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November 26, 2020, 07:24:40 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  GA-Trafalgar: Kemp +12
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Author Topic: GA-Trafalgar: Kemp +12  (Read 3723 times)
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
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« Reply #25 on: November 04, 2018, 09:39:30 PM »

They had a poll a while back which had Donnelly+12. Clearly that's not gonna happen.

FAKE NEWS!
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Hammy
Concerned Citizen
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« Reply #26 on: November 04, 2018, 09:41:45 PM »

Maybe this is the planned result from Secretary Kemp's office, after the vote tampering.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #27 on: November 04, 2018, 09:55:26 PM »

The crosstabs have an electorate that is 34% Black, 55% White electorate which in reality would mean a loss for a Republican.

Yeah, I don't know how on God's green earth they got +12 from that electorate.

They must have polled Herman Cain twelve times.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #28 on: November 04, 2018, 10:51:18 PM »

But Atlas told me Trafalgar was the Gold Standard because of MUH 2016!

Anyway, this is obviously a junk pro R outlier that should be dismissed. Now Atlas needs to learn how to dismiss junk pro D outliers as well rather than cherrypicking whatever tells them what they want to hear. A big ask, I know.

sees gravis poll that has Stacey Abrams ahead by 9- YAY WERE GOING TO WIN

Trafalgr Kemp + 12- THROW IT IN THE TRASH!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2018, 12:49:44 AM »

Finally, we now got a poll that looks right! Strong Lean R.
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Ses
jk2020
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« Reply #30 on: November 05, 2018, 01:05:36 AM »

As I suspected, the bad pollsters are all dumping over the weekend.
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FL & OH: Not Even Once
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #31 on: November 05, 2018, 02:39:37 AM »

Of course 538 adds this GARBAGE POLL to its database, but doesn't touch the Abrams +4 poll that has impeccable crosstabs and believable support levels. Roll Eyes
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #32 on: November 05, 2018, 12:32:29 PM »

What ... the ... F**k ?

I understand that you could theoretically get a poll result like this if you have a flawed sample, but it should be even clear to them that this is a total joke. So why are they still releasing it to the public ?
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Hammy
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« Reply #33 on: November 05, 2018, 04:33:47 PM »

Of course 538 adds this GARBAGE POLL to its database, but doesn't touch the Abrams +4 poll that has impeccable crosstabs and believable support levels. Roll Eyes

538 (and really all the pundit sites) lost all credibility with me after 2016 and seeing them mentioned on Atlas is the only time they even cross my mind anymore.
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FL & OH: Not Even Once
Adam Griffin
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Greece


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« Reply #34 on: November 11, 2018, 06:49:10 AM »

"The Gold Standard"!
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