TN- Blackburn +14 among students 18 and under

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Not that they can vote, but the SOS office does a statewide mock election among students from kindergarten to 12th grade, and it was announced that Blackburn won 57-43.  Bill Lee also won by 30 points in the gubernatorial race.
https://www.newschannel5.com/news/blackburn-lee-win-tennessee-student-mock-election

[Terry the Fat Shark]

can you edit this to under 18 students?

[Mehmentum]

Trump won students in Tennessee in the scholastic 2016 election poll, but I can't for the life of me find how by much. 

Regardless, I'm not particularly surprised by the result.  Bredesen is a legacy candidate, and naturally would pull disproportionately from older cohorts.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Yeah, this race is over; though it was nice to see Democrats try.

[IceSpear]

Yeah, this race is over; though it was nice to see Democrats try.

Blackburn is obviously going to win, but...it took a poll of kids too young to vote to convince you of this? lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bredesen will pull this one out

[Technocracy Timmy]

Bredesen will pull this one out

Yeah just like how my dad was gonna pull out the night I was conceived.

[Xing]

Considering the R trend we've seen in Tennessee over the past 20 years, that's not surprising.

[MT Treasurer]

if mike beebe runs for ar sen 2020 ar flips before co nc and mt imo imo

[Technocracy Timmy]

if mike beebe runs for ar sen 2020 ar flips before co nc and mt imo imo

agreed ancestral Dems at heart vote Beebe as the ar youth Corbyn-ize in their 100% support for Dems and duh 2016 trends makes Little Rock 150% dem

[Politician]

if mike beebe runs for ar sen 2020 ar flips before co nc and mt imo imo

AR still wouldn't flip before CO, AZ, NC, MT, GA, ME, IA or AK even if Beebe runs. Probably would flip after KY, KS and TX as well.

[Technocracy Timmy]

if mike beebe runs for ar sen 2020 ar flips before co nc and mt imo imo

AR still wouldn't flip before CO, AZ, NC, MT, GA, ME, IA or AK even if Beebe runs. Probably would flip after KY, KS and TX as well.

[Progressive Pessimist]

But what about Taylor Swift!?

[Tintrlvr]

Considering the R trend we've seen in Tennessee over the past 20 years, that's not surprising.

It's not really an R trend issue. Kids mostly vote like their parents until around age 18-21, when they have in the US recently developed a pattern of shifting rapidly to the left upon adulthood.* So R+14 among kids just reflects their parents - which isn't necessarily representative of Tennessee as a whole, either, since (i) parents are more Republican than non-parents and (ii) it's counting by child rather than by parent, so parents with multiple children are overcounted (and having more children correlates with being more Republican, mainly because it correlates with religiosity). Plus, there's of course no effort to make these types of polls of children representative in general, so they probably overpoll middle class and wealthy and heavily white school districts and children and underpoll poor and heavily minority school districts and children.

*This is also why we get the constant "The next generation is super Republican!!" memes. Because 18-year-olds tend to be closer to their parents than 19-year-olds, and 19-year-olds more so than 20-year-olds, etc., so that there is always a dip back towards the Republicans among the very youngest voters, yet that dip isn't sustained as young voters age into their 20s.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Gen Z is utter garbage.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

I remember voting in a telephone poll of kids conducted by the Nickelodeon network in 1988. (You had to call them to vote.)  I believe Dukakis won by 6%!

[J. J.]

Why would be concerned about how people under 18 would vote?

[Stranger in a strange land]

Gen Z is utter garbage.

*Sigh* A bunch of outcast incel Pepes on 4Chan b[inks]ing and moaning about NPCs aren't represntative of their generation, and I've seen anecdotal evidence that the median Channer is an immature 20 or 30-something, NOT a high school or college kid. Read the post below, but especially the bolded parts:

Considering the R trend we've seen in Tennessee over the past 20 years, that's not surprising.

It's not really an R trend issue. Kids mostly vote like their parents until around age 18-21, when they have in the US recently developed a pattern of shifting rapidly to the left upon adulthood.* So R+14 among kids just reflects their parents - which isn't necessarily representative of Tennessee as a whole, either, since (i) parents are more Republican than non-parents and (ii) it's counting by child rather than by parent, so parents with multiple children are overcounted (and having more children correlates with being more Republican, mainly because it correlates with religiosity). Plus, there's of course no effort to make these types of polls of children representative in general, so they probably overpoll middle class and wealthy and heavily white school districts and children and underpoll poor and heavily minority school districts and children.

*This is also why we get the constant "The next generation is super Republican!!" memes. Because 18-year-olds tend to be closer to their parents than 19-year-olds, and 19-year-olds more so than 20-year-olds, etc., so that there is always a dip back towards the Republicans among the very youngest voters, yet that dip isn't sustained as young voters age into their 20s.

[Person Man]

In Tennessee,  the kids are alltright.

[Badger]

Given this poll reflects the parental vote overwhelmingly, albeit not universally, and that it of course does not reflect adult tennesseans without children who will skew democratic, this sounds about right.

[Arkansas Yankee]

if mike beebe runs for ar sen 2020 ar flips before co nc and mt imo imo

AR still wouldn't flip before CO, AZ, NC, MT, GA, ME, IA or AK even if Beebe runs. Probably would flip after KY, KS and TX as well.

Agreed,

Arkansas is a changed state since Beebe was last elected in 2010.

Further, Tom Cotton is a much better candidate than Blackburn.