FL St Pete's: Nelson +2

[Adam Griffin]

Nelson wins by 4-5. This'll be one race we all look back on and laugh about after the election.

[Adam Griffin]

Nelson wins by 4-5. This'll be one race we all look back on and laugh about after the election.

No most of the Florida polls were favorable to Hillary in 2016 and Trump won. GOP is getting good turnout in Florida lately. Scott will eek it out.

Bill Nelson is not Hillary Clinton, and Rick "Plurality" Scott isn't going to skate by with a win in the 40s this time.

[Adam Griffin]

Just so we can put an end to this dumb debate: the polling averages for gubernatorial/presidential elections in FL for the final 2 weeks:

2008
Polling: Obama +2.8
Actual: Obama +2.8
DIFF: 0

2010
Polling: Scott +0.2
Actual: Scott +1.1
DIFF: 0.9 R

2012
Polling: Romney +1.4
Actual: Obama +0.9
DIFF 2.3 D

2014
Polling: Scott +0.4
Actual: Scott +1.1
DIFF 0.7 R

2016
Polling: Trump +0.4
Actual: Trump +1.2
DIFF 0.8 R

Aggregate polling in FL has actually been quite accurate historically - and certainly possess no statistically-significant bias against the GOP.