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September 30, 2020, 08:44:21 pm
News: First US presidential debate discussion thread link:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=400306.0

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  GA-Trafalgar: Kemp +12
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Author Topic: GA-Trafalgar: Kemp +12  (Read 3489 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: November 04, 2018, 06:59:20 pm »

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Lg-PhEXFxVcl16FfQdn0BHgi5i38r8ZS/view

Kemp (R) - 52
Abrams (D) - 40

LMAO
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 07:00:07 pm »

At least they're not herding...
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2018, 07:00:08 pm »

LMAO. Can't wait for this to be off by at least 10 points.
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DaWN
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2018, 07:00:26 pm »

I definitely regret using this on those polls earlier because this deserves it more, but who says I'm limited to one a day?

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Lourdes
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2018, 07:02:04 pm »

Safe R confirmed
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2018, 07:03:17 pm »

Just making their numbers up at this point.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2018, 07:04:22 pm »

Lol I don't think this is true but it would be hilarious if it was, just to see the reactions.
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Bipartisan Bills or Bust
IndyRep
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2018, 07:11:51 pm »

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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2018, 07:13:32 pm »

The crosstabs have an electorate that is 34% Black, 55% White electorate which in reality would mean a loss for a Republican.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2018, 07:14:54 pm »

The crosstabs have an electorate that is 34% Black, 55% White electorate which in reality would mean a loss for a Republican.

Yeah, I don't know how on God's green earth they got +12 from that electorate.
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Storr
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2018, 07:15:21 pm »

This has Trump approval at 53-44...
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The Trump Virus
GWBFan
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2018, 07:20:04 pm »

Maybe this is the planned result from Secretary Kemp's office, after the vote tampering.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2018, 07:21:03 pm »

The crosstabs have an electorate that is 34% Black, 55% White electorate which in reality would mean a loss for a Republican.

Yeah, I don't know how on God's green earth they got +12 from that electorate.

Obviously Kemp will get 100% of the white vote.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2018, 07:24:18 pm »

The crosstabs have an electorate that is 34% Black, 55% White electorate which in reality would mean a loss for a Republican.

Yeah, I don't know how on God's green earth they got +12 from that electorate.

They have Abrams winning only 18% of white voters (Abrams will almost certainly get over 20%), and only 77% of black voters (I don't need to explain how ridiculous this is)
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2018, 07:28:25 pm »

But they were right about Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2016 (it doesn't matter what their other polls in 2016 were) so that means that they're the gold standard and every poll they churn out is gold. Smiley
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#Joemala2020
RFKFan68
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2018, 07:34:40 pm »

If the electorate was 55/34 white/black that would be a cakewalk for Abrams. This poll is trash.
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Peanut
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2018, 07:39:59 pm »

What in the actual heck is this abherration of a poll
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Georgia Democrat in 2020
mollybecky
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2018, 07:42:34 pm »

Of course, the scumbags on RCP placed this on their joke RCP average immediately.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2018, 07:44:03 pm »

Only 66% of African Americans(!!!!!!!!!!), 51% of Hispanics, and 17.5% of whites are voting for Abrams (excluding leaners). Meanwhile, Kemp is winning 76% of whites before leaners are included.

Kemp is also winning women by 20 pts...into the trash.
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Mondale
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« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2018, 07:45:27 pm »

"Poll commissioned by the Klu Klux Klan of Georgia"
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2018, 07:47:11 pm »

Lol I don't think this is true but it would be hilarious if it was, just to see the reactions.

Yeah he definitely isn't up by 12, but I wouldn't be shocked if he wins outright on ED.
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Joshua
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« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2018, 07:55:57 pm »

Wow, junk poll!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2018, 08:04:39 pm »
« Edited: November 04, 2018, 08:08:54 pm by Senator Rosen »

But Atlas told me Trafalgar was the Gold Standard because of MUH 2016!

Anyway, this is obviously a junk pro R outlier that should be dismissed. Now Atlas needs to learn how to dismiss junk pro D outliers as well rather than cherrypicking whatever tells them what they want to hear. A big ask, I know.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2018, 08:07:34 pm »

What the s***!? I guess Oprah canvassing for Abrams backfired in a big way!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2018, 08:09:22 pm »

Just making their numbers up at this point.

I feel like any amateur could make up better numbers though. Like if they made it Kemp +6 or something at least it would've been semi believable.
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