CNN: Nelson 2+ (user search)
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  CNN: Nelson 2+ (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN: Nelson 2+  (Read 1478 times)
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realisticidealist
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« on: November 01, 2018, 12:09:26 PM »

Some major poll herding going on... big red flag.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,717


« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2018, 12:20:14 PM »

Some major poll herding going on... big red flag.

Even internal polls are getting in on it. What does it mean?

Either a big statistical anomaly occurred, or pollsters are putting their finger on the scale to hedge and make sure if they're wrong, they're wrong like everyone else. What it means is there's a higher than normal chance of an outcome that highly deviates from expectations. Could benefit either candidate. It might be helpful to look at polls which break from the consensus, but there really haven't been many lately (those that do probably lean more toward Nelson).

Some major poll herding going on... big red flag.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/fl/florida_senate_scott_vs_nelson-6246.html

If you exclude that crappy Online Poll from SurveyUSA we're looking at a 2 Point Race between Nelson/Scott.

Because of poll herding! It's extremely unlikely you'd get that many polls showing exactly the same margin. That's not how statistics works. Poll herding actually makes the polling average less accurate: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/heres-proof-some-pollsters-are-putting-a-thumb-on-the-scale/
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