Canadian Election 2019 (user search)
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Author Topic: Canadian Election 2019  (Read 192070 times)
LimoLiberal
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Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« on: October 21, 2019, 06:58:58 PM »
I’m no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2019, 07:30:38 PM »
First Lib -> Con pickup: Tobique-Mactaquac in NB.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2019, 07:41:28 PM »
I think the Libs will come back in Sydney-Victoria. Conservatives have 4 pickups at least in NB. I'm interested to see what happens in Fredericton, interesting three-way race there between the Green, Libs, and Cons. Right now I think a 26-5-1-1 Lib-Con-Green-NDP split is likeliest.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2019, 07:47:13 PM »
Wow. Libs take the lead in Sydney-Victoria. Now lead in 26 seats. I think that would be a pretty good result for them. Also a good result for a newly minted Canadian election expert on this site.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2019, 07:52:21 PM »
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on October 21, 2019, 07:51:08 PM
This is looking better than expected for libs, but not absurdly so. I'm thinking mid 140's for libs, mid 110's for cons, others stagnant

PS- where are yall getting seat flip results?
I'm just comparing between these two maps.

https://globalnews.ca/news/6023150/live-canada-election-results-2019-real-time-results-in-the-federal-election/

https://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/results-2015/
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2019, 07:55:11 PM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on October 21, 2019, 07:50:52 PM
The LPC has lost so much vote share so far but still seems to be doing fairly well. Am I missing something?

It seems like the Cons are racking up votes in their NB flips (+7000 votes in Tobique and NB SW) but a little to a moderate amount behind in many NS and PEI ridings.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2019, 08:09:13 PM »
Libs making things interesting in Miramichi-Grand Lake. Cons retake the lead in Sydney-Victoria.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2019, 08:14:13 PM »
Finnigan, behind all night, takes the lead in Miramichi-Grand Lake. That would be an extremely impressive hold for the Liberals.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2019, 09:17:37 PM »
Liberals leading in 140 seats, with very little from BC out.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2019, 09:39:05 PM »
Wow the Ontario results are boring. Only 7 ridings being won by the non-incumbent party.
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