AZ-VoxPopuli (R): Sinema 4+
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:29:14 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  AZ-VoxPopuli (R): Sinema 4+
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: AZ-VoxPopuli (R): Sinema 4+  (Read 1488 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,201
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2018, 11:09:13 AM »

Sinema: 52
McSally: 48
https://poppolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/AZ-Statewide-Wave-2-Toplines-10.31.18.pdf
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 11:10:30 AM »

Yah yeet
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2018, 11:13:10 AM »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2018, 11:17:29 AM »

RIP 2016
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 11:19:10 AM »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.

Also it's good to see here, other than Florida, we aren't seeing any herding.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 12:25:33 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2018, 12:29:37 PM by 2016 »

You can toss that Poll.

# 1 They say 52 Male/48 Female. Not happing. The Likely Electorate will be quite the Opposite, 52 or 51 Female/49 or 48 Male (The EV has already about 51 Female)

# 2 Party ID getting even more ridiculous 34 R / 34 D / 32 I

# 3 16% Hispanics, Give me a break! According to EV Totals from Data Orbital Hispanic Turnout sits at 11%.

Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 12:34:30 PM »

You can toss that Poll.

# 1 They say 52 Male/48 Female. Not happing. The Likely Electorate will be quite the Opposite, 52 or 51 Female/49 or 48 Male (The EV has already about 51 Female)

# 2 Party ID getting even more ridiculous 34 R / 34 D / 32 I

# 3 16% Hispanics, Give me a break! According to EV Totals from Data Orbital Hispanic Turnout sits at 11%.


Actually, you're helping Sinema's case.  If they oversampled men and undersampled women, then Sinema is likely leading by the same percentage if not more.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,711
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 12:36:16 PM »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.

Also it's good to see here, other than Florida, we aren't seeing any herding.

What exactly does herding refer to in polls?
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,268
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2018, 12:37:32 PM »

Vox PopuLOL
Logged
DavidB.
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,612
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2018, 12:38:30 PM »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.

Also it's good to see here, other than Florida, we aren't seeing any herding.

What exactly does herding refer to in polls?
Pollsters changing their weighing method in order to move towards the other pollsters in a certain race and avoid showing a completely different picture than other pollsters so that they don't look bad if they're wrong.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,786
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2018, 12:55:36 PM »

Yes, and the Rasmussen poll showing a McSalley and Ducey landslide isn't correct.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2018, 01:18:47 PM »

You can toss that Poll.

# 1 They say 52 Male/48 Female. Not happing. The Likely Electorate will be quite the Opposite, 52 or 51 Female/49 or 48 Male (The EV has already about 51 Female)

# 2 Party ID getting even more ridiculous 34 R / 34 D / 32 I

# 3 16% Hispanics, Give me a break! According to EV Totals from Data Orbital Hispanic Turnout sits at 11%.


Actually, you're helping Sinema's case.  If they oversampled men and undersampled women, then Sinema is likely leading by the same percentage if not more.


This Poll is incorrect but so are CNN/SSRS & NBC/Marist. The most accurate Poll is the FOX NEWS one I think with both Candidates at 46% each.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 12 queries.