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November 24, 2020, 03:55:58 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Scott RASMUSSEN: McCaskill +2, Scott +3, Braun +3, McSally +7,
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Author Topic: Scott RASMUSSEN: McCaskill +2, Scott +3, Braun +3, McSally +7,  (Read 3304 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
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« on: November 01, 2018, 06:14:00 PM »

LOL



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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2018, 06:14:48 PM »

LOL what is this garbage?

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libertpaulian
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2018, 06:16:31 PM »

LOL when I saw the Nelson-Gillum numbers I just couldn't.

There's no way Donnelly is stuck at 40%.

At least McCaskill is up in something!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2018, 06:25:08 PM »

What an eclectic mix
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2018, 06:26:28 PM »

What in tarnation?
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2018, 06:27:57 PM »

Garcia no go.
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Strong Candidate
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2018, 06:30:23 PM »

Also have UTDH tied with Wacky Jackey, and Tester +7.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2018, 06:34:34 PM »

Junkapalooza!
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2018, 06:36:06 PM »

McCaskill won't be the only Democrat to win in those 4 races.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2018, 06:38:24 PM »

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2018, 06:39:01 PM »

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pppolitics
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2018, 06:42:52 PM »

Woo!

If McCaskill is +2 in a Rasmussen poll, she must be winning in a landslide.

We should all called her Landslide McCaskill from now on.
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ηєω яσηтιєя
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2018, 06:44:08 PM »

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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2018, 06:45:34 PM »

The AZ numbers for Ducey and McSally are similar to Fox polls. I would ignore AZ Senate. Why didn't they poll NV or OH
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Very Legal & Very Cool
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2018, 06:47:46 PM »

Time for Scott to find a new gig, this polling thing just isn't working out.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2018, 06:48:58 PM »

Jesus....
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2018, 07:10:44 PM »

This seems like a good time for a 100-hour nap.
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darthpi really needs a nap tbh
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2018, 07:13:53 PM »

Not sure I believe any of those, tbh
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2018, 07:23:05 PM »

*Promptly throws the entire poll in the trash*
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2018, 07:30:51 PM »

This is a bigger mess than Suicide Squad.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2018, 08:56:28 PM »

At least we know who the new gold standard is if McCaskill wins at the same time that Nelson, Donnelly, and Sinema lose.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2018, 08:57:19 PM »

At least we know who the new gold standard is if McCaskill wins at the same time that Nelson, Donnelly, and Sinema lose.

And if Gillum wins by 7 while Nelson loses.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2018, 09:03:49 PM »

Why does 538 have them entered like this? I'm confused.

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DataGuy
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2018, 09:33:44 PM »

People complain about how little polling there is this year, and then when they get a poll they find every which way to discredit it.

The proper response to every poll is to simply put it in the average, even if it doesn't "look right." It's a good thing when pollsters are honest about their numbers instead of twisting them to line up with the groupthink (known as "herding"). Gut feeling punditry is wrong time and again, yet people never learn.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2018, 09:36:03 PM »

People complain about how little polling there is this year, and then when they get a poll they find every which way to discredit it.

The proper response to every poll is to simply put it in the average, even if it doesn't "look right." It's a good thing when pollsters are honest about their numbers instead of twisting them to line up with the groupthink (known as "herding"). Gut feeling punditry is wrong time and again, yet people never learn.
The problem is that such a scenario is all but impossible.  There's no way McCaskill is winning by 2-3% while Donnelly loses by 2-3%.  Missouri is much more conservative than Indiana and is less likely to vote for Dems downballot.
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