Canadian Election 2019

[cinyc]

Yves-François Blanchet is the Bloc Québécois leader.

The party is running canddiates only in Quebec. The party's goal should be to get at least 12 seats to have official status in Parliament, They haven't had that status in the last eigh years.   

Did the Bloc ever run candidates outside of Quebec?

[cinyc]

There are 2 seats left to be called - Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, where 1 poll is outstanding from who-knows-where, and Kitchener-Conestoga, where 6 polls are outstanding plus some special votes, from New Hamburg. Liberals lead both - it’s a race with the Bloc in Gaspesie--Les-Iles-de-la-Madeleine and a race with the Conservatives in Kitchener-Conestoga.

Does anyone know how New Hamburg voted in 2015? Naturally, all the images from our 2015 thread have been eaten, and the two interactive maps I found either aren’t working (election-atlas.ca) or don’t have popups with results.

[cinyc]

There are 2 seats left to be called - Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, where 1 poll is outstanding from who-knows-where, and Kitchener-Conestoga, where 6 polls are outstanding plus some special votes, from New Hamburg. Liberals lead both - it’s a race with the Bloc in Gaspesie--Les-Iles-de-la-Madeleine and a race with the Conservatives in Kitchener-Conestoga.

Does anyone know how New Hamburg voted in 2015? Naturally, all the images from our 2015 thread have been eaten, and the two interactive maps I found either aren’t working (election-atlas.ca) or don’t have popups with results.

I'll answer my own question: There were 3,359 non-advance votes cast in the 17 New Hamburg poll divisions in 2015. The Conservatives won them, but only by 288 votes. The current margin is 273 votes. Only 5 polls are out, so unless there's some shift from 2015 or the advance vote has yet to be counted, the Liberal candidate should hold on here - barely.

It was close in 2015 and will be close in 2019.

[cinyc]

Preliminary swing maps (Yes, the colors aren't very Canadian - they're my default red = increase, blue = decrease):

https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1186723767734734850
https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1186726751734521856
https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1186730479292243968

[cinyc]

Clipped it and added more insets (I skipped over Ottawa for some reason). I'm also testing whether you can just post a photo from Twitter - the source is me on Twitter from Elections Canada shapefiles & results.

https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1186801161988399105

Edited to add: it doesn't appear Twitter allows you to only link a photo from a Tweet.

[cinyc]

Let's put it this way: What is the "Calgary" of the USA?

Houston, probably.

[cinyc]

Let's put it this way: What is the "Calgary" of the USA?

Houston, probably.

I don't think you can say that after 2016 and 2018.

Tulsa maybe?

I meant more culturally than electorally - a city that's home to a lot of oil company HQ and cowboy boot swagger.