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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL: Targoz Strategic Marketing: DeSantis +1
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Author Topic: FL: Targoz Strategic Marketing: DeSantis +1  (Read 851 times)
IceSpear
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« on: November 03, 2018, 04:37:41 pm »

New Poll: Florida Governor by Targoz Strategic Marketing on 2018-10-31

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2018, 04:38:26 pm »

But Politician told me that a) Targoz Strategic Marketing is a great and reliable pollster and b) Gillum had this in the bag. Short circuit imminent.
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2018, 04:45:07 pm »

Junk poll
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2018, 05:59:28 pm »

But Politician told me that a) Targoz Strategic Marketing is a great and reliable pollster and b) Gillum had this in the bag. Short circuit imminent.

This is the reality. There can be a wave. But, not a full blown wave
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Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2018, 06:55:30 pm »

Let's just say if Gillum blows it, I will consider it evidence of a Bradley Effect and that in the Age of Trump, it is a real thing as segregation and exclusion have become mainstream positions again.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2018, 06:57:07 pm »

Latinos and Blacks are gonna come out strong. That will be the difference between small wave and big wave. Is the young and ethnic groups
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2018, 09:01:06 pm »

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Hammy
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2018, 10:46:47 pm »

Didn't they also have Tennessee tied? What kind of methodology are they even using?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2018, 10:48:12 pm »

Didn't they also have Tennessee tied? What kind of methodology are they even using?

Perhaps the "throwing darts at a dartboard" methodology.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2018, 09:51:14 am »

Yet another poll showing DeSantis underperforming Scott. If hes doing three points worse than Scott, hes done.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2018, 11:36:46 am »

Let's just say if Gillum blows it, I will consider it evidence of a Bradley Effect and that in the Age of Trump, it is a real thing as segregation and exclusion have become mainstream positions again.

But if segregation and exclusion were mainstream positions, the Bradley Effect by definition wouldn't exist! The whole concept of the Bradley Effect is predicated on people lying about planning to vote for a black candidate because they want to seem socially acceptable while in fact having racist motivations to vote for the black candidate's opponent. But, if there's no social desirability bias because racism is mainstream, the Bradley Effect can't exist.

Of course, it never existed anyway, but oh well.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2018, 11:39:33 am »

Let's just say if Gillum blows it, I will consider it evidence of a Bradley Effect and that in the Age of Trump, it is a real thing as segregation and exclusion have become mainstream positions again.

But if segregation and exclusion were mainstream positions, the Bradley Effect by definition wouldn't exist! The whole concept of the Bradley Effect is predicated on people lying about planning to vote for a black candidate because they want to seem socially acceptable while in fact having racist motivations to vote for the black candidate's opponent. But, if there's no social desirability bias because racism is mainstream, the Bradley Effect can't exist.

Of course, it never existed anyway, but oh well.

Then again, were in kind of a weird time where overt racism is still frowned upon but racism might becoming popular.
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