Canadian Election 2019 (user search)
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Author Topic: Canadian Election 2019  (Read 191858 times)
Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« on: February 06, 2019, 04:43:30 PM »
« edited: February 06, 2019, 06:24:34 PM by Smid »

Leger Quebec poll: 39/21/21/8/6. Grit gains, Dipper shutout and Bernier threatening to split the Quebec City vote.

Which makes me thinking that Beauce, for example, could be winnable for the LPC.

If you get a perfect split, absolutely, although I think Bernier's popularity is overrated in Beauce.  His riding has a large dairy farming industry so it will be interesting how his stance on supply management goes over, but certainly possible.

He lost his own riding during the leadership ballot, if I recall correctly.

EDIT: Correction/Clarification - I've checked the Wikipedia maps, he led on the first ballot in his riding, however Scheer won a majority of his riding on the final ballot.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #1 on: April 10, 2019, 07:48:17 PM »
« Edited: April 10, 2019, 08:15:08 PM by Smid »


If you're interested in predictions, try the Election Prediction Project website.

Link?
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2019, 04:31:19 AM »

Agree with the assessment of Morneau.  I think of the MPs in the three downtown ridings he has the least of a personal brand.

Add to this that there is frequently a great deal of voter churn in downtown ridings, making it especially difficult for even a good retail politician to build a personal brand.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #3 on: July 01, 2019, 03:11:47 AM »


He's great as are Philippe Fournier and Robert Martin.

https://leantossup.ca is also a good website imo.



Robert Martin launched a podcast about a week ago, too.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2019, 05:17:15 PM »

As is frequently the case, Miles speaks common sense that is so often missing in political hot takes...
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