NV Gravis: Rosen +2
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  NV Gravis: Rosen +2
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Author Topic: NV Gravis: Rosen +2  (Read 1214 times)
DataGuy
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« on: November 02, 2018, 03:53:03 PM »

Jacky Rosen (D): 47%
Dean Heller (R): 45%

http://orlando-politics.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Nevada-October-27-2018.pdf

Before everyone starts with the Gravis hate, it's worth noting that their final poll nailed Clinton's +2 NV margin in 2016. Although they did overestimate Cortez-Masto.

I would say there's enough consistent data at this point to rate this race Lean D. I've been calling it a tossup for some time now.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 03:54:12 PM »

Im surprised Gravis has gotten one of the most likely results for NV.

But still..

>Gravis
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2018, 04:12:14 PM »

Well, NV is now a Dem pickup on the Atlas map, as it should've been all along. I bet some junk poll will come along and ruin it though. Emerson and Reuters are overdue for another trash poll showing Heller dominating.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2018, 04:14:10 PM »

It is also now in Rosen's favor on 538 for the first time in 2-3 weeks
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 04:15:33 PM »

Sounds about right. Rosen should squeak by.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 04:17:55 PM »

Well, NV is now a Dem pickup on the Atlas map, as it should've been all along. I bet some junk poll will come along and ruin it though. Emerson and Reuters are overdue for another trash poll showing Heller dominating.
You dare question the Titan?
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 04:18:21 PM »

I don't like this poll so I'll call it junk..thankfully it probably is.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 05:29:55 PM »

I don't like this poll so I'll call it junk..thankfully it probably is.

Haha, thanks for confirming that you've just been messing with us all. I agree, Rosen will likely win by more.
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2018, 09:06:35 AM »

Rosen obviously isnít winning by only 2 points on a night when Bredesen and McCaskill are winning as well, so either this or the TN/MO polls are wrong.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2018, 11:10:53 AM »

Rosen obviously isnít winning by only 2 points on a night when Bredesen and McCaskill are winning as well, so either this or the TN/MO polls are wrong.

Or both could be wrong Tongue, which is what I'm guessing, at least in the case of NV/TN.
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2018, 05:32:30 PM »

I don't like this poll so I'll call it junk..thankfully it probably is.

Haha, thanks for confirming that you've just been messing with us all. I agree, Rosen will likely win by more.
j
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