Scott RASMUSSEN: McCaskill +2, Scott +3, Braun +3, McSally +7,

[libertpaulian]

LOL when I saw the Nelson-Gillum numbers I just couldn't.

There's no way Donnelly is stuck at 40%.

At least McCaskill is up in something!

[libertpaulian]

People complain about how little polling there is this year, and then when they get a poll they find every which way to discredit it.

The proper response to every poll is to simply put it in the average, even if it doesn't "look right." It's a good thing when pollsters are honest about their numbers instead of twisting them to line up with the groupthink (known as "herding"). Gut feeling punditry is wrong time and again, yet people never learn.

The problem is that such a scenario is all but impossible.  There's no way McCaskill is winning by 2-3% while Donnelly loses by 2-3%.  Missouri is much more conservative than Indiana and is less likely to vote for Dems downballot.

[libertpaulian]

There's no way where McCaskill +2 and Sinema -7

Throw in Braun +3, especially with record turnout in Lake and Marion Counties.

[libertpaulian]

This is a 7-Day Tracking Poll which will end Monday Night I believe.

Personally in general I think people have written off McSally too soon. While I don't think she'll win by 7 I still think she has a chance to win.

We'll know pretty early on Tuesday when AZ Polls close and the vote is tabulated if Sinema had any kind of Early Vote lead as most of the Polls are suggesting contracting the Raw Ballot Advantage Republicans seem to enjoy in the State.

I believe McSally is up 5. Republicans have to stay home for Democrats to win Arizona, and we're not seeing that in the early voting.

...or it's possible the Republicans have cannibalized their vote early.