Change Research (D) Montana-Senate: Rosendale +3
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Author Topic: Change Research (D) Montana-Senate: Rosendale +3  (Read 5780 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: November 04, 2018, 11:20:53 PM »
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 11:22:26 PM »
Who?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2018, 11:25:39 PM »
This thread is gonna be fun.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2018, 11:26:51 PM »
Um... wow.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2018, 11:27:00 PM »
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2018, 11:27:51 PM »
Looking at those House numbers...all I can say is journalists covering Gianafortes campaign can breath a sign of relief
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2018, 11:29:01 PM »
Legit never heard of these guys
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2018, 11:30:40 PM »

They had Texas tied, and McSally up 8
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2018, 11:33:27 PM »

I sometimes wonder if they pull results out of a hat.

Not saying Tester can't lose, just saying their is no rhyme or pattern with their polling.
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henster
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2018, 11:41:17 PM »
This pollster is exhausting. If they are a Dem pollster why release results like this?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2018, 11:42:04 PM »
They released like a million polls all at once
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2018, 11:42:18 PM »
Quote from: henster on November 04, 2018, 11:41:17 PM
This pollster is exhausting. If they are a Dem pollster why release results like this?

If you want to be legit you release everything you do regardless of what it shows. You make adjustments then after the cycle is over.
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henster
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2018, 11:48:24 PM »
It looks like they did a poll of MT-AL and were pretty spot on.

https://medium.com/@ChngRsrch/republican-greg-gianforte-up-6-in-new-montana-poll-e1088b3a28a7
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Ebsy
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2018, 11:48:53 PM »
Doubtful.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2018, 11:49:05 PM »

Oh so they’re complete garbage
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2018, 11:52:09 PM »

The positives are they can do cheap and fast polls. The negatives are they are 100% online.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2018, 11:54:44 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 04, 2018, 11:52:09 PM

The positives are they can do cheap and fast polls. The negatives are they are 100% online.

Also they basically say that their methods are a trade secret so don't ask!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2018, 11:55:24 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on November 04, 2018, 11:54:44 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 04, 2018, 11:52:09 PM

The positives are they can do cheap and fast polls. The negatives are they are 100% online.

Also they basically say that their methods are a trade secret so don't ask!

Like I said, numbers out of a hat.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2018, 11:57:06 PM »
Well, I’ll just say that it’s much more believable than all the Tester +>8 polls Atlas likes to take at face value. Tester is probably still slightly favored, but underestimate his vulnerability to your heart's content.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2018, 12:12:01 AM »


"we use math to figure out what the numbers likely are"

Presented without comment.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2018, 12:14:42 AM »
Change Research: We Use Math To Figure Out What The Numbers Likely Are
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2018, 12:20:57 AM »
Quote from: Ebsy on November 05, 2018, 12:12:01 AM


"we use math to figure out what the numbers likely are"

Presented without comment.

Well, I wouldn’t be surprised that a pollster with Sutton +6 and Rosendale +3 at the same time was merely just making numbers up.
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henster
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2018, 12:30:28 AM »
They do have clients like David Garcia and the NH Dem Party apparently, I think they were Gillum's pollster in the primary. So they are not just some popup Google Survey pollster for them to get legit clients there has to be someone who has connections running that firm.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2018, 12:31:42 AM »
For their results to end up being accurate across the board every other polling firm has to be wrong across the board.
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Xing
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« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2018, 12:43:44 AM »
Change Research has certainly found some... interesting results recently, but this certainly isn't the worst Montana poll so far, lol.
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