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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  AZ-VoxPopuli (R): Sinema 4+
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Author Topic: AZ-VoxPopuli (R): Sinema 4+  (Read 859 times)
Hindsight is 2020
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« on: November 02, 2018, 11:09:13 am »

Sinema: 52
McSally: 48
https://poppolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/AZ-Statewide-Wave-2-Toplines-10.31.18.pdf
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 11:10:30 am »

Yah yeet
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2018, 11:13:10 am »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.
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President Biden
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2018, 11:17:29 am »

RIP 2016
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 11:19:10 am »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.

Also it's good to see here, other than Florida, we aren't seeing any herding.
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2016
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 12:25:33 pm »
« Edited: November 02, 2018, 12:29:37 pm by 2016 »

You can toss that Poll.

# 1 They say 52 Male/48 Female. Not happing. The Likely Electorate will be quite the Opposite, 52 or 51 Female/49 or 48 Male (The EV has already about 51 Female)

# 2 Party ID getting even more ridiculous 34 R / 34 D / 32 I

# 3 16% Hispanics, Give me a break! According to EV Totals from Data Orbital Hispanic Turnout sits at 11%.

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libertpaulian
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 12:34:30 pm »

You can toss that Poll.

# 1 They say 52 Male/48 Female. Not happing. The Likely Electorate will be quite the Opposite, 52 or 51 Female/49 or 48 Male (The EV has already about 51 Female)

# 2 Party ID getting even more ridiculous 34 R / 34 D / 32 I

# 3 16% Hispanics, Give me a break! According to EV Totals from Data Orbital Hispanic Turnout sits at 11%.


Actually, you're helping Sinema's case.  If they oversampled men and undersampled women, then Sinema is likely leading by the same percentage if not more.
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Hammy
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 12:36:16 pm »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.

Also it's good to see here, other than Florida, we aren't seeing any herding.

What exactly does herding refer to in polls?
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Ses
jk2020
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2018, 12:37:32 pm »

Vox PopuLOL
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DavidB.
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2018, 12:38:30 pm »

This is certainly one of the more eccentric pollsters, I'll say that.

Also it's good to see here, other than Florida, we aren't seeing any herding.

What exactly does herding refer to in polls?
Pollsters changing their weighing method in order to move towards the other pollsters in a certain race and avoid showing a completely different picture than other pollsters so that they don't look bad if they're wrong.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2018, 12:55:36 pm »

Yes, and the Rasmussen poll showing a McSalley and Ducey landslide isn't correct.
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2016
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2018, 01:18:47 pm »

You can toss that Poll.

# 1 They say 52 Male/48 Female. Not happing. The Likely Electorate will be quite the Opposite, 52 or 51 Female/49 or 48 Male (The EV has already about 51 Female)

# 2 Party ID getting even more ridiculous 34 R / 34 D / 32 I

# 3 16% Hispanics, Give me a break! According to EV Totals from Data Orbital Hispanic Turnout sits at 11%.


Actually, you're helping Sinema's case.  If they oversampled men and undersampled women, then Sinema is likely leading by the same percentage if not more.


This Poll is incorrect but so are CNN/SSRS & NBC/Marist. The most accurate Poll is the FOX NEWS one I think with both Candidates at 46% each.
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