MO NBC/Marist: McCaskill +3

[Xing]

Encouraging, but this race could still go either way.

[AudmanOut]

[/quote]

Bring it home Claire!

[KingSweden]

Clearly Marist is fabricating Polls towards Democrats to make them NBC Friendly for Lester Holt, snarky Savannah Guthrie, prolly Chuck Todd and their cohorts.

MARIST IS CRAP. HAWLEY WILL WIN THIS.

Reeeeeeeeeeeee

[RI]

This is actually a somewhat old poll. Only through 11/1

[America Needs R'hllor]

Donald Trump: *farts on a CNN logo*
Republican hacks: Lol take this Libtard snowflakes get triggered !

Poll: *McCaskill +3*
Republican hacks:

MARIST IS CRAP. HAWLEY WILL WIN THIS.

Clearly Marist is fabricating Polls towards Democrats to make them NBC Friendly for Lester Holt, snarky Savannah Guthrie, prolly Chuck Todd and their cohorts.

[Badger]

This is actually a somewhat old poll. Only through 11/1

Tuesday through Thursday is "somewhat old"?

[Chief Justice Keef]

MARIST IS CRAP. HAWLEY WILL WIN THIS.

Well excuse you for spewing nonsense about my alma mater. Harrumph!

[Gass3268]

This is actually a somewhat old poll. Only through 11/1

Probably didn't want to have it interfere with the NBC/Wall Street National Poll and have it slip through the cracks.

[RINO Tom]

I gotta hand it to her, she is a very impressive politician if she pulls this off.  Pretty much what we thought Landrieu was for a while, LOL.

[RI]

This is actually a somewhat old poll. Only through 11/1

Tuesday through Thursday is "somewhat old"?

Right before the election when there are polls from 11/3 and 11/4 coming out, then yes.

[Badger]

That's very nice. If we can hold this, I think we're one upset away from getting the Senate.

Or murkowski caucusing with the Democrats. No one has ever given me a good reason as to why she would be reluctant to do that considering a, she is dead woman walking in any future Republican primary, again, B, it seems she would be likely to Hold Steady or gain votes running as an independent but defacto Democratic candidate then trying to weave her way to winning a three-way race every 6 years, and C, considering even if Democrats fall short this year, they're highly likely to pick up the senate in 2020, and that she can remain chairperson for 4 years instead of 2 bare minimum.

Frankly, at this point I think this is a more likely scenario for the Democrats to take the Senate if MacAskill hangs on, or at least more likely than an upset either in North Dakota or Texas.

[Gass3268]

That's very nice. If we can hold this, I think we're one upset away from getting the Senate.

Or murkowski caucusing with the Democrats. No one has ever given me a good reason as to why she would be reluctant to do that considering a, she is dead woman walking in any future Republican primary, again, B, it seems she would be likely to Hold Steady or gain votes running as an independent but defacto Democratic candidate then trying to weave her way to winning a three-way race every 6 years, and C, considering even if Democrats fall short this year, they're highly likely to pick up the senate in 2020, and that she can remain chairperson for 4 years instead of 2 bare minimum.

Frankly, at this point I think this is a more likely scenario for the Democrats to take the Senate if MacAskill hangs on, or at least more likely than an upset either in North Dakota or Texas.

Schumer would let her chair any committee she wanted.

[junior chįmp]

That's very nice. If we can hold this, I think we're one upset away from getting the Senate.

Or murkowski caucusing with the Democrats. No one has ever given me a good reason as to why she would be reluctant to do that considering a, she is dead woman walking in any future Republican primary, again, B, it seems she would be likely to Hold Steady or gain votes running as an independent but defacto Democratic candidate then trying to weave her way to winning a three-way race every 6 years, and C, considering even if Democrats fall short this year, they're highly likely to pick up the senate in 2020, and that she can remain chairperson for 4 years instead of 2 bare minimum.

Frankly, at this point I think this is a more likely scenario for the Democrats to take the Senate if MacAskill hangs on, or at least more likely than an upset either in North Dakota or Texas.

Schumer would let her chair any committee she wanted.

Hell...if Murkowski caucases with the Dems....she can be majority leader.

[MT Treasurer]

Embarrassing, but I still think this is winnable for Republicans. Maybe I’m wrong, though.

[IceSpear]

Beautiful poll! Air Claire is still in this!

[ElectionsGuy]

If Republicans don't win this race it could detrimental to their chances of holding the Senate in 2020 (with only one seat the Democrats have to gain if its 50/50).

[Badger]

That's very nice. If we can hold this, I think we're one upset away from getting the Senate.

Or murkowski caucusing with the Democrats. No one has ever given me a good reason as to why she would be reluctant to do that considering a, she is dead woman walking in any future Republican primary, again, B, it seems she would be likely to Hold Steady or gain votes running as an independent but defacto Democratic candidate then trying to weave her way to winning a three-way race every 6 years, and C, considering even if Democrats fall short this year, they're highly likely to pick up the senate in 2020, and that she can remain chairperson for 4 years instead of 2 bare minimum.

Frankly, at this point I think this is a more likely scenario for the Democrats to take the Senate if MacAskill hangs on, or at least more likely than an upset either in North Dakota or Texas.

Schumer would let her chair any committee she wanted.

She already has the Energy and Natural Resources Chair, and McConnell isn't going to take that from her.

True, but if she doesn't flip in 2019, Majority Leader Schumer will take it from her in 2021. Furthermore, can anyone really say having a constantly run as an independent who caucuses with the Republicans against whatever conservative wins the primary against her Plus a Democrat who may or may not be a serious contender is the best route for Hurst to stay in the Senate rather than pulling an Angus King? If she doesn't get reelected, Promises of committee chairman ships are all moot.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I'm still considering this a tossup, just to temper my expectations. But it is reassuring enough to see that Hawley isn't running away with it like he probably should be. McCaskill really is something else. If she wins-game over, the Democrats are probably looking at a tied Senate which indicates a damn good night for them, and us!

[MT Treasurer]

Both parties would do really well to tamp down their expectations in MO, IN and AZ. A lot of people are gonna end up with egg on their faces one way or another

Agreed, and I’d also add WV and MT to the list.

[CookieDamage]

Let's hope only Heitkamp loses. A tied senate is better for us than a Republican senate. Still technically a loss due to M*ke P*nce but it makes 2020 easier.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

If anything, Trump + 7 approval in Missouri is a bit too high.

[ElectionsGuy]

If anything, Trump + 7 approval in Missouri is a bit too high.

A state that voted 21 points more Republican than the nation has a Republican president at +7 when  he's at -14 nationally. It's actually spot on.

[libertpaulian]

Honestly, if the Dems are gaining more than 30 seats in the House, I don't see how they're losing any Senate seats beyond North Dakota.  Elections don't exist in a vacuum, and races all the way down the ballot are usually reflective of the national mood.

[CookieDamage]

Welp

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, so much for these high-quality Marist polls. Looks like Republican polls/internals were more accurate in this race.

Also, can we stop pretending that Remington is a pollster that’s biased in favor of Republicans or just cooks up R-friendly numbers? They actually underestimated Trump and Greitens in 2016 and now Hawley this year.