MA: MassInc: Warren +22 (user search)
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  MA: MassInc: Warren +22 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MA: MassInc: Warren +22  (Read 1604 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: November 01, 2018, 12:44:58 PM »

We've gotten more polls of Massachusetts in the last week than polls of Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia in the last month.

And this is yet another poll showing Warren underperforming Baker, and by a significant margin. 53% vs. 68%? Baker's personal approval ratings seem to be much higher than Warren's, which is not surprising.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2018, 02:03:02 PM »

We've gotten more polls of Massachusetts in the last week than polls of Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia in the last month.

Blame the millions of people who live in Massachusetts and support a thriving economy with multiple in-state media sources.

We've gotten more polls of Massachusetts in the last week than polls of Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia in the last month.

And this is yet another poll showing Warren underperforming Baker, and by a significant margin. 53% vs. 68%? Baker's personal approval ratings seem to be much higher than Warren's, which is not surprising.

The best part of this is that Democrats thought they had a decent hit on Baker by forcing him to publicly admit he's voting for Diehl.

From the look of current polling, it hasn't put any dent in Baker's extreme popularity while Warren has stagnated and Diehl has ticked slightly up. All they did was make Baker more appealing to conservatives (his worst segment of the electorate) and Diehl more appealing to moderates.

Warren and Baker are still clearly extremely safe, but this should put to bed any hope that Warren will outrun Baker.

I fully agree. I think Baker will win ~70-30%, while Warren should win ~60-40%, about the same or maybe slightly better than Hillary Clinton did in 2016.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2018, 12:17:21 PM »

It's really funny that Charlie Baker will outperform her by a substantial margin. I hope Warren doesn't get above 60% because I don't want her to run for president. She may decide against it if her reelection margin isn't too big.

Agreed. And it would be even more embarrassing if Baker crosses the 70% mark while Warren fails to break, or just barely gets above, 60%. Warren should be doing as least as well as Ed Markey, who got 62%, if I am recalling correctly, back in 2014 of all years.
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