Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9
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  Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9
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Author Topic: Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9  (Read 4951 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: November 05, 2018, 05:30:12 PM »


Thread....

Roger Wicker (R) 48
David Baria (D) 40
Danny Bedwell (L) 5
Shawn O'Hara (Reform) 3

Mike Espy 40
Chris McDaniel 28
Cindy Hyde-Smith 27
Tobey Bernard Bartee 1

Debbie Stabenow (D) 49
John James (R) 47
George E. Huffman III 1
Marcia Squier (G) 1
John Howard Wilhelm 1

Amy Klobuchar (D) 55
Jim Newberger (R) 40
Dennis Schuller 3
Paula M Overby (G) 2

Tina Smith (D) 51
Karin Housley (R) 42
Sarah Wellington 3
Jerry Trooien 2
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2018, 05:30:53 PM »

Yes, they have Stabenow up by only 2 while McDaniel is coming in 2nd place and advancing to the runoff lol
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YE
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2018, 05:35:42 PM »

Guys they use math to figure out what the numbers are.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2018, 05:37:37 PM »

Someone will probably eat up the Michigan poll, lol. This pollster might just be worse than SurveyMonkey or Reuters.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2018, 05:38:00 PM »

I'd be willing to trade MS for MI.
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Skunk
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2018, 05:39:25 PM »

At this point they're just pulling numbers with a lottery ball machine.



2, 12, 8, 15, and 9! Those are tonight's lucky numbers! Now quick, get the darts to decide who gets what!
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scutosaurus
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2018, 05:43:50 PM »

Change Research is so bizarre.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2018, 05:44:04 PM »

Unpossible
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2018, 05:47:53 PM »

They are giving weird numbers in both directions.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2018, 05:49:19 PM »


Roger Wicker (R) 48
David Baria (D) 40
Danny Bedwell (L) 5
Shawn O'Hara (Reform) 3

Mike Espy 40
Chris McDaniel 28
Cindy Hyde-Smith 27
Tobey Bernard Bartee 1


Big if true
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Politician
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2018, 05:51:39 PM »

James will win because muh 2016, and Democrats will have to make up for it by Espy winning the runoff against McDaniel. Smiley
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2018, 05:53:02 PM »

That MS-special result would huge, but lol Change Research. They've been way wackier than usual in the last few days.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2018, 05:57:53 PM »

Can Change Research go away?
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Pollster
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2018, 05:58:39 PM »

Their methodology (recruiting respondents using online ads primarily on facebook) makes them prone to attract hyperpartisans (resulting in sample-tainting), which explains the wild and inconsistent swings between plausibility and implausibility in their numbers.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2018, 06:03:44 PM »

I am absolutely convinced Change Research is a fake pollster. The sheer number of polls they're putting out is immediately suspicious, since these each would be quite expensive to conduct were they real and they're putting out fifteen or more a week without a client sponsoring them. They've also missed races by huge margins abnormally often. It's statistically unlikely for them to have had huge misses this often were they a real polling outfit.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2018, 06:04:57 PM »

Great news for Espy, who I knew he can win.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2018, 06:09:02 PM »

I am absolutely convinced Change Research is a fake pollster. The sheer number of polls they're putting out is immediately suspicious, since these each would be quite expensive to conduct were they real and they're putting out fifteen or more a week without a client sponsoring them. They've also missed races by huge margins abnormally often. It's statistically unlikely for them to have had huge misses this often were they a real polling outfit.

Isn't Nate Silver doing background checks for every new polling company before he starts using their results?
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adrac
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2018, 06:14:34 PM »

I want the MS numbers to be true, but I'm really starting to think these numbers aren't real.
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Boobs
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2018, 06:31:30 PM »

I think this is the first and only poll to have McDaniel ahead of Hyde-Smith.
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adrac
adracman42
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2018, 06:34:59 PM »


Not like this Nate...
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2018, 06:46:25 PM »

Change Research needs to be blacklisted. Definitely some garbage polling.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2018, 06:53:59 PM »

Change Research needs to be blacklisted. Definitely some garbage polling.
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Skye
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2018, 07:10:31 PM »

I guess tomorrow is a good day to find out how crazy are these guys.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2018, 07:10:44 PM »

To quote OMC: "how bizarre."
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2018, 07:12:23 PM »

Stabenow +2, Cruz +0, and the MS results are all believable. Their MT numbers are junk, though.
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