Trafalgar: Heller +3 (user search)
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  Trafalgar: Heller +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trafalgar: Heller +3  (Read 3905 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« on: November 03, 2018, 07:03:09 PM »

LMAO.

I wasn't prepared to throw eggs at another pollster. Hopefully Xing/IceSpear/MT Treasurer/etc have some.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 08:02:05 PM »

Early turnout means nothing. The media was hyping the early vote in 2016 and GOP dominated on election day.

In the vast majority of states, you would be correct that early voting is best ignored. However, Nevada is a clear exception.

Early voting was how Jon Ralston was able to predict Hillary winning the state in 2016 despite the polls saying otherwise. Early voting was how he was able to predict Harry Reid winning despite literally every single poll in the final two weeks showing Reid losing.
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