dem.  So I don't think you can trust that at all.

I think it’s too sensitive

They also don't use county-based data.