....you do realize that barely anyone in AZ votes on E-Day. In 2016, 90% of ballot were cast early. I suspect that number will be lower this year, considering its a midterm.
If this is true, that would be another indicator of a Sinema victory tomorrow.
The Problem I have is that most of the Polls having Sinema ahead in the Early Vote. I just don't by that at all. I realize that Republicans can also vote for Sinema. That being said, the GOP has a 118K Raw Ballot Advantage. EVEN if let's say Sinema wins Democrats 95-5 and McSally wins Republicans 90-10 and takes Independents 58-31 like Marist says Sinema would still lose the Election by 10,000-15,000 Votes. AND Sinema will not win Indies 2 to 1 I can tell you that.
Ah, I see, your mistake is the D and R numbers for crossover. The Ds are predicted to get 90-10 for D votes(there are some ancestral D areas in AZ), the Rs, however, are predicted to get 80-20 of the R vote. The Indie numbers are close to what the polls say so far.