Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[SCNCmod]

Braun up 4 in exit poll.

If you look by party ID in exit polls... Braun has 48.4... Donnelly has 46.0  ... hopefully exit polls are off 3%

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Didn’t Donnelly lose Allen to Mourdock?

Yes.

[Storr]

Florida is already reporting at 8% and they just closed the polls, while Indiana is still stuck at 3%.

[J. J.]

Braun is behind by 10 points in Ft. Wayne.  It seems like he is out performing, but I'll let the IN people determine that. 

[OSR stands with Israel]

538 now gives Braun a 70% chance of winning.

Where did you find that,


I just see 538 give their pre election forcasts

[Yank2133]

FL early numbers look pretty good for Gillum and Nelson.

[MillennialModerate]

MillennialModerate Projection: Indiana for Braun

*by projection, I actually just mean stating the obvious.

Meanwhile, Florida looks to be close. Tilt D...

[McGovernForPrez]

Braun is behind by 10 points in Ft. Wayne.  It seems like he is out performing, but I'll let the IN people determine that. 

Being behind 10 points in Allen isn't outperforming.

[JA]

NYT seems to be quite slow tonight in terms of keeping up with the results. Is there a better news site for live, quicker results?

[Skye]

Yo, those Pinellas numbers don't look good for the GOP...

[J. J.]

538 now gives Braun a 70% chance of winning.

Where did you find that,


I just see 538 give their pre election forcasts

This.

[Green Line]

Allen is a pretty large county with quite a few Democratic leaning areas in the center.  Need to see more vote come in.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

538 now gives Braun a 70% chance of winning.

Where did you find that,


I just see 538 give their pre election forcasts

Their live results are here.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/

[Pericles]

538 now gives Braun a 70% chance of winning.

Where did you find that,


I just see 538 give their pre election forcasts

They have a live forecast with their liveblog(https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/?ex_cid=extra_banner)

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

How is anyone projecting IN when we have zero results from the only two Dem CDs in the state?

[Tender Branson]

Good Night (1:20 am) !

IN doesn‘t look good right now, but let‘s wait ...

[Crumpets]

Woah. Big jump for McGrath.

538 now gives Braun a 70% chance of winning.

Where did you find that,


I just see 538 give their pre election forcasts

This.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/ The boxes on the right have their current numbers for every race.

[Aurelio21]

KY6: Nicholas County(100%): Trump +41 / Barr (GOP): +27 => -14 swing , TurnOut: -8%
Robertson County(100%):   Trump +53 / Barr(GOP) : +28 => -25 swing, TurnOut: -20%
In both cases, GOP did not turn out their previous numbers / there are al lot of Trump / McGrath voters

[SCNCmod]

Exit polls in GA... have Abrams around 48.41 to Kemp 49.42 (it that were to hold they are heading for a run-off).  But exit polls that are 1 pt apart really just means they are virtually tied.

[Roronoa D. Law]

What's going on in Duval

[wbrocks67]

About to move to CNN online. NYT's site is a disaster and incredibly behind.

[Doimper]

Props to God-Emperor Gillum, imo

[LAKISYLVANIA]

538 now gives Braun a 70% chance of winning.

Where did you find that,


I just see 538 give their pre election forcasts

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/

to the right

[ExSky]

Governor Gillum and Senator Nelson it is.

[Crumpets]

KY-6 is looking great right now.